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It is well known that estimating bilinear models is quite challenging. Many different ideas have been proposed to solve this problem. However, there is not a simple way to do inference even for its simple cases. This paper studies the…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-05-14 Shiqing Ling , Liang Peng , Fukang Zhu

The quasi-maximum likelihood estimation is a commonly-used method for estimating GARCH parameters. However, such estimators are sensitive to outliers and their asymptotic normality is proved under the finite fourth moment assumption on the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-03 Hang Liu , Kanchan Mukherjee

In this paper, we investigate quasi-maximum likelihood (QML) estimation for the parameters of a cointegrated solution of a continuous-time linear state space model observed at discrete time points. The class of cointegrated solutions of…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-11-11 Vicky Fasen-Hartmann , Markus Scholz

We study fundamental properties of the gamma process and their relation to various topics such as Poisson-Dirichlet measures and stable processes. We prove the quasi-invariance of the gamma process with respect to a large group of linear…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 N. Tsilevich , A. Vershik , M. Yor

In this paper we are interested in the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) of the vector parameter of an autoregressive process of order $p$ with regular stationary Gaussian noise. We exhibit the large sample asymptotical properties of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-04-23 Alexandre Brouste , Chunhao Cai , Marina Kleptsyna

We establish sufficient conditions for exponential convergence to a unique quasi-stationary distribution in the total variation norm. These conditions also ensure the existence and exponential ergodicity of the Q-process, the process…

概率论 · 数学 2023-08-01 Aurélien Velleret

The asymptotic decision theory by Le Cam and Hajek has been given a lucid perspective by the Ibragimov-Hasminskii theory on convergence of the likelihood random field. Their scheme has been applied to stochastic processes by Kutoyants, and…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-01-03 Nakahiro Yoshida

Certain extremum estimators have asymptotic distributions that are non-Gaussian, yet characterizable as the distribution of the $\argmax$ of a Gaussian process. This paper presents high-level sufficient conditions under which such…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-10-24 Matias D. Cattaneo , Gregory Fletcher Cox , Michael Jansson , Kenichi Nagasawa

The stationary solution \rho of a quantum master equation can be represented as an ensemble of pure states in a continuous infinity of ways. An ensemble which is physically realizable through monitoring the system's environment we call an…

量子物理 · 物理学 2009-10-30 H. M. Wiseman , J. A. Vaccaro

In this work, we investigate Gaussian Mixture Models ({\it abbrv} GMM) and the related problem of non parametric maximum likelihood estimation ({\it abbrv} NPMLE) from the perspective of statistical mechanics. In particular, we establish…

We consider periodic Markov chains with absorption. Applying to iterates of this periodic Markov chain criteria for the exponential convergence of conditional distributions of aperiodic absorbed Markov chains, we obtain exponential…

概率论 · 数学 2022-11-08 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

We derive mixing properties for a broad class of Poisson count time series satisfying a certain contraction condition. Using specific coupling techniques, we prove absolute regularity at a geometric rate not only for stationary…

概率论 · 数学 2021-04-08 Paul Doukhan , Anne Leucht , Michael H Neumann

The aim of this paper is to provide conditions which ensure that the affinely transformed partial sums of a strictly stationary process converge in distribution to an infinite variance stable distribution. Conditions for this convergence to…

A new method of quasi-optimal observables allows one to approach the quality of data processing usually associated with the method of maximal likelihood within the simpler algorithmic context of generalized moments.

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 F. V. Tkachov

In this article we study the existence and strong consistency of GEE estimators, when the generalized estimating functions are martingales with random coefficients. Furthermore, we characterize estimating functions which are asymptotically…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-11-15 Laura Dumitrescu , Ioana Schiopu-Kratina

he quasigeostrophic model describes large scale and relatively slow fluid motion in geophysical flows. We investigate the quasigeostrophic model under random forcing and random boundary conditions. We first transform the model into a…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2007-05-23 Jinqiao Duan , Peter E. Kloeden , Bjorn Schmalfuss

For Markov processes with absorption, we provide general criteria ensuring the existence and the exponential non-uniform convergence in total variation norm to a quasi-stationary distribution. We also characterize a subset of its domain of…

概率论 · 数学 2022-10-24 Nicolas Champagnat , Denis Villemonais

We consider a class of M-estimators of the parameters of a GARCH (p,q) model. These estimators involve score functions and, for adequate choices of the score functions, are asymptotically normal under milder moment assumptions than the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-13 Marc Hallin , Hang Liu , Kanchan Mukherjee

We consider a class of perpetuities which admit direct characterization of asymptotics of the key truncated moment. The class contains perpetuities without polynomial decay of tail probabilities and thus not satisfying Kesten's theorem. We…

概率论 · 数学 2020-08-25 Adam Jakubowski , Zbigniew S. Szewczak

We introduce the notion of continuously invertible volatility models that relies on some Lyapunov condition and some regularity condition. We show that it is almost equivalent to the ability of the volatilities forecasting using the…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-11-07 Olivier Wintenberger , Sixiang Cai