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In this paper, we study the asymptotic posterior distribution of linear functionals of the density. In particular, we give general conditions to obtain a semiparametric version of the Bernstein-Von Mises theorem. We then apply this general…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-08-31 Vincent Rivoirard , Judith Rousseau

We study frequentist risk properties of predictive density estimators for mean mixtures of multivariate normal distributions, involving an unknown location parameter $\theta \in \mathbb{R}^d$, and which include multivariate skew normal…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-02-02 Pankaj Bhagwat , Eric Marchand

Sup-norm curve estimation is a fundamental statistical problem and, in principle, a premise for the construction of confidence bands for infinite-dimensional parameters. In a Bayesian framework, the issue of whether the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-03-22 Catia Scricciolo

We study density estimation in Kullback-Leibler divergence: given an i.i.d. sample from an unknown density $p^\star$, the goal is to construct an estimator $\widehat{p}$ such that $\mathrm{KL}(p^\star,\widehat{p})$ is small with high…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-04-03 Spencer Compton , Gábor Lugosi , Jaouad Mourtada , Jian Qian , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

Many statistical models can be simulated forwards but have intractable likelihoods. Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods are used to infer properties of these models from data. Traditionally these methods approximate the posterior…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-04-03 George Papamakarios , Iain Murray

In Bayesian theory, calculating a posterior probability distribution is highly important but usually difficult. Therefore, some methods have been put forward to deal with such problem, among which, the most popular one is the asymptotic…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-07-20 Zai-Ying Zhou

We give a highly efficient "semi-agnostic" algorithm for learning univariate probability distributions that are well approximated by piecewise polynomial density functions. Let $p$ be an arbitrary distribution over an interval $I$ which is…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2013-05-15 Siu-On Chan , Ilias Diakonikolas , Rocco A. Servedio , Xiaorui Sun

We consider the task of estimating a conditional density using i.i.d. samples from a joint distribution, which is a fundamental problem with applications in both classification and uncertainty quantification for regression. For joint…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-06-16 Blair Bilodeau , Dylan J. Foster , Daniel M. Roy

We study the nonparametric estimation of the jump density of a compound Poisson process from the discrete observation of one trajectory over $[0,T]$. We consider the microscopic regime when the sampling rate $\Delta=\Delta_T\rightarrow0$ as…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-03-15 Céline Duval

We study empirical and hierarchical Bayes approaches to the problem of estimating an infinite-dimensional parameter in mildly ill-posed inverse problems. We consider a class of prior distributions indexed by a hyperparameter that quantifies…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-30 B. T. Knapik , B. T. Szabó , A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

For exponentially distributed lifetimes, we consider the prediction of future order statistics based on having observed the first $m$ order statistics. We focus on the previously less explored aspects of predicting: (i) an arbitrary pair of…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-03-12 Akbar Asgharzadeh , Éric Marchand , Ali Saadati Nik

A stationary Gaussian process is said to be long-range dependent (resp., anti-persistent) if its spectral density $f(\lambda)$ can be written as $f(\lambda)=|\lambda|^{-2d}g(|\lambda|)$, where $0<d<1/2$ (resp., $-1/2<d<0$), and $g$ is…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2012-07-24 Judith Rousseau , Nicolas Chopin , Brunero Liseo

We study frequentist properties of a Bayesian high-dimensional multivariate linear regression model with correlated responses. The predictors are separated into many groups and the group structure is pre-determined. Two features of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-06-13 Bo Ning , Seonghyun Jeong , Subhashis Ghosal

We study a Bayesian approach to recovering the initial condition for the heat equation from noisy observations of the solution at a later time. We consider a class of prior distributions indexed by a parameter quantifying "smoothness" and…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-03-04 B. T. Knapik , A. W. van der Vaart , J. H. van Zanten

In real applications, the construction of prior and acceleration of sampling for posterior are usually two key points of Bayesian inversion algorithm for engineers. In this paper, q-analogy of Gaussian distribution, q-Gaussian distribution,…

数值分析 · 数学 2018-08-06 Zhiliang Deng , Xiaomei Yang

We propose a general algorithm for approximating nonstandard Bayesian posterior distributions. The algorithm minimizes the Kullback-Leibler divergence of an approximating distribution to the intractable posterior distribution. Our method…

统计计算 · 统计学 2014-07-29 Tim Salimans , David A. Knowles

Optimality results for two outstanding Bayesian estimation problems are given in this paper: the estimation of the sampling distribution for the squared total variation function and the estimation of the density for the $L^1$-squared loss…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-10-28 A. G. Nogales

Approximate Bayesian Computation is a family of likelihood-free inference techniques that are well-suited to models defined in terms of a stochastic generating mechanism. In a nutshell, Approximate Bayesian Computation proceeds by computing…

统计计算 · 统计学 2010-07-28 Michael Blum

State-of-the-art neural network-based methods for learning summary statistics have delivered promising results for simulation-based likelihood-free parameter inference. Existing approaches require density estimation as a post-processing…

Bayesian variable selection has gained much empirical success recently in a variety of applications when the number $K$ of explanatory variables $(x_1,...,x_K)$ is possibly much larger than the sample size $n$. For generalized linear…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-09-29 Wenxin Jiang
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