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The stochastic processes underlying the growth and stability of biological and psychological systems reveal themselves when far from equilibrium. Far from equilibrium, nonergodicity reigns. Nonergodicity implies that the average outcome for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-02-03 Madhur Mangalam , Damian G. Kelty-Stephen

Imprecise continuous-time Markov chains are a robust type of continuous-time Markov chains that allow for partially specified time-dependent parameters. Computing inferences for them requires the solution of a non-linear differential…

概率论 · 数学 2018-10-11 Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

Asymptotic expansions with explicit upper bounds for remainders are given for stationary distributions of nonlinearly perturbed semi-Markov processes with finite phase spaces. The corresponding algorithms are based on a special technique of…

概率论 · 数学 2016-03-16 Dmitrii Silvestrov , Sergei Silvestrov

Consider a stochastic nonlinear system controlled over a possibly noisy communication channel. An important problem is to characterize the largest class of channels for which there exist coding and control policies so that the closed-loop…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-02-11 Nicolas Garcia , Christoph Kawan , Serdar Yuksel

We provide a criterion for establishing lower bounds on the rate of convergence in $f$-variation of a continuous-time ergodic Markov process to its invariant measure. The criterion consists of novel super- and submartingale conditions for…

概率论 · 数学 2024-04-16 Miha Brešar , Aleksandar Mijatović

We consider general Markov processes with absorption and provide criteria ensuring the exponential convergence in total variation of the distribution of the process conditioned not to be absorbed. The first one is based on two-sided…

Geometric Brownian motion is an exemplary stochastic processes obeying multiplicative noise, with widespread applications in several fields, e.g. in finance, in physics and biology. The definition of the process depends crucially on the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-02-16 Stefano Giordano , Fabrizio Cleri , Ralf Blossey

The purpose of this paper is to study the time average behavior of Markov chains with transition probabilities being kernels of completely continuous operators, and therefore to provide a sufficient condition for a class of Markov chains…

概率论 · 数学 2018-11-16 Shizhou Xu

Asymptotic local equivalence in the sense of Le Cam is established for inference on the drift in multidimensional ergodic diffusions and an accompanying sequence of Gaussian shift experiments. The nonparametric local neighbourhoods can be…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-08-20 Arnak Dalalyan , Markus Reiss

A probabilistic approach of computing geometric rate of convergence of stochastic processes is introduced in this paper. The goal is to quantitatively compute both upper and lower bounds of the exponential rate of convergence to the…

动力系统 · 数学 2020-12-02 Yao Li , Shirou Wang

In this note, we discuss the uniform ergodicity of a diffusion process given by an It\^o stochastic differential equation. We present an integral condition in terms of the drift and diffusion coefficients that ensures the uniform ergodicity…

概率论 · 数学 2025-03-11 Nikola Sandrić

Applying non-ergodic quadratic stochastic operator the continual family of weak ergodic non-homogeneous Markov chains is constructed.

动力系统 · 数学 2008-07-15 Nasir Ganikhodjaev

In this paper, we give quantitative bounds on the $f$-total variation distance from convergence of an Harris recurrent Markov chain on an arbitrary under drift and minorisation conditions implying ergodicity at a sub-geometric rate. These…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Randal Douc , Eric Moulines , Philippe Soulier

A variational formula for the asymptotic variance of general Markov processes is obtained. As application, we get a upper bound of the mean exit time of reversible Markov processes, and some comparison theorems between the reversible and…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-02 Lu-Jing Huang , Yong-Hua Mao , Tao Wang

We consider time-inhomogeneous ODEs whose parameters are governed by an underlying ergodic Markov process. When this underlying process is accelerated by a factor $\varepsilon^{-1}$, an averaging phenomenon occurs and the solution of the…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-13 Pierre Monmarché , Edouard Strickler

A formula for the transition density of a Markov process defined by an infinite-dimensional stochastic equation is given in terms of the Ornstein--Uhlenbeck bridge and a useful lower estimate on the density is provided. As a consequence,…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 B. Goldys , B. Maslowski

We revisit functional central limit theorems for additive functionals of ergodic Markov diffusion processes. Translated in the language of partial differential equations of evolution, they appear as diffusion limits in the asymptotic…

概率论 · 数学 2012-09-06 Patrick Cattiaux , Djalil Chafai , Arnaud Guillin

We study convergence properties of pseudo-marginal Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms (Andrieu and Roberts [Ann. Statist. 37 (2009) 697-725]). We find that the asymptotic variance of the pseudo-marginal algorithm is always at least as…

概率论 · 数学 2015-03-31 Christophe Andrieu , Matti Vihola

The Pearson family of ergodic diffusions with a quadratic diffusion coefficient and a linear force are characterized by explicit dynamics of their integer moments and by explicit relaxation spectral properties towards their steady state.…

统计力学 · 物理学 2023-08-14 Cecile Monthus

We consider a family of measure preserving transformations, which act on a common probability space and are chosen at random by a stationary ergodic Markov chain. This setting defines an instance of a random dynamical system (RDS), which…

动力系统 · 数学 2024-02-27 Pablo Lummerzheim , Felix Pogorzelski , Elias Zimmermann