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Accurate tracking of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions is crucial for shaping climate policies and meeting global decarbonization targets. However, energy consumption and emissions data are released annually and with substantial…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-01-08 Ignacio Garrón , Andrey Ramos

We study the probabilistic evolution of a birth and death continuous time measure-valued process with mutations and ecological interactions. The individuals are characterized by (phenotypic) traits that take values in a compact metric…

概率论 · 数学 2009-04-23 Pierre Collet , Servet Martinez , Sylvie Méléard , Jaime San Martin

The analysis of the demographic transition of the past century and a half, using both empirical data and mathematical models, has rendered a wealth of well-established facts, including the dramatic increases in life expectancy. Despite…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2018-07-02 Albert Solé-Ribalta , Javier Borge-Holthoefer

This article presents a comprehensive study of the continuous McKendrick model, which serves as a foundational framework in population dynamics and epidemiology. The model is formulated through partial differential equations that describe…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2026-01-23 Dragos-Patru Covei

Motivated by the climate crisis that is currently ravaging the planet, we propose and analyze a novel framework for the evolution of anthropogenic climate impact in which the evolution of human environmental behavior and environmental…

动力系统 · 数学 2022-11-22 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , A. Stephen Morse , Ming Cao

Steady-state thermodynamics (SST) is a relatively newly emerging subfield of physics, which deals with transitions between steady states. In this paper, we find an SST-like structure in population dynamics of organisms that can sense their…

统计力学 · 物理学 2022-01-28 Hideyuki Miyahara

We study a mathematical model describing the growth process of a population structured by age and a phenotypical trait, subject to aging, competition between individuals and rare mutations. Our goals are to describe the asymptotic behaviour…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2020-04-17 Samuel Nordmann , Benoît Perthame , Cécile Taing

Combining global gridded population and fossil fuel based CO2 emission data at 1km scale, we investigate the spatial origin of CO2 emissions in relation to the population distribution within countries. We depict the correlations between…

At any sustained positive growth rate of energy demand, depletion of all terrestrial energy resources, including non-renewable deuterium fusion and renewable solar, occurs within a remarkably compressed period. The time to depletion is…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-04-28 Robert T. Nachtrieb , Steven J. Smith

A central problem in population ecology is understanding the consequences of stochastic fluctuations. Analytically tractable models with Gaussian driving noise have led to important, general insights, but they fail to capture rare,…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2017-12-08 Brandon H. Schlomann

We analyze the population dynamics of a broad class of fitness functions that exhibit epochal evolution---a dynamical behavior, commonly observed in both natural and artificial evolutionary processes, in which long periods of stasis in an…

adap-org · 物理学 2007-05-23 James P. Crutchfield , Erik van Nimwegen

The abundance of a species' population in an ecosystem is rarely stationary, often exhibiting large fluctuations over time. Using historical data on marine species, we show that the year-to-year fluctuations of population growth rate obey a…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2015-06-02 Jie Sun , Sean P. Cornelius , John Janssen , Kimberly A. Gray , Adilson E. Motter

The high growth rate of atmospheric CO2 in 2023 was found to be caused by a severe reduction of the global net land carbon sink. Here we update the global CO2 budget from January 1st to July 1st 2024, during which El Ni\~no drought…

Can sustained open-ended technological progress preserve natural resources in a finite planet? We address this question on the basis of a stylized model with genuine open-ended technological innovation, where an innovation event corresponds…

I study a population model in which the reproduction rate lambda is inherited with mutation, favoring fast reproducers in the short term, but conflicting with a process that eliminates agglomerations of individuals. The model is a variant…

统计力学 · 物理学 2021-06-02 Ronald Dickman

In this work we introduce and analyze a linear size-structured population model with infinite states-at-birth. We model the dynamics of a population in which individuals have two distinct life-stages: an "active" phase when individuals…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2019-03-25 Jozsef Z. Farkas , Peter Hinow

Understanding the conditions ensuring the persistence of a population is an issue of primary importance in population biology. The first theoretical approach to the problem dates back to the 50's with the KiSS (after Kierstead, Slobodkin…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2015-09-07 Stefano Berti , Massimo Cencini , Davide Vergni , Angelo Vulpiani

The vast majority of travel takes place within cities. Recently, new data has become available which allows for the discovery of urban mobility patterns which differ from established results about long distance travel. Specifically, the…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2014-10-28 Xiao Liang , Jichang Zhao , Li Dong , Ke Xu

The present nearly exponential growth of the cumulative installation power of wind and photovoltaic power plants is very promising in the context of a rapid reduction of the emission of CO2, which can lead to a swift mitigation climate…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-12-21 Manfred G. Kratzenberg , Hans Helmut Zürn , Ricardo Rüther

Using demographic data of high spatial resolution for a region in the south of Europe, we study the population over fixed-size spatial cells. We find that, counterintuitively, the distribution of the number of inhabitants per cell increases…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2022-12-07 Alvaro Corral , Montserrat García del Muro