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We derive upper and lower bounds on the expectation of $f(\mathbf{S})$ under dependence uncertainty, i.e. when the marginal distributions of the random vector $\mathbf{S}=(S_1,\dots,S_d)$ are known but their dependence structure is…

概率论 · 数学 2017-06-19 Thibaut Lux , Antonis Papapantoleon

We show how inter-asset dependence information derived from market prices of options can lead to improved model-free price bounds for multi-asset derivatives. Depending on the type of the traded option, we either extract correlation…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2023-09-26 Jonathan Ansari , Eva Lütkebohmert , Ariel Neufeld , Julian Sester

We consider the computation of model-free bounds for multi-asset options in a setting that combines dependence uncertainty with additional information on the dependence structure. More specifically, we consider the setting where the…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2024-04-04 Evangelia Dragazi , Shuaiqiang Liu , Antonis Papapantoleon

We propose the extension of Fr\'{e}chet-Hoeffding copula bounds for circular data. The copula is a powerful tool for describing the dependency of random variables. In two dimensions, the Fr\'{e}chet-Hoeffding upper (lower) bound indicates…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-11-17 Hiroaki Ogata

We consider derivatives written on multiple underlyings in a one-period financial market, and we are interested in the computation of model-free upper and lower bounds for their arbitrage-free prices. We work in a completely realistic…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-01-13 Ariel Neufeld , Antonis Papapantoleon , Qikun Xiang

In this study, we propose a new formula for spread option pricing with the dependence of two assets described by a copula function. The advantage of the proposed method is that it requires only the numerical evaluation of a one-dimensional…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2023-08-31 Edoardo Berton , Lorenzo Mercuri

We derive bounds on the distribution function, therefore also on the Value-at-Risk, of $\varphi(\mathbf X)$ where $\varphi$ is an aggregation function and $\mathbf X = (X_1,\dots,X_d)$ is a random vector with known marginal distributions…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2018-11-20 Thibaut Lux , Antonis Papapantoleon

Using neural networks, we compute bounds on the prices of multi-asset derivatives given information on prices of related payoffs. As a main example, we focus on European basket options and include information on the prices of other similar…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2020-11-03 Luca De Gennaro Aquino , Carole Bernard

A new class of copulas based on order statistics was introduced by Baker (2008). Here, further properties of the bivariate and multivariate copulas are described, such as that of likelihood ratio dominance (LRD), and further bivariate…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-03 Rose Baker

We introduce new estimates and tests of independence in copula models with unknown margins using $\phi$-divergences and the duality technique. The asymptotic laws of the estimates and the test statistics are established both when the…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-03-06 Salim Bouzebda , Amor Keziou

Finding upper and lower bounds to integrals with respect to copulas is a quite prominent problem in applied probability. In their 2014 paper, Hofer and Iaco showed how particular two dimensional copulas are related to optimal solutions of…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2016-07-01 Michael Preischl

The quanto option is a cross-currency derivative in which the pay-off is given in foreign currency and then converted to domestic currency, through a constant exchange rate, used for the conversion and determined at contract inception.…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2021-03-02 Rafael Felipe Carmargo Prudencio , Christian D. Jäkel

We introduce novel information-theoretic measures termed the multivariate cumulative copula fractional inaccuracy measure and the multivariate survival copula fractional inaccuracy measure, constructed respectively from multivariate copulas…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-25 Aman Pandey , Chanchal Kundu

Gaussian copulas are widely used in the industry to correlate two random variables when there is no prior knowledge about the co-dependence between them. The perturbed Gaussian copula approach allows introducing the skew information of both…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2012-02-10 Alberto Elices , Jean-Pierre Fouque

Being the limits of copulas of componentwise maxima in independent random samples, extreme-value copulas can be considered to provide appropriate models for the dependence structure between rare events. Extreme-value copulas not only arise…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-12-07 Gordon Gudendorf , Johan Segers

In this paper an analytic expression is given for the bounds of the distribution function of the sum of dependent normally distributed random variables. Using the theory of copulas and the important Frechet bounds the dependence structure…

概率论 · 数学 2011-07-26 Walter Schneider

The Multiplicative Error Model (Engle (2002)) for nonnegative valued processes is specified as the product of a (conditionally autoregressive) scale factor and an innovation process with nonnegative support. A multivariate extension allows…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2016-04-06 Fabrizio Cipollini , Robert F. Engle , Giampiero M. Gallo

In this paper, we construct a bound copula, which can reach both Frechet's lower and upper bounds for perfect positive and negative dependence cases. Since it covers a wide range of dependency and simple for computational purposes, it can…

概率论 · 数学 2021-02-01 Suman Thapa , Yiqiang Q. Zhao

This paper examines a semi-analytical approach for pricing American options in time-inhomogeneous models characterized by negative interest rates (for equity/FX) or negative convenience yields (for commodities/cryptocurrencies). Under such…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2025-07-22 Andrey Itkin , Yerkin Kitapbayev

Conditional copulas are flexible statistical tools that couple joint conditional and marginal conditional distributions. In a linear regression setting with more than one covariate and two dependent outcomes, we propose the use of additive…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-07-31 Avideh Sabeti , Mian Wei , Radu V. Craiu
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