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相关论文: Maximum Likelihood Estimator for Hidden Markov Mod…

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We consider parameter estimation in finite hidden state space Markov models with time-dependent inhomogeneous noise, where the inhomogeneity vanishes sufficiently fast. Based on the concept of asymptotic mean stationary processes we prove…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-02 Manuel Diehn , Axel Munk , Daniel Rudolf

We consider hidden Markov models indexed by a binary tree where the hidden state space is a general metric space. We study the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the model parameters based only on the observed variables. In both…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-20 Julien Weibel

Consider a parametrized family of general hidden Markov models, where both the observed and unobserved components take values in a complete separable metric space. We prove that the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the parameter is…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-03-10 Randal Douc , Eric Moulines , Jimmy Olsson , Ramon van Handel

We prove the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in time-varying transition probability (TVTP) regime-switching models. This class of models extends the constant regime transition probability in Markov-switching…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2021-12-06 Chaojun Li , Yan Liu

An autoregressive process with Markov regime is an autoregressive process for which the regression function at each time point is given by a nonobservable Markov chain. In this paper we consider the asymptotic properties of the maximum…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Randal Douc , Eric Moulines , Tobias Ryden

This paper considers maximum likelihood (ML) estimation in a large class of models with hidden Markov regimes. We investigate consistency of the ML estimator and local asymptotic normality for the models under general conditions which allow…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-12-07 Demian Pouzo , Zacharias Psaradakis , Martin Sola

Markov regime switching models have been widely used in numerous empirical applications in economics and finance. However, the asymptotic distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) has not been proven for some empirically…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-06-29 Hiroyuki Kasahara , Katsumi Shimotsu

The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is pivotal in statistical inference, yet its application is often hindered by the absence of closed-form solutions for many models. This poses challenges in real-time computation scenarios,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-04-16 Pedro L. Ramos , Eduardo Ramos , Francisco A. Rodrigues , Francisco Louzada

We consider a stable Cox--Ingersoll--Ross process driven by a standard Wiener process and a spectrally positive strictly stable L\'evy process, and we study asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for its growth rate…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-08-23 Matyas Barczy , Mohamed Ben Alaya , Ahmed Kebaier , Gyula Pap

Motivated by studying asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in stochastic volatility (SV) models, in this paper we investigate likelihood estimation in state space models. We first prove, under some regularity…

统计理论 · 数学 2010-11-15 Cheng-Der Fuh

In many complex statistical models maximum likelihood estimators cannot be calculated. In the paper we solve this problem using Markov chain Monte Carlo approximation of the true likelihood. In the main result we prove asymptotic normality…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-08-09 Błażej Miasojedow , Wojciech Niemiro , Wojciech Rejchel

We consider a one dimensional sub-ballistic random walk evolving in a parametric i.i.d. random environment. We study the asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the parameter based on a single observation of the…

概率论 · 数学 2014-05-13 Mikael Falconnet , Dasha Loukianova , Arnaud Gloter

We give a thorough description of the asymptotic property of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of the skewness parameter of a Skew Brownian Motion (SBM). Thanks to recent results on the Central Limit Theorem of the rate of convergence…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-02-07 Antoine Lejay , Sara Mazzonetto

This paper deals with a parametrized family of partially observed bivariate Markov chains. We establish that, under very mild assumptions, the limit of the normalized log-likelihood function is maximized when the parameters belong to the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-10-01 Randal Douc , Francois Roueff , Tepmony Sim

In this paper we are interested in the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) of the vector parameter of an autoregressive process of order $p$ with regular stationary Gaussian noise. We exhibit the large sample asymptotical properties of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-04-23 Alexandre Brouste , Chunhao Cai , Marina Kleptsyna

A Markov-switching observation-driven model is a stochastic process $((S_t,Y_t))_{t \in \mathbb{Z}}$ where $(S_t)_{t \in \mathbb{Z}}$ is an unobserved Markov chain on a finite set and $(Y_t)_{t \in \mathbb{Z}}$ is an observed stochastic…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-30 Frederik Krabbe

The Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) serves an important role in statistics and machine learning. In this article, for i.i.d. variables, we obtain constant-specified and sharp concentration inequalities and oracle inequalities for the MLE…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-12-13 Xiaowei Yang , Xinqiao Liu , Haoyu Wei

In this paper we study asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) for the speed of a stochastic wave equation. We follow a well-known spectral approach to write the solution as a Fourier series, then we project the…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-08-09 F. Delgado-Vences , J. J. Pavon-Español

Distributional regression aims to find the best candidate in a given parametric family of conditional distributions to model a given dataset. As each candidate in the distribution family can be identified by the corresponding distribution…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-18 Gitte Kremling , Gerhard Dikta

We consider the problem of estimating the joint distribution function of the event time and a continuous mark variable based on censored data. More specifically, the event time is subject to current status censoring and the continuous mark…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-09-07 Piet Groeneboom , Geurt Jongbloed , Birgit Witte
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