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This paper considers estimation of the predictive density for a normal linear model with unknown variance under alpha-divergence loss for -1 <= alpha <= 1. We first give a general canonical form for the problem, and then give general…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-03-12 Yuzo Maruyama , William E. Strawderman

We present a new Bayesian methodology to learn the unknown material density of a given sample by inverting its two-dimensional images that are taken with a Scanning Electron Microscope. An image results from a sequence of projections of the…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-03-06 Dalia Chakrabarty , Fabio Rigat , Nare Gabrielyan , Richard Beanland , Shashi Paul

Conjugate pairs of distributions over infinite dimensional spaces are prominent in statistical learning theory, particularly due to the widespread adoption of Bayesian nonparametric methodologies for a host of models and applications. Much…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-01-12 Robert Finn , Brian Kulis

We introduce a Bayesian approach to predictive density calibration and combination that accounts for parameter uncertainty and model set incompleteness through the use of random calibration functionals and random combination weights.…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-10-26 Federico Bassetti , Roberto Casarin , Francesco Ravazzolo

Density estimation represents one of the most successful applications of Bayesian nonparametrics. In particular, Dirichlet process mixtures of normals are the gold standard for density estimation and their asymptotic properties have been…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-07-02 Antonio Canale , Pierpaolo De Blasi

Bayesian parameter inference depends on a choice of prior probability distribution for the parameters in question. The prior which makes the posterior distribution maximally sensitive to data is called the Jeffreys prior, and it is…

宇宙学与河外天体物理 · 物理学 2019-02-25 Steen Hannestad , Thomas Tram

It is shown that a consistent application of Bayesian updating from a prior probability density to a posterior using evidence in the form of expectation constraints leads to exactly the same results as the application of the maximum entropy…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2016-05-02 Sergio Davis

We study Bayesian inference in statistical linear inverse problems with Gaussian noise and priors in Hilbert space. We focus our interest on the posterior contraction rate in the small noise limit. Existing results suffer from a certain…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-09-24 Sergios Agapiou , Peter Mathé

Frequentist conditions for asymptotic suitability of Bayesian procedures focus on lower bounds for prior mass in Kullback-Leibler neighbourhoods of the data distribution. The goal of this paper is to investigate the flexibility in criteria…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-03-19 B. J. K. Kleijn , Y. Y. Zhao

We consider statistical inference in the density estimation model using a tree-based Bayesian approach, with Optional P\'olya trees as prior distribution. We derive near-optimal convergence rates for corresponding posterior distributions…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-10-12 Ismaël Castillo , Thibault Randrianarisoa

This paper studies a Bayesian estimation procedure for single-hidden-layer neural networks using $\ell_{1}$ controlled weights. We study the structure of the posterior density and provide a representation that makes it amenable to rapid…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-03-20 Curtis McDonald , Andrew R. Barron

For a classification problem described by the joint density $P(\omega,x)$, models of $P(\omega\eq\omega'|x,x')$ (the ``Bayesian similarity measure'') have been shown to be an optimal similarity measure for nearest neighbor classification.…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2007-12-04 Thomas M. Breuel

We consider fully connected and feedforward deep neural networks with dependent and possibly heavy-tailed weights, as introduced in [26], to address limitations of the standard Gaussian prior. It has been proved in [26] that, as the number…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-05-14 Nicola Apollonio , Giovanni Franzina , Giovanni Luca Torrisi

We study convergence rates of variational posterior distributions for nonparametric and high-dimensional inference. We formulate general conditions on prior, likelihood, and variational class that characterize the convergence rates. Under…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-06-18 Fengshuo Zhang , Chao Gao

In this paper, inference for the parametric component of a semiparametric model based on sampling from the posterior profile distribution is thoroughly investigated from the frequentist viewpoint. The higher-order validity of the profile…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Guang Cheng , Michael R. Kosorok

In inverse problems, it is widely recognized that the incorporation of a sparsity prior yields a regularization effect on the solution. This approach is grounded on the a priori assumption that the unknown can be appropriately represented…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-13 Giovanni S. Alberti , Luca Ratti , Matteo Santacesaria , Silvia Sciutto

We introduce a methodology for robust Bayesian estimation with robust divergence (e.g., density power divergence or {\gamma}-divergence), indexed by a single tuning parameter. It is well known that the posterior density induced by robust…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-04 Shouto Yonekura , Shonosuke Sugasawa

The aim of this note is to state a couple of general results about the properties of the penalized maximum likelihood estimators (pMLE) and of the posterior distribution for parametric models in a non-asymptotic setup and for possibly large…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-12-13 Vladimir Spokoiny

A nonparametric Bayes approach is proposed for the problem of estimating a sparse sequence based on Gaussian random variables. We adopt the popular two-group prior with one component being a point mass at zero, and the other component being…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-31 Yunbo Ouyang , Feng Liang

We investigate the convergence properties of the EM algorithm when applied to overspecified Gaussian mixture models -- that is, when the number of components in the fitted model exceeds that of the true underlying distribution. Focusing on…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-06-16 Zhenisbek Assylbekov , Alan Legg , Artur Pak