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Maximum-likelihood estimation (MLE) is arguably the most important tool for statisticians, and many methods have been developed to find the MLE. We present a new inequality involving posterior distributions of a latent variable that holds…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-12-10 Niels Lundtorp Olsen

The martingale method is used to establish concentration inequalities for a class of dependent random sequences on a countable state space, with the constants in the inequalities expressed in terms of certain mixing coefficients. Along the…

概率论 · 数学 2009-01-22 Leonid , Kontorovich , Kavita Ramanan

Random-matrix theory is applied to transition-rate matrices in the Pauli master equation. We study the distribution and correlations of eigenvalues, which govern the dynamics of complex stochastic systems. Both the cases of identical and of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2013-05-29 Carsten Timm

Given the discrete-time sequence of nonnegative random variables, general dependencies between the exponential convergence of the expectations, exponential convergence of the trajectories and the logarithmic growth of the corresponding…

概率论 · 数学 2024-08-06 Dawid Tarłowski

This paper explores hypothesis testing for the parametric forms of the mean and variance functions in regression models under diverging-dimension settings. To mitigate the curse of dimensionality, we introduce weighted residual empirical…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-28 Falong Tan , Xu Guo , Lixing Zhu

Random invariant manifolds are geometric objects useful for understanding complex dynamics under stochastic influences. Under a nonuniform hyperbolicity or a nonuniform exponential dichotomy condition, the existence of random pseudo-stable…

动力系统 · 数学 2009-01-06 Tomas Caraballo , Jinqiao Duan , Kening Lu , Bjorn Schmalfuss

Consider the task of generating samples from a tilted distribution of a random vector whose underlying distribution is unknown, but samples from it are available. This finds applications in fields such as finance and climate science, and in…

We derive the exponential as well as power decreasing tail estimations for normed sums of centered independent identical distributed (or not) random variables on the Khintchine's form. We consider arbitrary, in particular, non-Rademacher's…

概率论 · 数学 2021-10-06 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We estimate density and regression functions for weak dependant datas. Using an exponential inequality obtained by Dedecker and Prieur and in a previous article of the author, we control the deviation between the estimator and the function…

动力系统 · 数学 2016-08-16 Véronique Maume-Deschamps

We use the generic chaining device proposed by Talagrand to establish exponential bounds on the deviation probability of some suprema of random processes. Then, given a random vector $\xi$ in $\R^{n}$ the components of which are independent…

统计理论 · 数学 2009-04-22 Yannick Baraud

Freedman's inequality is a supermartingale counterpart to Bennett's inequality. This result shows that the tail probabilities of a supermartingale is controlled by the quadratic characteristic and a uniform upper bound for the…

概率论 · 数学 2017-08-03 Xiequan Fan , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

Distorted distributions were introduced in the context of actuarial science for several variety of insurance problems. In this paper we consider the quantile-based probabilistic mean value theorem given in Di Crescenzo et al. [4] and…

概率论 · 数学 2025-01-03 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci , Julio Mulero

Let $(\xi_i,\mathcal{F}_i)_{i\geq1}$ be a sequence of martingale differences. Set $X_n=\sum_{i=1}^n \xi_i $ and $ \langle X \rangle_n=\sum_{i=1}^n \mathbf{E}(\xi_i^2|\mathcal{F}_{i-1}).$ We prove Cram\'er's moderate deviation expansions for…

概率论 · 数学 2025-03-04 Xiequan Fan , Qi-Man Shao

We consider the stochastic integrals of multivariate point processes and study their concentration phenomena. In particular, we obtain a Bernstein type of concentration inequality through Dol\'eans-Dade exponential formula and a uniform…

概率论 · 数学 2017-03-24 Hanchao Wang , Zhengyan Lin , Zhonggen Su

In this paper, we propose a new approach for deriving probabilistic inequalities. Our main idea is to exploit the information of underlying distributions by virtue of the monotone likelihood ratio property and Berry-Essen inequality.…

概率论 · 数学 2015-03-17 Xinjia Chen

Let $(\xi_i)_{i=1,...,n}$ be a sequence of independent and symmetric random variables. We consider the upper bounds on tail probabilities of self-normalized deviations $$ \mathbf{P} \Big( \max_{1\leq k \leq n} \sum_{i=1}^{k} |\xi_i|\big/…

概率论 · 数学 2017-05-05 Xiequan Fan

We obtain an uniform tail estimates for natural normed sums of independent random variables (r.v.) with regular varying tails of distributions. We give also many examples on order to show the exactness of offered estimates and discuss some…

概率论 · 数学 2012-06-22 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We establish theoretical guarantees for the expected prediction error of the exponential weighting aggregate in the case of multivariate regression that is when the label vector is multidimensional. We consider the regression model with…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-06-26 Arnak S. Dalalyan

This work shows how exponential concentration inequalities for additive functionals of stochastic processes over a finite time interval can be derived from concentration inequalities for martingales. The approach is entirely probabilistic…

概率论 · 数学 2020-07-14 Bob Pepin

As an alternative to the well-known methods of "chaining" and "bracketing" that have been developed in the study of random fields, a new method, which is based on a {\em stochastic maximal inequality} derived by using the formula for…

概率论 · 数学 2017-08-16 Yoichi Nishiyama