相关论文: Estimation of Kramers-Moyal coefficients at low sa…

Generalizing an idea of Davie and Gaines (2001), we present a method for the simulation of fully discrete samples of the solution to the stochastic heat equation on an interval. We provide a condition for the validity of the approximation,…

The local regularity of functional time series is studied under $L^p-m-$appro\-ximability assumptions. The sample paths are observed with error at possibly random design points. Non-asymptotic concentration bounds of the regularity…

Motivated by recent work involving the analysis of leveraging spatial correlations in sparsified mean estimation, we present a novel procedure for constructing covariance estimator. The proposed Random-knots (Random-knots-Spatial) and…

This article introduces a nonparametric approach to spectral analysis of a high-dimensional multivariate nonstationary time series. The procedure is based on a novel frequency-domain factor model that provides a flexible yet parsimonious…

Real data are constrained to finite sampling rates, which calls for a suitable mathematical description of the corrections to the finite-time estimations of the dynamic equations. Often in the literature, lower order discrete time…

Stochastic interacting particle systems are widely used to model collective phenomena across diverse fields, including statistical physics, biology, and social dynamics. The McKean-Vlasov equation arises as the mean-field limit of such…

We investigate how to improve efficiency using regression adjustments with covariates in covariate-adaptive randomizations (CARs) with imperfect subject compliance. Our regression-adjusted estimators, which are based on the doubly robust…

The use of sparse precision (inverse covariance) matrices has become popular because they allow for efficient algorithms for joint inference in high-dimensional models. Many applications require the computation of certain elements of the…

Continuous-time Markov processes over finite state-spaces are widely used to model dynamical processes in many fields of natural and social science. Here, we introduce an maximum likelihood estimator for constructing such models from data…

This paper studies the estimation of low-rank Markov chains from empirical trajectories. We propose a non-convex estimator based on rank-constrained likelihood maximization. Statistical upper bounds are provided for the Kullback-Leiber…

We study the matrix-variate regression problem $Y_i = \sum_{k} \beta_{1k} X_i \beta_{2k}^{\top} + E_i$ for $i=1,2\dots,n$ in the high dimensional regime wherein the response $Y_i$ are matrices whose dimensions $p_{1}\times p_{2}$ outgrow…

In state space models, smoothing refers to the task of estimating a latent stochastic process given noisy measurements related to the process. We propose an unbiased estimator of smoothing expectations. The lack-of-bias property has…

The solutions of Hamiltonian equations are known to describe the underlying phase space of a mechanical system. In this article, we propose a novel spatio-temporal model using a strategic modification of the Hamiltonian equations,…

In this paper, we study the problem of inferring time-varying Markov random fields (MRF), where the underlying graphical model is both sparse and changes sparsely over time. Most of the existing methods for the inference of time-varying…

Molecular dynamics simulations have become essential in many areas of atomistic modelling from drug discovery to materials science. They provide critical atomic-level insights into key dynamical events experiments cannot easily capture.…

State-space mixed-frequency vector autoregressions are now widely used for nowcasting. Despite their popularity, estimating such models can be computationally intensive, especially for large systems with stochastic volatility. To tackle the…

Transition path sampling is a rare-event method that estimates state-to-state timecorrelation functions in many-body systems from samples of short trajectories. In this framework, it is proposed to bias the importance function using the…

Simplicia-simplicial regression concerns statistical modeling scenarios in which both the predictors and the responses are vectors constrained to lie on the simplex. \cite{fiksel2022} introduced a transformation-free linear regression…

Transit timing variations (TTVs) are a valuable tool to determine the masses and orbits of transiting planets in multi-planet systems. TTVs can be readily modeled given knowledge of the interacting planets' orbital configurations and…

We establish the exponential time decay rate of smooth solutions of small amplitude to the Vlasov-Poisson-Fokker-Planck equations to the Maxwellian both in the whole space and in the periodic box via the uniform-in-time energy estimates and…