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We consider approximate maximum likelihood parameter estimation in nonlinear state-space models. We discuss both direct optimization of the likelihood and expectation--maximization (EM). For EM, we also give closed-form expressions for the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-11-03 Juho Kokkala , Arno Solin , Simo Särkkä

In this paper, we propose a new asymptotic expansion approach for nonlinear filtering based on a small parameter in the system noise. This method expresses the filtering distribution as a power series in the noise level, where the…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-06-18 Masahiro Kurisaki

Fractional Brownian motion is a Gaussian stochastic process with stationary, long-time correlated increments and is frequently used to model anomalous diffusion processes. We study numerically fractional Brownian motion confined to a finite…

统计力学 · 物理学 2019-03-22 T. Guggenberger , G. Pagnini , T. Vojta , R. Metzler

We introduce a weighted particle representation for the solution of the filtering problem based on a suitably chosen variation of the classical de Finetti theorem. This representation has important theoretical and numerical applications. In…

概率论 · 数学 2021-04-13 Dan Crisan , Thomas G. Kurtz , Salvador Ortiz-Latorre

The sigma point (SP) filter, also known as unscented Kalman filter, is an attractive alternative to the extended Kalman filter and the particle filter. Here, we extend the SP filter to nonsequential Bayesian inference corresponding to loopy…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2023-07-19 Florian Meyer , Ondrej Hlinka , Franz Hlawatsch

This paper presents a novel formula for the transition density of the Brownian motion on a sphere of any dimension and discusses an algorithm for the simulation of the increments of the spherical Brownian motion based on this formula. The…

统计力学 · 物理学 2025-04-01 Aleksandar Mijatović , Veno Mramor , Gerónimo Uribe Bravo

In this article, we present a general methodology for stochastic control problems driven by the Brownian motion filtration including non-Markovian and non-semimartingale state processes controlled by mutually singular measures. The main…

概率论 · 数学 2024-04-04 Dorival Leão , Alberto Ohashi , Francys Andrews de Souza

In this paper we resolve an open problem proposed by Lai, Poor, Xin, and Georgiadis (2011, IEEE Transactions on Information Theory). Consider a sequence of Brownian Motions with unknown drift equal to one or zero, which we may be observed…

概率论 · 数学 2013-06-26 Erhan Bayraktar , Ross Kravitz

The unscented Kalman filter is a nonlinear estimation algorithm commonly used in navigation applications. The prediction of the mean and covariance matrix is crucial to the stable behavior of the filter. This prediction is done by…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-12-16 Amit Levy , Itzik Klein

The filtering distribution captures the statistics of the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations. Classical particle filters provably approximate this distribution in quite general settings; however they behave…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-02-10 Edoardo Calvello , Pierre Monmarché , Andrew M. Stuart , Urbain Vaes

We introduce numerical methods for simulating the diffusive motion of rigid bodies of arbitrary shape immersed in a viscous fluid. We parameterize the orientation of the bodies using normalized quaternions, which are numerically robust,…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2015-10-28 Steven Delong , Florencio Balboa Usabiaga , Aleksandar Donev

Using Bayesian transfer learning, we develop a particle filter approach for tracking a nonlinear dynamical model in a dual-tracking system where intensities of measurement noise for both sensors are asymmetric. The densities for Bayesian…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-11-24 Omar A. Alotaibi , Brian L. Mark , Mohammad Reza Fasihi

The process of dynamic state estimation (filtering) based on point process observations is in general intractable. Numerical sampling techniques are often practically useful, but lead to limited conceptual insight about optimal…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-08-04 Yuval Harel , Ron Meir , Manfred Opper

Recursive estimation of nonlinear dynamical systems is an important problem that arises in several engineering applications. Consistent and accurate propagation of uncertainties is important to ensuring good estimation performance. It is…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2016-03-16 Dilshad Raihan Akkam Veettil , Suman Chakravorty

In this paper, we exploit the gradient flow structure of continuous-time formulations of Bayesian inference in terms of their numerical time-stepping. We focus on two particular examples, namely, the continuous-time ensemble Kalman-Bucy…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-06-24 Sahani Pathiraja , Sebastian Reich

Denoising diffusion models have recently emerged as the predominant paradigm for generative modelling on image domains. In addition, their extension to Riemannian manifolds has facilitated a range of applications across the natural…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-10 Nic Fishman , Leo Klarner , Emile Mathieu , Michael Hutchinson , Valentin de Bortoli

In this paper, an alternative approximation to the innovation method is introduced for the parameter estimation of diffusion processes from partial and noisy observations. This is based on a convergent approximation to the first two…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2013-12-19 J. C. Jimenez

In this article, we present a general methodology for control problems driven by the Brownian motion filtration including non-Markovian and non-semimartingale state processes controlled by mutually singular measures. The main result of this…

概率论 · 数学 2018-01-19 Dorival Leão , Alberto Ohashi , Francys Souza

Many stochastic processes in the physical and biological sciences can be modelled as Brownian dynamics with multiplicative noise. However, numerical integrators for these processes can lose accuracy or even fail to converge when the…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-04-22 Dominic Phillips , Charles Matthews , Benedict Leimkuhler

In this paper we study progressive filtration expansions with cadlag processes. Using results from the weak convergence of sigma fields theory, we first establish a semimartingale convergence theorem. Then we apply it in a filtration…

概率论 · 数学 2011-05-10 Younes Kchia , Philip Protter
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