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In this paper, we investigate a nonparametric approach to provide a recursive estimator of the transition density of a non-stationary piecewise-deterministic Markov process, from only one observation of the path within a long time. In this…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-07 Romain Azaïs

A study of time homogeneous, real valued Markov processes with a special property and a non-atomic initial distribution is provided. The new notion of a function of evolution of distribution which determines the dependency between one…

概率论 · 数学 2022-07-04 Tomasz Bielecki , Jacek Jakubowski , Maciej Wiśniewolski

We study a class of commuting Markov kernels whose simplest element describes the movement of $k$ particles on a discrete circle of size $n$ conditioned to not intersect each other. Such Markov kernels are related to the quantum cohomology…

概率论 · 数学 2023-05-15 Jérémie Guilhot , Cédric Lecouvey , Pierre Tarrago

In this work, we characterise the statistics of Markov chains by constructing an associated sequence of periodic differential operators. Studying the density of states of these operators reveals the absolutely continuous invariant measure…

动力系统 · 数学 2025-09-22 Bryn Davies , Angelica Yu Xiao

We consider the problem of finding the transition rates of a continuous-time homogeneous Markov chain under the empirical condition that the state changes at most once during a time interval of unit length. It is proven that this…

概率论 · 数学 2023-06-01 Philippe Carette , Marie-Anne Guerry

Consider a system of \(n\) players in which each initially starts on a different team. At each time step, we select an individual winner and an individual loser randomly and the loser joins the winner's team. The resulting Markov chain and…

概率论 · 数学 2014-01-15 Robert Mena , Will Murray

In the last years, many authors studied a class of continuous time semi-Markov processes obtained by time-changing Markov processes by hitting times of independent subordinators. Such processes are governed by integro-differential…

概率论 · 数学 2020-02-24 Angelica Pachon , Federico Polito , Costantino Ricciuti

Improved rates of convergence for ergodic homogeneous Markov chains are studied. In comparison to the earlier papers the setting is also generalised to the case without a unique dominated measure. Examples are provided where the new bound…

概率论 · 数学 2021-11-02 Alexander Veretennikov , Maria Veretennikova

We consider tilings of a closed region of the Kagome lattice (partition of the plane into regular hexagons and equilateral triangles such that each edge is shared by one triangle and one hexagon). We are interested in the rate of…

离散数学 · 计算机科学 2018-01-16 Alexandra Ugolnikova

We study a class of dynamical semigroups $(\mathbb{L}^n)_{n\in\mathbb{N}}$ that emerge, by a Feynman--Kac type formalism, from a random quantum dynamical system…

数学物理 · 物理学 2024-09-25 Jean-François Bougron , Alain Joye , Claude-Alain Pillet

We investigate inhomogeneous quantum groups G built from a quantum group H and translations. The corresponding commutation relations contain inhomogeneous terms. Under certain conditions (which are satisfied in our study of quantum Poincare…

高能物理 - 理论 · 物理学 2009-10-28 P. Podles , S. L. Woronowicz

We consider a discrete-time Markov chain $(X^t,Y^t)$, $t=0,1,2,...$, where the $X$-component forms a Markov chain itself. Assume that $(X^t)$ is Harris-ergodic and consider an auxiliary Markov chain ${\hat{Y}^t}$ whose transition…

概率论 · 数学 2013-02-13 Sergey Foss , Seva Shneer , Andrey Tyurlikov

We consider the prediction problem of a continuous-time stochastic process on an entire time-interval in terms of its recent past. The approach we adopt is based on functional kernel nonparametric regression estimation techniques where…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Anestis Antoniadis , Efstathios Paparoditis , Theofanis Sapatinas

We establish convergence to an invariant measure as time tends to infinity, for a large class of (possibly non-Markovian) stochastic volatility models. Our arguments are based on a novel coupling idea for Markov chains which also extends to…

概率论 · 数学 2021-08-30 Balázs Gerencsér , Miklós Rásonyi

Many biological and medical questions can be modeled using time-to-event data in finite-state Markov chains, with the phase-type distribution describing intervals between events. We solve the inverse problem: given a phase-type…

We study the kernel estimator of the transition density of bifurcating Markov chains. Under some ergodic and regularity properties, we prove that this estimator is consistent and asymptotically normal. Next, in the numerical studies, we…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-28 S. Valère Bitseki Penda

We formalize and analyze the notions of stochastic monotonicity and realizable mono-tonicity for Markov Chains in continuous-time, taking values in a finite partially ordered set. Similarly to what happens in discrete-time, the two notions…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-08 Paolo Dai Pra , Pierre-Yves Louis , Ida Minelli

We consider a Markov chain $(M_{n})_{n\ge 0}$ on the set $\mathbb{N}_{0}$ of nonnegative integers which is eventually decreasing, i.e. $\mathbb{P}\{M_{n+1}<M_{n}|M_{n}\ge a\}=1$ for some $a\in\mathbb{N}$ and all $n\ge 0$. We are interested…

概率论 · 数学 2015-09-08 Gerold Alsmeyer , Alexander Marynych

We present two data-driven procedures to estimate the transition density of an homogeneous Markov chain. The first yields to a piecewise constant estimator on a suitable random partition. By using an Hellinger-type loss, we establish…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-10-19 Mathieu Sart

We prove an analog of the classical Zero-One Law for both homogeneous and nonhomogeneous Markov chains (MC). Its almost precise formulation is simple: given any event $A$ from the tail $\sigma$-algebra of MC $(Z_n)$, for large $n$, with…

概率论 · 数学 2020-11-10 Michael Grabchak , Isaac Sonin