应用统计
When developing policies for prevention of infectious diseases, policymakers often set specific, outcome-oriented targets to achieve. For example, when developing a vaccine allocation policy, policymakers may want to distribute them so that…
Understanding the usage patterns for bike-sharing systems is essential in terms of supporting and enhancing operational planning for such schemes. Studies have demonstrated how factors such as weather conditions influence the number of…
We argue that the time from the onset of infectiousness to infectious contact, which we call the contact interval, is a better basis for inference in epidemic data than the generation or serial interval. Since contact intervals can be…
The M6 forecasting competition, the sixth in the Makridakis' competition sequence, is focused on financial forecasting. A key objective of the M6 competition was to contribute to the debate surrounding the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH)…
Why are life trajectories difficult to predict? We investigated this question through in-depth qualitative interviews with 40 families sampled from a multi-decade longitudinal study. Our sampling and interviewing process were informed by…
Multi-Arm, Multi-Stage (MAMS) clinical trial designs allow for multiple therapies to be compared across a spectrum of clinical trial phases. MAMS designs can be categorized into several overarching design groups, including adaptive designs…
This short note proposes two additive corrections to a pair of relations published in Wan et al. in order to extend them to a small sample size condition. In particular we focus the interest on the possibility to provide an estimate to the…
Motivated by applications to water quality monitoring using fluorescence spectroscopy, we develop the source apportionment model for high dimensional profiles of dissolved organic matter (DOM). We describe simple methods to estimate the…
The rise of internet-based services and products in the late 1990's brought about an unprecedented opportunity for online businesses to engage in large scale data-driven decision making. Over the past two decades, organizations such as…
Joint species distribution models (JSDM) are among the most important statistical tools in community ecology. They are routinely used for inference and various prediction tasks, such as to build species distribution maps or biomass…
Collaboration among multiple teams has played a major role in probabilistic forecasting events of influenza outbreaks, the COVID-19 pandemic, other disease outbreaks, and in many other fields. When collecting forecasts from individual…
The aim of this paper is to show the relationship that lies in the fact of a person being right or left handed, in their skateboarding stance. Starting from the null hypothesis that there is no relationship, the Pearson's X^2 with Yates…
One of the key problems in the field of soccer analytics is predicting how a player performance changes when transitioning from one league to another. One potential solution to address this issue lies in the evaluation of the respective…
Recognizing the importance of real-world data (RWD) for regulatory purposes, the United States (US) Congress passed the 21st Century Cures Act1 mandating the development of Food and Drug Administration (FDA) guidance on regulatory use of…
Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia, associated with significant burdens to patients and the healthcare system. The atrioventricular (AV) node plays a vital role in regulating heart rate during AF, but is often…
Engineers are often faced with the decision to select the most appropriate model for simulating the behavior of engineered systems, among a candidate set of models. Experimental monitoring data can generate significant value by supporting…
The Elo rating system is a simple and widely used method for calculating players' skills from paired comparisons data. Many have extended it in various ways. Yet the question of updating players' variances remains to be further explored. In…
In light of climate change's impacts on forests, including extreme drought and late-frost, leading to vitality decline and regional forest die-back, we assess univariate drought and late-frost risks and perform a joint risk analysis in…
This paper analyzes the excessive risk perception of Korea as one of the causes of the international dispute over the import of Fukushima food between Korea and Japan. To do this, it compares the perception of Fukushima food among Koreans…
Genomics methods have uncovered patterns in a range of biological systems, but obscure important aspects of cell behavior: the shape, relative locations of, movement of, and interactions between cells in space. Spatial technologies that…