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We consider nonparametric estimation of a mixed discrete-continuous distribution under anisotropic smoothness conditions and possibly increasing number of support points for the discrete part of the distribution. For these settings, we…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-06-21 Andriy Norets , Justinas Pelenis

We obtain the optimal Bayesian minimax rate for the unconstrained large covariance matrix of multivariate normal sample with mean zero, when both the sample size, n, and the dimension, p, of the covariance matrix tend to infinity.…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-12-04 Kyoungjae Lee , Jaeyong Lee

We apply nonparametric Bayesian methods to study the problem of estimating the intensity function of an inhomogeneous Poisson process. We exhibit a prior on intensities which both leads to a computationally feasible method and enjoys…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-11-28 Eduard Belitser , Paulo Serra , Harry van Zanten

We consider the asymptotic behavior of posterior distributions and Bayes estimators based on observations which are required to be neither independent nor identically distributed. We give general results on the rate of convergence of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Subhashis Ghosal , Aad van der Vaart

The Jeffreys divergence is a renown symmetrization of the oriented Kullback-Leibler divergence broadly used in information sciences. Since the Jeffreys divergence between Gaussian mixture models is not available in closed-form, various…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2021-11-24 Frank Nielsen

This paper proposes novel noise-free Bayesian optimization strategies that rely on a random exploration step to enhance the accuracy of Gaussian process surrogate models. The new algorithms retain the ease of implementation of the classical…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-07-18 Hwanwoo Kim , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

Parametric density estimation, for example as Gaussian distribution, is the base of the field of statistics. Machine learning requires inexpensive estimation of much more complex densities, and the basic approach is relatively costly…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2017-02-21 Jarek Duda

We introduce a novel Bayesian estimator for the class proportion in an unlabeled dataset, based on the targeted learning framework. Our procedure requires the specification of a prior (and outputs a posterior) only for the target of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-11-26 Iván Díaz , Oleksander Savenkov , Hooman Kamel

We study the posterior distribution of the Bayesian multiple change-point regression problem when the number and the locations of the change-points are unknown. While it is relatively easy to apply the general theory to obtain the…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-08-21 Heng Lian

In nonparameteric Bayesian approaches, Gaussian stochastic processes can serve as priors on real-valued function spaces. Existing literature on the posterior convergence rates under Gaussian process priors shows that it is possible to…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-07-11 Xiao Fang , Anindya Bhadra

We provide the first stochastic convergence rates for a family of adaptive quadrature rules used to normalize the posterior distribution in Bayesian models. Our results apply to the uniform relative error in the approximate posterior…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-10-27 Blair Bilodeau , Alex Stringer , Yanbo Tang

Although Bayesian inference is an immensely popular paradigm among a large segment of scientists including statisticians, most applications consider objective priors and need critical investigations (Efron, 2013, Science). While it has…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-09-11 Abhik Ghosh , Tuhin Majumder , Ayanendranath Basu

Density Ratio Estimation has attracted attention from the machine learning community due to its ability to compare the underlying distributions of two datasets. However, in some applications, we want to compare distributions of random…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-06-26 Song Liu , Yulong Zhang , Mingxuan Yi , Mladen Kolar

We study predictive density estimation under Kullback-Leibler loss in $\ell_0$-sparse Gaussian sequence models. We propose proper Bayes predictive density estimates and establish asymptotic minimaxity in sparse models. A surprise is the…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-08-01 Gourab Mukherjee , Iain M. Johnstone

Prior distributions for high-dimensional linear regression require specifying a joint distribution for the unobserved regression coefficients, which is inherently difficult. We instead propose a new class of shrinkage priors for linear…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-07-09 Yan Dora Zhang , Brian P. Naughton , Howard D. Bondell , Brian J. Reich

Method of parameterizing and smoothing the unknown underling distributions using Bernstein polynomials is proposed, verified and investigated. Any distribution with bounded and smooth enough density can be approximated by the proposed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-23 Zhong Guan

We consider heteroscedastic nonparametric regression models, when both the mean function and variance function are unknown and to be estimated with nonparametric approaches. We derive convergence rates of posterior distributions for this…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-10-07 Yuao Hu

We study the use of Gaussian process emulators to approximate the parameter-to-observation map or the negative log-likelihood in Bayesian inverse problems. We prove error bounds on the Hellinger distance between the true posterior…

数值分析 · 数学 2024-10-01 Andrew M. Stuart , Aretha L. Teckentrup

Bayesian analysis of data from the general linear mixed model is challenging because any nontrivial prior leads to an intractable posterior density. However, if a conditionally conjugate prior density is adopted, then there is a simple…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-02-19 Jorge Carlos Román , James P. Hobert

We consider Bayesian inverse problems arising in data assimilation for dynamical systems governed by partial and stochastic partial differential equations. The space-time dependent field is inferred jointly with static parameters of the…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-03-20 Baptiste Simandoux , Nikolas Kantas , Dan Crisan