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Survival Analysis (SA) constitutes the default method for time-to-event modeling due to its ability to estimate event probabilities of sparsely occurring events over time. In this work, we show how to improve the training and inference of…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-12-12 Chris Solomou

In this paper we consider regression problems subject to arbitrary noise in the operator or design matrix. This characterization appropriately models many physical phenomena with uncertainty in the regressors. Although the problem has been…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-04-08 Richard J Clancy , Stephen Becker

We prove concentration inequalities and associated PAC bounds for continuous- and discrete-time additive functionals for possibly unbounded functions of multivariate, nonreversible diffusion processes. Our analysis relies on an approach via…

概率论 · 数学 2024-10-15 Cathrine Aeckerle-Willems , Claudia Strauch , Lukas Trottner

Flexible estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects lies at the heart of many statistical challenges, such as personalized medicine and optimal resource allocation. In this paper, we develop a general class of two-step algorithms for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-08-07 Xinkun Nie , Stefan Wager

In this paper we develop inference for high dimensional linear models, with serially correlated errors. We examine Lasso under the assumption of strong mixing in the covariates and error process, allowing for fatter tails in their…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2023-10-05 Ilias Chronopoulos , Katerina Chrysikou , George Kapetanios

Predictive modelling is vital to guide preventive efforts. Whilst large-scale prospective cohort studies and a diverse toolkit of available machine learning (ML) algorithms have facilitated such survival task efforts, choosing the…

Survival analysis deals with modeling the time until an event occurs, and accurate probability estimates are crucial for decision-making, particularly in the competing-risks setting where multiple events are possible. While recent work has…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-03 Julie Alberge , Tristan Haugomat , Gaël Varoquaux , Judith Abécassis

We study the problem of model selection type aggregation with respect to the Kullback-Leibler divergence for various probabilistic models. Rather than considering a convex combination of the initial estimators $f_1, \ldots, f_N$, our…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-01-22 Cristina Butucea , Jean-François Delmas , Anne Dutfoy , Richard Fischer

Variable selection problem for the nonlinear Cox regression model is considered. In survival analysis, one main objective is to identify the covariates that are associated with the risk of experiencing the event of interest. The Cox…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-11-18 Kexuan Li

In this paper, we deal with the problem of calibrating thresholding rules in the setting of Poisson intensity estimation. By using sharp concentration inequalities, oracle inequalities are derived and we establish the optimality of our…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-04-08 Patricia Reynaud-Bouret , Vincent Rivoirard

We study logistic regression with total variation penalty on the canonical parameter and show that the resulting estimator satisfies a sharp oracle inequality: the excess risk of the estimator is adaptive to the number of jumps of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-03-06 Sara van de Geer

The Lasso has become a benchmark data analysis procedure, and numerous variants have been proposed in the literature. Although the Lasso formulations are stated so that overall prediction error is optimized, no full control over the…

In this work we introduce a conditional accelerated lazy stochastic gradient descent algorithm with optimal number of calls to a stochastic first-order oracle and convergence rate $O\left(\frac{1}{\varepsilon^2}\right)$ improving over the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2018-02-19 Guanghui Lan , Sebastian Pokutta , Yi Zhou , Daniel Zink

We offer a general Bayes theoretic framework to derive posterior contraction rates under a hierarchical prior design: the first-step prior serves to assess the model selection uncertainty, and the second-step prior quantifies the prior…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-02-12 Qiyang Han

We develop an estimator for treatment effects in high-dimensional settings with additive measurement error, a prevalent challenge in modern econometrics. We introduce the Double/Debiased Convex Conditioned LASSO (Double/Debiased CoCoLASSO),…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-08-28 Geonwoo Kim , Suyong Song

While analysing time-to-event data, it is possible that a certain fraction of subjects will never experience the event of interest and they are said to be cured. When this feature of survival models is taken into account, the models are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-27 Khandoker Akib Mohammad , Yuichi Hirose , Budhi Surya , Yuan Yao

Compared to the nominal scale, the ordinal scale for a categorical outcome variable has the property of making a monotonicity assumption for the covariate effects meaningful. This assumption is encoded in the commonly used proportional odds…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-04 Olli Saarela , Christian Rohrbeck , Elja Arjas

This article considers the automatic selection problem of the relevant explanatory variables in a right-censored model on a massive database. We propose and study four aggregated censored adaptive LASSO estimators constructed by dividing…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-02-04 Gabriela Ciuperca

We develop a continuous-time penalized regression framework for the estimation of time-varying coefficients and variable selection when both the response and covariates are It\^o semimartingales with jumps. The coefficient paths are…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-28 Aleksey Kolokolov , Shifan Yu

Multi-fidelity methods that use an ensemble of models to compute a Monte Carlo estimator of the expectation of a high-fidelity model can significantly reduce computational costs compared to single-model approaches. These methods use oracle…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-12 Thomas Dixon , Alex Gorodetsky , John Jakeman , Akil Narayan , Yiming Xu
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