相关论文: Intrinsically Weighted Means of Marked Point Proce…
Point forecasts can be interpreted as functionals (i.e., point summaries) of predictive distributions. We consider the situation where forecasters' directives are hidden and develop methodology for the identification of the unknown…
In healthcare, the highest risk individuals for morbidity and mortality are rarely those with the greatest modifiable risk. By contrast, many machine learning formulations implicitly attend to the highest risk individuals. We focus on this…
Methods of estimation and forecasting for stationary models are well known in classical time series analysis. However, stationarity is an idealization which, in practice, can at best hold as an approximation, but for many time series may be…
This study introduces an innovative local statistical moment approach for estimating Kramers-Moyal coefficients, effectively bridging the gap between nonparametric and parametric methodologies. These coefficients play a crucial role in…
This paper proposes a new estimation procedure for the ambiguity function of a non-stationary time series. The stochastic properties of the empirical ambiguity function calculated from a single sample in time are derived. Different…
Partially observable Markov decision processes (POMDPs) are standard models for dynamic systems with probabilistic and nondeterministic behaviour in uncertain environments. We prove that in POMDPs with long-run average objective, the…
Regularly varying stochastic processes model extreme dependence between process values at different locations and/or time points. For such processes we propose a two-step parameter estimation of the extremogram, when some part of the domain…
A compound Poisson process whose parameters are all unknown is observed at finitely many equispaced times. Nonparametric estimators of the jump and L\'evy distributions are proposed and functional central limit theorems using the uniform…
We prove that every probabilistic cellular automaton with strictly positive transition probabilities that admits a stationary Bernoulli measure is exponentially ergodic. Moreover, the mixing time of any finite region in such a system is…
We propose a new summary statistic for inhomogeneous intensity-reweighted moment stationary spatio-temporal point processes. The statistic is defined through the n-point correlation functions of the point process and it generalises the…
Markov decision processes (MDPs) are a popular model for decision-making in the presence of uncertainty. The conventional view of MDPs in verification treats them as state transformers with probabilities defined over sequences of states and…
The paper deals with finite-state Markov decision processes (MDPs) with integer weights assigned to each state-action pair. New algorithms are presented to classify end components according to their limiting behavior with respect to the…
We study weighted M-estimators for $\mathbb{R}^d$-valued clustered data and give sufficient conditions for their consistency. Their asymptotic normality is established with estimation of the asymptotic covariance matrix. We address the…
We consider a Markovian evolution on point processes, the $\Psi$--process, on the unit interval in which points are added according to a rule that depends only on the spacings of the existing point configuration. Having chosen a spacing, a…
The article is devoted to stochastic processes with values in finite- and infinite-dimensional vector spaces over infinite fields $\bf K$ of zero characteristics with non-trivial non-archimedean norms. For different types of stochastic…
We show that intensive thermodynamic parameters associated to additive conserved quantities can be naturally defined from a statistical approach in far-from-equilibrium steady-state systems, under few assumptions, and without any detailed…
Many data-driven algorithms in dynamical systems rely on ergodic averages that converge painfully slowly. One simple idea changes this: taper the ends. Weighted Birkhoff averages can converge much faster (sometimes superpolynomially, even…
This work provides new results for the analysis of random sequences in terms of $\ell_p$-compressibility. The results characterize the degree in which a random sequence can be approximated by its best $k$-sparse version under different…
Within the applications of spatial point processes, it is increasingly becoming common that events are labeled by marks, prompting an exploration beyond the spatial distribution of events by incorporating the marks in the undertaken…
The present paper deals with a nonparametric M-estimation for right censored regression model with stationary ergodic data. Defined as an implicit function, a kernel type estimator of a family of robust regression is considered when the…