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We develop a central limit theorem (CLT) for a non-parametric estimator of the transition matrices in controlled Markov chains (CMCs) with finite state-action spaces. Our results establish precise conditions on the logging policy under…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-03-26 Ziwei Su , Imon Banerjee , Diego Klabjan

In this paper, we develop necessary and sufficient conditions for the validity of a martingale approximation for the partial sums of a stationary process in terms of the maximum of consecutive errors. Such an approximation is useful for…

概率论 · 数学 2011-02-11 Mikhail Gordin , Magda Peligrad

Hambly, Keevash, O'Connell and Stark have proven a central limit theorem for the characteristic polynomial of a permutation matrix with respect to the uniform measure on the symmetric group. We generalize this result in several ways. We…

概率论 · 数学 2013-08-16 Dirk Zeindler

Renz (1996), Ouchti(2005), El Machkouri and Ouchti (2007) and Mourrat (2013) have established the bounds on the rate of convergence in the central limit theorem for discrete time martingales. In the present paper a modification of the…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-11 Xiequan Fan

Consider the class of (functions of) strictly stationary Markov chains in which (i) the second moments are finite and (ii) absolute regularity (beta-mixing) is satisfied with exponential mixing rate. For (functions of) Markov chains in that…

概率论 · 数学 2024-11-07 Richard C. Bradley

We prove a Central Limit Theorem (CLT) in the non-commutative setting of random matrix products where the underlying process is driven by a subshift of finite type (SFT) with Markov measure. We use the martingale method introduced by Y.…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-30 Alex Furman , Robert Thijs Kozma

In this paper, under mild assumptions, we derive a law of large numbers, a central limit theorem with an error estimate, an almost sure invariance principle and a variant of Chernoff bound in finite-state hidden Markov models. These limit…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2012-04-13 Guangyue Han

The main objective of this article is to establish a central limit theorem for additive three-variable functionals of bifurcating Markov chains. We thus extend the central limit theorem under point-wise ergodic conditions studied in…

概率论 · 数学 2022-07-04 S. Valère Bitseki Penda

This paper re-examines the limit theorems of Abadie and Imbens for nearest-neighbor matching estimators of average treatment effects with a fixed number of matches. We establish, for the first time, a non-normalized central limit theorem…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-21 Songliang Chen , Fang Han

We give a new proof of the classical Central Limit Theorem, in the Mallows ($L^r$-Wasserstein) distance. Our proof is elementary in the sense that it does not require complex analysis, but rather makes use of a simple subadditive inequality…

概率论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Oliver Johnson , Richard Samworth

We investigate in this paper the distribution of the discrepancy of various lattice counting functions. In particular, we prove that the number of lattice points contained in certain domains defined by products of linear forms satisfies a…

数论 · 数学 2017-09-22 Michael Björklund , Alexander Gorodnik

We present a new approach, inspired by Stein's method, to prove a central limit theorem (CLT) for linear statistics of $\beta$-ensembles in the one-cut regime. Compared with the previous proofs, our result requires less regularity on the…

概率论 · 数学 2019-02-20 Gaultier Lambert , Michel Ledoux , Christian Webb

We explore properties of the $\chi^2$ and more general R\'enyi (Tsallis) distances to the normal law. In particular we provide necessary and sufficient conditions for the convergence to the normal law in the central limit theorem using…

概率论 · 数学 2016-08-08 S. G. Bobkov , G. P. Chistyakov , F. Götze

We find a sufficient condition under which a central limit theorem for a stationary linear process is quenched. We find a stationary linear process szatisfying the Maxwell-Woodroofe condition for which the variances of partial sums are…

概率论 · 数学 2015-05-22 Dalibor Volny , Michael Woodroofe

This paper will provide several classes of strictly stationary, countable-state, irreducible, aperiodic Markov chains that are reversible and have finite second moments, such that the central limit theorem fails to hold. The main purpose is…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-11 Richard C. Bradley

We give a new characterization for the convergence in distribution to a standard normal law of a sequence of multiple stochastic integrals of a fixed order with variance one, in terms of the Malliavin derivatives of the sequence. We extend…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 David Nualart , Salvador Ortiz

This is an expository review paper elaborating on the proof of the martingale functional central limit theorem (FCLT). This paper also reviews tightness and stochastic boundedness, highlighting one-dimensional criteria for tightness used in…

概率论 · 数学 2007-12-27 Ward Whitt

We study a mutliscale jump process introduced in a work by Crudu, Debussche, Muller and Radulescu. Using an adequate coupling, we are able to prove the strong convergence, for the uniform topology, to a piecewise deterministic Markov…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-03 Baptiste Nicolas Huguet

We consider the spectral properties of a class of regularized estimators of (large) empirical covariance matrices corresponding to stationary (but not necessarily Gaussian) sequences, obtained by banding. We prove a law of large numbers…

概率论 · 数学 2009-01-22 Greg W. Anderson , Ofer Zeitouni

We use martingale embeddings to prove a central limit theorem (CLT) for one-dimensional projections of high-dimensional random vectors in $\{-1,1\}^n$ satisfying a Poincar\'e inequality. We obtain a non-asymptotic error bound involving…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-29 Xiao Fang , Yang Xie , Yi-Kun Zhao