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We study the multi-step off-policy learning approach to distributional RL. Despite the apparent similarity between value-based RL and distributional RL, our study reveals intriguing and fundamental differences between the two cases in the…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-07-18 Yunhao Tang , Mark Rowland , Rémi Munos , Bernardo Ávila Pires , Will Dabney , Marc G. Bellemare

In this work, we develop the asymptotic theory of the Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA) and Detrended Cross-Correlation Analysis (DCCA) for trend-stationary stochastic processes without any assumption on the specific form of the…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-11-16 Taiane Schaedler Prass , Guilherme Pumi

Dirichlet processes (DP) are widely applied in Bayesian nonparametric modeling. However, in their basic form they do not directly integrate dependency information among data arising from space and time. In this paper, we propose location…

机器学习 · 统计学 2017-07-04 Shiliang Sun , John Paisley , Qiuyang Liu

We study large deviation asymptotics for processes defined in terms of continued fraction digits. We use the continued fraction digit sum process to define a stopping time and derive a joint large deviation asymptotic for the upper and…

数论 · 数学 2008-03-19 Marc Kesseböhmer , Mehdi Slassi

We study a class of deterministic flows in ${\mathbb R}^{d\times k}$, parametrized by a random matrix ${\boldsymbol X}\in {\mathbb R}^{n\times d}$ with i.i.d. centered subgaussian entries. We characterize the asymptotic behavior of these…

概率论 · 数学 2026-04-21 Michael Celentano , Chen Cheng , Andrea Montanari

Recently in the field of unsupervised representation learning, strong identifiability results for disentanglement of causally-related latent variables have been established by exploiting certain side information, such as class labels, in…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-10-26 Weiran Yao , Guangyi Chen , Kun Zhang

A major issue in financial economics is the behavior of asset returns over long horizons. Various estimators of long range dependence have been proposed. Even though some have known asymptotic properties, it is important to test their…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-06-24 Rafal Weron

Temporal difference (TD) learning is a foundational algorithm in reinforcement learning (RL). For nearly forty years, TD learning has served as a workhorse for applied RL as well as a building block for more complex and specialized…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-06-24 Hwanwoo Kim , Panos Toulis , Eric Laber

For sequences of non-lattice weakly dependent random variables, we obtain asymptotic expansions for Large Deviation Principles. These expansions, commonly referred to as strong large deviation results, are in the spirit of Edgeworth…

概率论 · 数学 2020-03-10 Kasun Fernando , Pratima Hebbar

We consider Stochastic Volatility processes with heavy tails and possible long memory in volatility. We study the limiting conditional distribution of future events given that some present or past event was extreme (i.e. above a level which…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-08-17 Rafał Kulik , Philippe Soulier

Double Reinforcement Learning (DRL) enables efficient inference for policy values in nonparametric Markov decision processes (MDPs), but existing methods face two major obstacles: (1) they require stringent intertemporal overlap conditions…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-11-14 Lars van der Laan , David Hubbard , Allen Tran , Nathan Kallus , Aurélien Bibaut

Establishing causality is a fundamental goal in fields like medicine and social sciences. While randomized controlled trials are the gold standard for causal inference, they are not always feasible or ethical. Observational studies can…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-12-03 Andrew Ying

Assessing the probability of occurrence of extreme events is a crucial issue in various fields like finance, insurance, telecommunication or environmental sciences. In a multivariate framework, the tail dependence is characterized by the…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-05-26 Nicolas Goix , Anne Sabourin , Stéphan Clémençon

Multiple testing is a fundamental problem in high-dimensional statistical inference. Although many methods have been proposed to control false discoveries, it is still a challenging task when the tests are correlated to each other. To…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-07-06 Meng Mei , Yuan Jiang

We introduce a novel varying-weight dependent Dirichlet process (DDP) model that extends a recently developed semi-parametric generalized linear model (SPGLM) by adding a nonparametric Bayesian prior on the baseline distribution of the GLM.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-03-31 Entejar Alam , Paul J. Rathouz , Peter Mueller

We formulate a time-dependent Fluctuating Local Field (TD-FLF) method for correlated fermion dynamics, extending the stationary FLF approach. The wavefunction is approximated as an ensemble of non-interacting states subject to a classical…

强关联电子 · 物理学 2026-04-30 L. D. Silakov , Ya. S. Lyakhova , A. N. Rubtsov

We study the large-time asymptotic of renewal-reward processes with a heavy-tailed waiting time distribution. It is known that the heavy tail of the distribution produces an extremely slow dynamics, resulting in a singular large deviation…

数学物理 · 物理学 2022-01-05 Hiroshi Horii , Raphael Lefevere , Takahiro Nemoto

We obtain the law of large numbers (LLN) and the central limit theorem (CLT) for weakly dependent non-stationary arrays of random fields with asymptotically unbounded moments. The weak dependence condition for arrays of random fields is…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-08-15 Yue Pan , Jiazhu Pan

Let $(G(X_j))_{j\geq1}$ be a multivariate subordinated Gaussian process, which exhibits long-range dependence. We study the asymptotic behaviour of the corresponding sequential empirical process under two different types of subordination.…

概率论 · 数学 2015-08-31 Jannis Buchsteiner

We derive an annealed large deviation principle (LDP) for the normalised and rescaled local times of a continuous-time random walk among random conductances (RWRC) in a time-dependent, growing box in $\Z^d$. We work in the interesting case…

概率论 · 数学 2013-08-22 Wolfgang König , Tilman Wolff