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We consider a simple mean reverting diffusion process, with piecewise constant drift and diffusion coefficients, discontinuous at a fixed threshold. We discuss estimation of drift and diffusion parameters from discrete observations of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-12 Sara Mazzonetto , Paolo Pigato

We consider a discrete time simple symmetric random walk on Z^d, d>=1, where the path of the walk is perturbed by inserting deterministic jumps. We show that for any time n and any deterministic jumps that we insert, the expected number of…

概率论 · 数学 2012-12-12 Lung-Chi Chen , Rongfeng Sun

We study a continuous time random walk on the $d$-dimensional lattice, subject to a drift and an attraction to large clusters of a subcritical Bernoulli site percolation. We find two distinct regimes: a ballistic one, and a subballistic one…

概率论 · 数学 2007-10-12 Francis Comets , Francois Simenhaus

We give a theory of sublinear expectations and martingales in discrete time. Without assuming the existence of a dominating probability measure, we derive the extensions of classical results on uniform integrability, optional stopping of…

概率论 · 数学 2011-04-29 Samuel Cohen , Shaolin Ji , Shige Peng

The aim of this paper is to represent any continuous local martingale as an almost sure limit of a nested sequence of simple, symmetric random walks, time changed by a discrete quadratic variation process. One basis of this is a similar…

概率论 · 数学 2010-08-10 Balazs Szekely , Tamas Szabados

We treat the class of universal Markov processes on the d-dimensional Euklidean space which do not depend on random. For these, as well as for several subclasses, we prove criteria whether a function f, defined on the positive half-line,…

概率论 · 数学 2012-08-07 Alexander Schnurr

We consider a discrete time random walk in a space-time i.i.d. random environment. We use a martingale approach to show that the walk is diffusive in almost every fixed environment. We improve on existing results by proving an invariance…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 F. Rassoul-Agha , T. Seppalainen

Drift analysis aims at translating the expected progress of an evolutionary algorithm (or more generally, a random process) into a probabilistic guarantee on its run time (hitting time). So far, drift arguments have been successfully…

神经与进化计算 · 计算机科学 2021-11-01 Benjamin Doerr , Timo Kötzing

We study a class of discrete-time random walks in $\mathbb{R}^d$ whose conditional drift decays polynomially in time and grows polynomially with the distance from the origin to the current position. This class is related to several models…

概率论 · 数学 2026-05-19 Ngo P. N. Ngoc , Tuan-Minh Nguyen

We consider random walks, say $W_n=(M_0, M_1,\dots, M_n)$, of length $n$ starting at 0 and based on the martingale sequence $M_k$ with differences $X_m=M_m-M_{m-1}$. Assuming that the differences are bounded, $|X_m|\leq 1$, we solve the…

概率论 · 数学 2013-05-30 Dainius Dzindzalieta

We consider a discrete-time branching random walk in the boundary case, where the associated random walk is in the domain of attraction of an $\alpha$-stable law with $1<\alpha<2$. We prove that the derivative martingale $D_n$ converges to…

概率论 · 数学 2016-10-13 Hui He , Jingning Liu , Mei Zhang

For one-dimensional Jump-Drift and Jump-Diffusion processes converging towards some steady state, the large deviations of a long dynamical trajectory are described from two perspectives. Firstly, the joint probability of the empirical…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-08-17 Cecile Monthus

We discuss a concept of path-dependent SDE with distributional drift with possible jumps. We interpret it via a suitable martingale problem, for which we provide existence and uniqueness. The corresponding solutions are expected to be…

概率论 · 数学 2022-11-08 Elena Bandini , Francesco Russo

A strict local martingale is a local martingale which is not a martingale. There are few explicit examples of "naturally occurring" strict local martingales with jumps available in the literature. The purpose of this paper is to provide…

概率论 · 数学 2014-03-26 Philip Protter

We consider a nearest neighbor random walk on the one-dimensional integer lattice with drift towards the origin determined by an asymptotically vanishing function of the number of visits to zero. We show the existence of distinct regimes…

概率论 · 数学 2007-12-03 Iddo Ben-Ari , Mathieu Merle , Alexander Roitershtein

In this paper, we consider a stochastic process that may experience random reset events which relocate the system to its starting position. We focus our attention on a one-dimensional, monotonic continuous-time random walk with a constant…

数学物理 · 物理学 2017-10-11 Miquel Montero , Axel Masó-Puigdellosas , Javier Villarroel

For the last ten years, almost every theoretical result concerning the expected run time of a randomized search heuristic used drift theory, making it the arguably most important tool in this domain. Its success is due to its ease of use…

概率论 · 数学 2018-05-25 Timo Kötzing , Martin S. Krejca

We consider integer-valued random walks with independent but not identically distributed increments, and extend to this context several classical estimates, including a local limit theorem, precise small-ball estimates (both conditional on…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-13 Sébastien Ott , Yvan Velenik

Let $X$ be the unique normal martingale such that $X_0=0$ and \[\mathrm{d}[X]_t=(1-t-X_{t-}) \mathrm{d}X_t+\mathrm{d}t\] and let $Y_t:=X_t+t$ for all $t\geq 0$; the semimartingale $Y$ arises in quantum probability, where it is the…

概率论 · 数学 2008-05-22 Alexander C. R. Belton

We construct a class of nonnegative martingale processes that oscillate indefinitely with high probability. For these processes, we state a uniform rate of the number of oscillations and show that this rate is asymptotically close to the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2014-08-18 Jan Leike , Marcus Hutter
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