相关论文: Another Look at AR(1)

Let $(X_i)_{i\geq 1}$ be a stationary mean-zero Gaussian process with covariances $\rho(k)=\PE(X_{1}X_{k+1})$ satisfying: $\rho(0)=1$ and $\rho(k)=k^{-D} L(k)$ where $D$ is in $(0,1)$ and $L$ is slowly varying at infinity. Consider the…

For each $\lambda>0$ and every square-integrable infinitely-divisible (ID) distribution there exists at least one stationary stochastic process $t\mapsto X_t$ with the specified distribution for $X_1$ and with first-order autoregressive…

Extending the ideas of [7], this paper aims at providing a kernel based non-parametric estimation of a new class of time varying AR(1) processes (Xt), with local stationarity and periodic features (with a known period T), inducing the…

Let $X_{t}$ denote a stationary first-order autoregressive process. Consider five contiguous observations (in time $t$) of the series (e.g., $X_{1}, ..., X_{5}$). Let $M$ denote the maximum of these. Let $\rho$ be the lag-one serial…

Let $(A_n)_{n\in\mathbb{N}}$ be a stationary sequence of topical (i.e., isotone and additively homogeneous) operators. Let $x(n,x_0)$ be defined by $x(0,x_0)=x_0$ and $x(n+1,x_0)=A_nx(n,x_0)$. It can model a wide range of systems including…

Let A(n) be a sequence of i.i.d. topical (i.e. isotone and additively homogeneous) operators. Let $x(n,x_0)$ be defined by $x(0,x_0)=x_0$ and $x(n,x_0)=A(n)x(n-1,x_0)$. This can modelize a wide range of systems including, task graphs, train…

There has been recent interest in the conditional central limit question for (strictly) stationary, ergodic processes $...,X_{-1},X_0,X_1,...$ whose partial sums $S_n=X_1+...+X_n$ are of the form $S_n=M_n+R_n$, where $M_n$ is a square…

Let $\{X_n, n \ge 1\}$ be a sequence of stationary associated random variables. We discuss another set of conditions under which a central limit theorem for U-statistics based on $\{X_n, n \ge 1\}$ holds. We look at U-statistics based on…

Let $X_{t}$ denote a stationary first-order autoregressive process. Consider $n$ contiguous observations (in time $t$) of the series (e.g., $X_{1}, ..., X_{n}$). Let its mean be zero and its lag-one serial correlation be $\rho$, which…

We study central limit theorems for certain nonlinear sequences of random variables. In particular, we prove the central limit theorems for the bounded conductivity of the random resistor networks on hierarchical lattices.

Let $A_n$ be an $n$ by $n$ random matrix whose entries are independent real random variables with mean zero, variance one and with subexponential tail. We show that the logarithm of $|\det A_n|$ satisfies a central limit theorem. More…

We consider N single server infinite buffer queues with service rate \beta. Customers arrive at rate N\alpha, choose L queues uniformly, and join the shortest. We study the processes R^N for large N, where R^N_t(k) is the fraction of queues…

We study the problem of finding an universal estimation scheme $h_n:\mathbb{R}^n\to \mathbb{R}$, $n=1,2,...$ which will satisfy \lim_{t\rightarrow\infty}{\frac{1}{t}}\sum_{i=1}^t|h_ i(X_0,X_1,...,X_{i-1})-E(X_i|X_0,X_1,...,X_{i-1})|^p=0…

This paper considers the problem of testing if a sequence of means $(\mu_t)_{t =1,\ldots ,n }$ of a non-stationary time series $(X_t)_{t =1,\ldots ,n }$ is stable in the sense that the difference of the means $\mu_1$ and $\mu_t$ between the…

Let $\{X_n\}_{n\ge0}$ be a sequence of real valued random variables such that $X_n=\rho_n X_{n-1}+\epsilon_n,~n=1,2,\ldots$, where $\{(\rho_n,\epsilon_n)\}_{n\ge1}$ are i.i.d. and independent of initial value (possibly random) $X_0$. In…

We study the central limit theorem in the non-normal domain of attraction to symmetric $\alpha$-stable laws for $0<\alpha\leq2$. We show that for i.i.d. random variables $X_i$, the convergence rate in $L^\infty$ of both the densities and…

For AR(1)-processes $X_n=\rho X_{n-1}+\xi_n$, $n\in\mathbb{N}$, where $\rho\in\mathbb{R}$ and $(\xi_i)_{i\in\mathbb{N}}$ is an i.i.d. sequence of random variables, we study the persistence probabilities $\mathbb{P}(X_0\ge 0,\dots, X_N\ge…

In this article, we study the fluctuations of the random variable: $$ {\mathcal I}_n(\rho) = \frac 1N \log\det(\Sigma_n \Sigma_n^* + \rho I_N),\quad (\rho>0) $$ where $\Sigma_n= n^{-1/2} D_n^{1/2} X_n\tilde D_n^{1/2} +A_n$, as the…

We consider a time-varying first-order autoregressive model with irregular innovations, where we assume that the coefficient function is H\"{o}lder continuous. To estimate this function, we use a quasi-maximum likelihood based approach. A…

We characterize the convergence in distribution to a standard normal law for a sequence of multiple stochastic integrals of a fixed order with variance converging to 1. Some applications are given, in particular to study the limiting…