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A central task in stochastic thermodynamics is the estimation of entropy production for partially accessible Markov networks. We establish an effective transition-based description for such networks with transitions that are not…

统计力学 · 物理学 2024-05-20 Benjamin Ertel , Udo Seifert

This letter presents an improved version of diffusion least mean ppower (LMP) algorithm for distributed estimation. Instead of sum of mean square errors, a weighted sum of mean square error is defined as the cost function for global and…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-08-09 H. Zayyani , M. Korki

This article provides an introduction to the asymptotic analysis of covariance parameter estimation for Gaussian processes. Maximum likelihood estimation is considered. The aim of this introduction is to be accessible to a wide audience and…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-16 François Bachoc

This note presents a new definition of nonlinear statistics mean and variance to simplify the nonlinear statistics computations. These concepts aim to provide a theoretical explanation of a novel nonlinear weighted residual methodology…

数值分析 · 数学 2025-10-20 W. Chen

A temporal point process is a stochastic process that predicts which type of events is likely to happen and when the event will occur given a history of a sequence of events. There are various examples of occurrence dynamics in the daily…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-23 Deokjun Eom , Sehyun Lee , Jaesik Choi

Recently, it was shown that most popular IR measures are not interval-scaled, implying that decades of experimental IR research used potentially improper methods, which may have produced questionable results. However, it was unclear if and…

信息检索 · 计算机科学 2021-01-08 Marco Ferrante , Nicola Ferro , Norbert Fuhr

In various practical situations, we encounter data from stochastic processes which can be efficiently modelled by an appropriate parametric model for subsequent statistical analyses. Unfortunately, the most common estimation and inference…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-04-12 Rohan Hore , Abhik Ghosh

In this paper we study time-inhomogeneous affine processes beyond the common assumption of stochastic continuity. In this setting times of jumps can be both inaccessible and predictable. To this end we develop a general theory of finite…

概率论 · 数学 2018-12-21 Martin Keller-Ressel , Thorsten Schmidt , Robert Wardenga

This paper defines the class of c\`adl\`ag functional marked point processes (CFMPPs). These are (spatio-temporal) point processes marked by random elements which take values in a c\`adl\`ag function space, i.e. the marks are given by…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-03-11 Ottmar Cronie , Jorge Mateu

There are several ways to establish the asymptotic normality of $L$-statistics, which depend on the choice of the weights-generating function and the cumulative distribution selection of the underlying model. In this study, we focus on…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-23 Chudamani Poudyal

A weighted U-statistic based on a random sample X_1,...,X_n has the form U_n=\sum_{1\le i,j\le n}w_{i-j}K(X_i,X_j), where K is a fixed symmetric measurable function and the w_i are symmetric weights. A large class of statistics can be…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Tailen Hsing , Wei Biao Wu

An extension of the Hawkes model where the productivity is variable is considered. In particular, the case is considered where each point may have its own productivity and a simple analytic formula is derived for the maximum likelihood…

应用统计 · 统计学 2020-03-20 Frederic Paik Schoenberg

The large-deviation method allows to characterize an ergodic counting process in terms of a thermodynamic frame where a free energy function determines the asymptotic non-stationary statistical properties of its fluctuations. Here, we study…

统计力学 · 物理学 2011-12-13 Adrian A. Budini

A novel heuristic approach is proposed here for time series data analysis, dubbed Generalized weighted permutation entropy, which amalgamates and generalizes beyond their original scope two well established data analysis methods:…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-10-19 Darko Stosic , Dusan Stosic , Tatijana Stosic , Borko Stosic

Financial markets are prominent examples for highly non-stationary systems. Sample averaged observables such as variances and correlation coefficients strongly depend on the time window in which they are evaluated. This implies severe…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-06-15 Thilo A. Schmitt , Desislava Chetalova , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

Assuming that a threshold Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is observed at discrete time instants, we propose generalized moment estimators to estimate the parameters. Our theoretical basis is the celebrated ergodic theorem. To use this theorem we…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-11-24 Yaozhong Hu , Yuejuan Xi

Point processes offer a versatile framework for sequential event modeling. However, the computational challenges and constrained representational power of the existing point process models have impeded their potential for wider…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-22 Zheng Dong , Zekai Fan , Shixiang Zhu

In this paper, we present the asymptotic distribution of M-estimators for parameters in non-stationary AR(p) processes. The innovations are assumed to be in the domain of attraction of a stable law with index $0<\alpha\le2$. In particular,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-12-13 Maryam Sohrabi , Mahmoud Zarepour

For a Markov decision process with countably infinite states, the optimal value may not be achievable in the set of stationary policies. In this paper, we study the existence conditions of an optimal stationary policy in a countable-state…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-07-06 Li Xia , Xianping Guo , Xi-Ren Cao

When we are interested in high-dimensional system and focus on classification performance, the $\ell_{1}$-penalized logistic regression is becoming important and popular. However, the Lasso estimates could be problematic when penalties of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-12 Huamei Huang , Yujing Gao , Huiming Zhang , Bo Li