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Power-law probability distributions are widely used to model extreme statistical events in complex systems, with applications to a vast array of natural phenomena ranging from earthquakes to stock market crashes to pandemics. We show that…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-04-08 Wai-Keong Mok

We show that size-rank distributions with power-law decay (often only over a limited extent) observed in a vast number of instances in a widespread family of systems obey Tsallis statistics. The theoretical framework for these distributions…

统计力学 · 物理学 2014-09-29 G. Cigdem Yalcin , Alberto Robledo , Murray Gell-Mann

For an m-dimensional multivariate extreme value distribution there exist 2^{m}-1 exponent measures which are linked and completely characterise the dependence of the distribution and all of its lower dimensional margins. In this paper we…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-11-01 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Jonathan A. Tawn

This paper introduces nonparametric econometric methods that characterize general power law distributions under basic stability conditions. These methods extend the literature on power laws in the social sciences in several directions.…

经济学 · 定量金融 2016-06-07 Ricardo T. Fernholz

We study maximum likelihood estimation in Gaussian graphical models from a geometric point of view. An algebraic elimination criterion allows us to find exact lower bounds on the number of observations needed to ensure that the maximum…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-05-30 Caroline Uhler

In this paper, we propose an optimization-based mechanism to explain power law distributions, where the function that the optimization process is seeking to optimize is derived mathematically, then the behavior and interpretation of this…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-12-27 A. M. Khalili

Multivariate normal mixtures provide a flexible model for high-dimensional data. They are widely used in statistical genetics, statistical finance, and other disciplines. Due to the unboundedness of the likelihood function, classical…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-05-27 Jiahua Chen , Xianming Tan

We present the data on wealth and income distributions in the United Kingdom, as well as on the income distributions in the individual states of the USA. In all of these data, we find that the great majority of population is described by an…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Adrian Dragulescu , Victor M. Yakovenko

Analytical and numerical studies on many-body stochastic processes with multiplicative interactions are reviewed. The method of moment relations is used to investigate effects of asymmetry and randomness in interactions. Probability…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Akihiro Fujihara , Toshiya Ohtsuki , Hiroshi Yamamoto

In the presence of a layer of metaprobabilities (from uncertainty concerning the parameters), the asymptotic tail exponent corresponds to the lowest possible tail exponent regardless of its probability. The problem explains "Black Swan"…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2012-10-09 Nassim N. Taleb

For the tree topology, previous studies show the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) of a link/path takes a polynomial form with a degree that is one less than the number of descendants connected to the link/path. Since then, the main concern…

网络与互联网体系结构 · 计算机科学 2010-04-28 Weiping Zhu

Maximum likelihood is the most widely used statistical estimation technique. Recent work by the authors introduced a general methodology for the construction of estimators for functionals in parametric models, and demonstrated improvements…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-09-29 Jiantao Jiao , Kartik Venkat , Yanjun Han , Tsachy Weissman

Triangular distributions are a well-known class of distributions that are often used as an elementary example of a probability model. Maximum likelihood estimation of the mode parameter of the triangular distribution over the unit interval…

其他统计学 · 统计学 2016-11-08 Hien D Nguyen , Geoffrey J McLachlan

Zipf's law states that sequential frequencies of words in a text correspond to a power function. Its probabilistic model is an infinite urn scheme with asymptotically power distribution. The exponent of this distribution must be estimated.…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-06-15 Mikhail Chebunin , Artyom Kovalevskii

Stable subordinators, and more general subordinators possessing power law probability tails, have been widely used in the context of subdiffusions, where particles get trapped or immobile in a number of time periods, called constant…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-11 Phillip Kerger , Kei Kobayashi

A finite dimensional-system whose physics is governed by a Gaussian distribution can be regarded as a subsystem of an infinite dimensional-underlying system described by a uniform distribution on the (infinite dimensional) sphere. In turn,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-09-29 C. Vignat , A. Plastino

The Waxman random graph is a generalisation of the simple Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi or Gilbert random graph. It is useful for modelling physical networks where the increased cost of longer links means they are less likely to be built, and thus less…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-06-30 Matthew Roughan , Jonathan Tuke , Eric Parsonage

In this paper we obtain some possibilistic variants of the probabilistic laws of large numbers, different from those obtained by other authors, but very natural extensions of the corresponding ones in probability theory. Our results are…

概率论 · 数学 2020-09-15 Sorin G. Gal

A parametric method similar to autoregressive spectral estimators is proposed to determine the probability density function (pdf) of a random set. The method proceeds by maximizing the likelihood of the pdf, yielding estimates that perform…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-10-31 T. Dudok de Wit , E. Floriani

Modern statistical analyses often encounter datasets with massive sizes and heavy-tailed distributions. For datasets with massive sizes, traditional estimation methods can hardly be used to estimate the extreme value index directly. To…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-07-26 Yongxin Li , Liujun Chen , Deyuan Li , Hansheng Wang