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相关论文: Tail Asymptotics and Estimation for Elliptical Dis…

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If the Euclidean norm is strongly concentrated with respect to a measure, the average distribution of an average marginal of this measure has Gaussian asymptotics that captures tail behaviour. If the marginals of the measure have…

度量几何 · 数学 2007-08-28 Sasha Sodin

An explicit upper bound on the tail probabilities for the normalized Rademacher sums is given. This bound, which is best possible in a certain sense, is asymptotically equivalent to the corresponding tail probability of the standard normal…

概率论 · 数学 2017-01-17 Iosif Pinelis

Let $X$ be the number of $k$-term arithmetic progressions contained in the $p$-biased random subset of the first $N$ positive integers. We give asymptotically sharp estimates on the logarithmic upper-tail probability $\log \Pr(X \ge E[X] +…

概率论 · 数学 2024-09-16 Matan Harel , Frank Mousset , Wojciech Samotij

We study the distribution of the maximum $M$ of a random walk whose increments have a distribution with negative mean and belonging, for some $\gamma>0$, to a subclass of the class $\mathcal{S}_\gamma$--see, for example, Chover, Ney, and…

概率论 · 数学 2017-11-29 Stan Zachary , Sergey Foss

In this paper, insight is given in the techniques used to compute asymptotic expansions. In a broad fashion the technique is described. Most of the results apply to the paper "An expansion for the maximum likelihood estimator and its…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2007-10-05 Shanti Venetiaan

A variety of estimators for the parameters of the Generalized Pareto distribution, the approximating distribution for excesses over a high threshold, have been proposed, always assuming the underlying data to be independent. We recently…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-05-26 Lukas Martig , Jürg Hüsler

We consider phase-type scale mixture distributions which correspond to distributions of a product of two independent random variables: a phase-type random variable $Y$ and a nonnegative but otherwise arbitrary random variable $S$ called the…

概率论 · 数学 2017-05-16 Leonardo Rojas-Nandayapa , Wangyue Xie

In this work, we focus on some conditional extreme risk measures estimation for elliptical random vectors. In a previous paper, we proposed a methodology to approximate extreme quantiles, based on two extremal parameters. We thus propose…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-07-26 Antoine Usseglio-Carleve

We deduce in this short report the non-asymptotic for exponential tail of distribution for sums of independent centered random variables.

概率论 · 数学 2022-06-06 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We derive upper bounds on the tail conditional expectation of binomial and Poisson random variables. Those upper bounds are subsequently employed to the problem of obtaining non-asymptotic lower bounds on the probability that the…

概率论 · 数学 2017-12-07 Christos Pelekis

There is an increasing interest to understand the dependence structure of a random vector not only in the center of its distribution but also in the tails. Extreme-value theory tackles the problem of modelling the joint tail of a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-11-04 Anna Kiriliouk , Johan Segers , Michal Warchol

The aim of this short article is to convey the basic idea of the original paper [3], without going into too much detail, about how to derive sharp asymptotics of the gyration radius for random walk, self-avoiding walk and oriented…

概率论 · 数学 2009-12-31 Akira Sakai

The multidimensional distributions with heavy tails attracted recently the attention of several papers on Applied Probability. However, the most of the works of the last decades are focused on multivariate regular variation, while the rest…

概率论 · 数学 2026-03-10 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

Let $\{X_1, X_2, ... \}$ be a sequence of dependent heavy-tailed random variables with distributions $F_1, F_2,...$ on $(-\infty,\infty)$, and let $\tau$ be a nonnegative integer-valued random variable independent of the sequence $\{X_k, k…

概率论 · 数学 2013-02-28 Kam Chuen Yuen , Chuancun Yin

This paper provides a generalization of a classical result obtained by Wilks about the asymptotic behavior of the likelihood ratio. The new results deal with the asymptotic behavior of the joint distribution of a vector of likelihood ratios…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-11-05 Emanuele Dolera , Andrea Bulgarelli

We present the asymptotic distribution for two-sided tests based on the profile likelihood ratio with lower and upper boundaries on the parameter of interest. This situation is relevant for branching ratios and the elements of unitary…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2012-10-26 Glen Cowan , Kyle Cranmer , Eilam Gross , Ofer Vitells

We provide non-asymptotic bounds for first and higher order inclusion probabilities of the rejective sampling model with various size parameters. Further we derive bounds in the semi-definite ordering for matrices that collect (conditional)…

概率论 · 数学 2022-12-20 Simon Ruetz , Karin Schnass

A simple estimator for the finite right endpoint of a distribution function in the Gumbel max-domain of attraction is proposed. Large sample properties such as consistency and the asymptotic distribution are derived. A simulation study is…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-16 Isabel Fraga Alves , Cláudia Neves

Generalized Maxwell distribution is an extension of the classic Maxwell distribution. In this paper, we concentrate on the joint distributional asymptotics of normalized maxima and minima. Under optimal normalizing constants, asymptotic…

概率论 · 数学 2020-03-10 Jianwen Huang

We study the structure of the asymptotic expansion of the probability that a combinatorial object is connected. We show that the coefficients appearing in those asymptotics are integers and can be interpreted as the counting sequences of…

组合数学 · 数学 2024-01-02 Thierry Monteil , Khaydar Nurligareev