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We study the application of a Bayesian method to extract relevant information from data for the case of a signal consisting of two or more decaying particles and its background. The method takes advantage of the dependence that exists in…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2023-06-06 Ezequiel Alvarez

Compound Poisson distributions have been employed by many authors to fit experimental data, typically via the method of moments or maximum likelihood estimation. We propose a new technique and apply it to several sets of published data. It…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-01 S. R. Mane

We present a Bayesian data fusion method to approximate a posterior distribution from an ensemble of particle estimates that only have access to subsets of the data. Our approach relies on approximate probabilistic inference of model…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-10-28 Caleb Miller , Michael D. Schneider , Jem N. Corcoran , Jason Bernstein

Determining the number G of components in a finite mixture distribution is an important and difficult inference issue. This is a most important question, because statistical inference about the resulting model is highly sensitive to the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-27 Gilles Celeux , Sylvia Fruewirth-Schnatter , Christian P. Robert

Bayesian inversion generates a posterior distribution of model parameters from an observation equation and prior information both weighted by hyperparameters. The prior is also introduced for the hyperparameters in fully Bayesian inversions…

地球物理 · 物理学 2022-07-20 Dye SK Sato , Yukitoshi Fukahata , Yohei Nozue

We study a non standard mixed formulation of the Poisson problem, sometimes known as dual mixed formulation. For reasons related to the equilibration of the flux, we use finite elements that are conforming in H(div) for the approximation of…

数值分析 · 数学 2022-10-24 Fleurianne Bertrand , Daniele Boffi

We consider full Bayesian inference in the multivariate normal mean model in the situation that the mean vector is sparse. The prior distribution on the vector of means is constructed hierarchically by first choosing a collection of nonzero…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-11-07 Ismaël Castillo , Aad van der Vaart

We consider a novel paradigm for Bayesian testing of hypotheses and Bayesian model comparison. Our alternative to the traditional construction of posterior probabilities that a given hypothesis is true or that the data originates from a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-01-01 Kaniav Kamary , Kerrie Mengersen , Christian P. Robert , Judith Rousseau

Bayesian inference promises a framework for principled uncertainty quantification of neural network predictions. Barriers to adoption include the difficulty of fully characterizing posterior distributions on network parameters and the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-22 Katharine Fisher , Youssef Marzouk

Parameter estimation for model-based clustering using a finite mixture of normal inverse Gaussian (NIG) distributions is achieved through variational Bayes approximations. Univariate NIG mixtures and multivariate NIG mixtures are…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-10-09 Sanjeena Subedi , Paul D. McNicholas

We propose a kernel method to identify finite mixtures of nonparametric product distributions. It is based on a Hilbert space embedding of the joint distribution. The rank of the constructed tensor is equal to the number of mixture…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-09-27 Eleni Sgouritsa , Dominik Janzing , Jonas Peters , Bernhard Schoelkopf

Calibration of computer models is a key step in making inferences, predictions, and decisions for complex science and engineering systems. We formulate and analyze a nonparametric Bayesian methodology for computer model calibration. This…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Haiyi Shi , Lei Yang , Jiarui Chi , Troy Butler , Haonan Wang , Derek Bingham , Don Estep

Bayesian computational strategies for inference can be inefficient in approximating the posterior distribution in models that exhibit some form of periodicity. This is because the probability mass of the marginal posterior distribution of…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-12-01 Javier Lopez-Santiago , Luca Martino , Joaquin Miguez , Gonzalo Vazquez-Vilar

Sparse Bayesian factor models are routinely implemented for parsimonious dependence modeling and dimensionality reduction in high-dimensional applications. We provide theoretical understanding of such Bayesian procedures in terms of…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-06-03 Debdeep Pati , Anirban Bhattacharya , Natesh S. Pillai , David Dunson

Let $X$ have a Generalized Poisson distribution with mean $kb$, where $b$ is a known constant in the unit interval and $k$ is a discrete, non-negative parameter. We show that if an uninformative uniform prior for $k$ is assumed, then the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-06-07 T. F. Khang

In this paper we present a new Bayesian network model for classification that combines the naive-Bayes (NB) classifier and the finite-mixture (FM) classifier. The resulting classifier aims at relaxing the strong assumptions on which the two…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-01-30 Stefano Monti , Gregory F. Cooper

There has been much recent interest in modifying Bayesian inference for misspecified models so that it is useful for specific purposes. One popular modified Bayesian inference method is "cutting feedback" which can be used when the model…

The statistical inverse problem of estimating the probability distribution of an infinite-dimensional unknown given its noisy indirect observation is studied in the Bayesian framework. In practice, one often considers only…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-21 Sari Lasanen

This report introduces general ideas and some basic methods of the Bayesian probability theory applied to physics measurements. Our aim is to make the reader familiar, through examples rather than rigorous formalism, with concepts such as:…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-10 G. D'Agostini

While Bayesian inference provides a principled framework for reasoning under uncertainty, its widespread adoption is limited by the intractability of exact posterior computation, necessitating the use of approximate inference. However,…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-19 George Whittle , Juliusz Ziomek , Jacob Rawling , Maike A. Osborne
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