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Recurrence plots provide a graphical representation of the recurrent patterns in a timeseries, the quantification of which is a relatively new field. Here we derive analytical expressions which relate the values of key statistics, notably…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 T. K. March , S. C. Chapman , R. O. Dendy

In empirical studies of random walks, continuous trajectories of animals or individuals are usually sampled over a finite number of points in space and time. It is however unclear how this partial observation affects the measured…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2018-03-13 Riccardo Gallotti , Rémi Louf , Jean-Marc Luck , Marc Barthelemy

Records of the traded value f_i(t) of stocks display fluctuation scaling, a proportionality between the standard deviation sigma(i) and the average <f(i)>: sigma(i) ~ f(i)^alpha, with a strong time scale dependence alpha(dt). The…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Janos Kertesz

This study investigates empirically whether the degree of stock market efficiency is related to the prediction power of future price change using the indices of twenty seven stock markets. Efficiency refers to weak-form efficient market…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2009-11-13 Cheoljun Eom , Gabjin Oh , Woo-Sung Jung

Fat tails in financial time series and increase of stocks cross-correlations in high volatility periods are puzzling facts that ask for new paradigms. Both points are of key importance in fundamental research as well as in Risk Management…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Marco Airoldi

The financial markets are understood as complex dynamical systems whose dynamics is analysed mostly using nonstationary and brief data sets that usually come from stock markets. For such data sets, a reliable method of analysis is based on…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2022-11-23 Krishnadas M. , K. P. Harikrishnan , G. Ambika

We study the behavior of the random walk in a continuum independent long-range percolation model, in which two given vertices $x$ and $y$ are connected with probability that asymptotically behaves like $|x-y|^{-\alpha}$ with $\alpha>d$,…

概率论 · 数学 2022-09-30 Ercan Sönmez , Arnaud Rousselle

All too often measuring statistical dependencies between financial time series is reduced to a linear correlation coefficient. However this may not capture all facets of reality. We study empirical dependencies of daily stock returns by…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2017-09-01 Marcel Wollschläger , Rudi Schäfer

Stock price change in financial market occurs through transactions in analogy with diffusion in stochastic physical systems. The analysis of price changes in real markets shows that long-range correlations of price fluctuations largely…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-10 V. Gontis

The distribution of price returns for a class of uncorrelated diffusive dynamics is considered. The basic assumptions are (1) that there is a "consensus" value associated with a stock, and (2) that the rate of diffusion depends on the…

其他凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2008-12-02 A. L. Alejandro-Quinones , K. E. Bassler , M. Field , J. L. McCauley , M. Nicol , I. Timofeyef , A. Torok , G. H. Gunaratne

Positive feedback trading, which buys when prices rise and sells when prices fall, has long been criticized for being destabilizing as it moves prices away from the fundamentals. Motivated by the relationship between positive feedback…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2021-11-25 Aihua Li

We consider a few quantities that characterize trading on a stock market in a fixed time interval: logarithmic returns, volatility, trading activity (i.e., the number of transactions), and volume traded. We search for the power-law…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2016-01-20 Rafal Rak , Stanislaw Drozdz , Jaroslaw Kwapien , Pawel Oswiecimka

We study the heartbeat activity of healthy individuals at rest and during exercise. We focus on correlation properties of the intervals formed by successive peaks in the pulse wave and find significant scaling differences between rest and…

To understand the emergence of Ultrafast Extreme Events (UEEs), the influence of algorithmic trading or high-frequency traders is of major interest as they make it extremely difficult to intervene and to stabilize financial markets. In an…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2026-02-04 Luca Henrichs , Anton J. Heckens , Thomas Guhr

We address the problem of evaluating the transfer entropy (TE) produced by biochemical reactions from experimentally measured data. Although these reactions are generally non-linear and non-stationary processes making it challenging to…

A well-known stochastic model for intermittent fluctuations in physical systems is investigated. The model is given by a super-position of uncorrelated exponential pulses, and the degree of pulse overlap is interpreted as an intermittency…

等离子体物理 · 物理学 2018-01-17 Audun Theodorsen , Odd Erik Garcia

We study the various sectors of the Bombay Stock Exchange(BSE) for a period of 8 years from April 2006 - March 2014. Using the data of daily returns of a period of eight years we make a direct model free analysis of the pattern of the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-04-23 Chandradew Sharma , Kinjal Banerjee

Fluctuation scaling is observed phenomenon from complex networks through finance to ecology. It means that the variance and the mean of a specific quantity are related as $\ev{\sigma^2|n}\propto \ev{n|A}^{2\alpha}$ with $1/2\geq \alpha \geq…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Janos Kertesz

Understanding the innovation process, that is the underlying mechanisms through which novelties emerge, diffuse and trigger further novelties is undoubtedly of fundamental importance in many areas (biology, linguistics, social science and…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2021-10-29 Giacomo Aletti , Irene Crimaldi

In time-series analysis, the term "lead-lag effect" is used to describe a delayed effect on a given time series caused by another time series. lead-lag effects are ubiquitous in practice and are specifically critical in formulating…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2020-02-04 Katsuya Ito , Kei Nakagawa