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We consider the problem of testing for long-range dependence in time-varying coefficient regression models, where the covariates and errors are locally stationary, allowing complex temporal dynamics and heteroscedasticity. We develop KPSS,…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-03-10 Lujia Bai , Weichi Wu

Based on a martingale theory approach, we present a complete characterization of the asymptotic behaviour of a lazy reinforced random walk (LRRW) which shows three different regimes (diffusive, critical and superdiffusive). This allows us…

Distribution shifts between operational domains can severely affect the performance of learned models in self-driving vehicles (SDVs). While this is a well-established problem, prior work has mostly explored naive solutions such as…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2025-03-31 Christopher Diehl , Peter Karkus , Sushant Veer , Marco Pavone , Torsten Bertram

Post-training of large language models involves a fundamental trade-off between supervised fine-tuning (SFT), which efficiently mimics demonstrations but tends to memorize, and reinforcement learning (RL), which achieves better…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2026-02-03 He Zhu , Junyou Su , Peng Lai , Ren Ma , Wenjia Zhang , Linyi Yang , Guanhua Chen

In this paper we study the asymptotic behaviour of empirical processes when parameters are estimated, assuming that the underlying sequence of random variables is long-range dependent. We show completely different phenomena compared to…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 Rafal Kulik

We develop the basic building blocks of a frequency domain framework for drawing statistical inferences on the second-order structure of a stationary sequence of functional data. The key element in such a context is the spectral density…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-05-10 Victor M. Panaretos , Shahin Tavakoli

Autoregressive processes (AR) have typical short-range memory. Detrended Fluctuation Analysis (DFA) was basically designed to reveal long range correlation in non stationary processes. However DFA can also be regarded as a suitable method…

生物物理 · 物理学 2007-07-11 V. V. Morariu , L. Buimaga-Iarinca , C. Vamos , S. Soltuz

We examine the asymptotic behaviour of the sample autocovariance in a continuous-time moving average model with long-range dependence. We show that it is either asymptotically Rosenblatt distributed or stable distributed. This shows that…

概率论 · 数学 2015-11-24 Felix Spangenberg

Distributional reinforcement learning (DRL) enhances the understanding of the effects of the randomness in the environment by letting agents learn the distribution of a random return, rather than its expected value as in standard…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2024-03-26 Zifan Wang , Yulong Gao , Siyi Wang , Michael M. Zavlanos , Alessandro Abate , Karl H. Johansson

The paper presents a systematic theory for asymptotic inference of autocovariances of stationary processes. We consider nonparametric tests for serial correlations based on the maximum (or ${\cal L}^\infty$) and the quadratic (or ${\cal…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-19 Han Xiao , Wei Biao Wu

The short-time Fourier transform (STFT) is widely used for analyzing non-stationary signals. However, its performance is highly sensitive to its parameters, and manual or heuristic tuning often yields suboptimal results. To overcome this…

声音 · 计算机科学 2025-06-27 Maxime Leiber , Yosra Marnissi , Axel Barrau , Sylvain Meignen , Laurent Massoulié

Empirical detection of long range dependence (LRD) of a time series often consists of deciding whether an estimate of the memory parameter $d$ corresponds to LRD. Surprisingly, the literature offers numerous spectral domain estimators for…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-07-27 Marco Oesting , Albert Rapp , Evgeny Spodarev

We introduce a class of discrete time stationary trawl processes taking real or integer values and written as sums of past values of independent `seed' processes on shrinking intervals (`trawl heights'). Related trawl processes in…

概率论 · 数学 2016-10-18 Paul Doukhan , Silvia Lopes , Adam Jakubowski , Donatas Surgailis

We introduce a definition of long range dependence of random processes and fields on an (unbounded) index space $T\subseteq \R^d$ in terms of integrability of the covariance of indicators that a random function exceeds any given level. This…

概率论 · 数学 2020-08-14 Rafal Kulik , Evgeny Spodarev

Long memory processes driven by L\'evy noise with finite second-order moments have been well studied in the literature. They form a very rich class of processes presenting an autocovariance function which decays like a power function. Here,…

概率论 · 数学 2022-04-20 G. L. Feltes , S. R. C. Lopes

Diagonal linear networks (DLNs) are a tractable model that captures several nontrivial behaviors in neural network training, such as initialization-dependent solutions and incremental learning. These phenomena are typically studied in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2026-03-16 Sota Nishiyama , Masaaki Imaizumi

Continuous determinantal point processes (DPPs) are a class of repulsive point processes on $\mathbb{R}^d$ with many statistical applications. Although an explicit expression of their density is known, it is too complicated to be used…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-01-24 Arnaud Poinas , Frédéric Lavancier

Ordinal pattern dependence is a multivariate dependence measure based on the co-movement of two time series. In strong connection to ordinal time series analysis, the ordinal information is taken into account to derive robust results on the…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-06-09 Ines Nüßgen , Alexander Schnurr

Aiming at monitoring a time series to detect stationarity as soon as possible, we introduce monitoring procedures based on kernel-weighted sequential Dickey-Fuller (DF) processes, and related stopping times, which may be called weighted…

概率论 · 数学 2018-05-01 Ansgar Steland

Distributional reinforcement learning (DRL) has achieved empirical success in various domains. One core task in DRL is distributional policy evaluation, which involves estimating the return distribution $\eta^\pi$ for a given policy $\pi$.…

机器学习 · 统计学 2025-01-17 Yang Peng , Liangyu Zhang , Zhihua Zhang