概率论

In this article, we derive a sharp mixing time estimate of the Glauber dynamics for the Curie-Weiss-Potts model in the low-temperature regime. In contrast to the high-temperature regime studied by Cuff et al. (J. Stat. Phys. 149: 432-477,…

We study the half-space log-gamma polymer model with stationary initial conditions. We derive exact formulas for the distribution of the partition function along the diagonal across the entire High density phase and Low density phase. We…

Gaussian fields $(g_x)$ on $\mathbb{Z}_q^d$ are constructed from a class of reversible long range random walks $(X_t)_{t\in \mathbb{N}}$ on $\mathbb{Z}_q^d$ in arXiv:2510.22554. The construction is from taking the covariance function of…

We study Poisson's equation in the context of general state space Markov chains. For chains satisfying a contraction assumption w.r.t. a Wasserstein distance, we show that a solution exists for Lipschitz functions and investigate its…

We prove the hydrodynamic limit for Glauber-Kawasaki dynamics on the Sierpi\'nski gasket, a prototypical fractal graph that lacks translational invariance. The main novelty lies in incorporating Glauber dynamics, allowing for particle…

This paper investigates the asymptotic behavior of the Multi-set Allocation Occupancy (MAO) distribution, which models the count vector $X=(X_{=0},\ldots,X_{=T})$ from $T$ independent rounds of sampling without replacement of size $m$ from…

The Erd\H os-R\'enyi law states that given a sequence $\{X_j\}_{j=1}^\infty$ of i.i.d.~($p$) coin-tosses, the longest run $L_n$ of heads in the first $n$ coin tosses approaches $\log_{1/p}n$ almost surely. In this paper we explore a…

We study the gambler's ruin problem for the Elephant Random Walk, focusing on escape time from a symmetric interval of the form $\{-N, \ldots, N\}$. As our main result, we derive tight exponential bounds for the tail of this escape time. We…

Consider a discrete-time supercritical discounted branching random walk, in which increments at depth $k$ are independent and identically distributed with the same law as $m^{-kH}Y$, where $Y$ has a fixed law, $H>0$, and $m>1$ is the…

We establish necessary and sufficient conditions for stochastic invariance of closed subsets in Hilbert spaces for solutions to infinite-dimensional stochastic differential equations (SDEs) under mild assumptions on the coefficients. Our…

We consider the orthogonalisation of the signature of a stochastic process as the analogue of orthogonal polynomials on path-space. Under an infinite radius of convergence assumption, we prove density of linear functions on the signature in…

In the standard SIR model on a graph, infected vertices infect their neighbors at rate $\alpha$ and recover at rate $\mu$. We consider a two-type SIR process where each individual in the graph can be infected with two types of diseases, $A$…

We establish local laws for sample covariance matrices $K = N^{-1}\sum_{i=1}^N \g_i\g_i^*$ where the random vectors $\g_1, \ldots, \g_N \in \R^n$ are independent with common covariance $\Sigma$. Previous work has largely focused on the…

We study $n\times n$ random Hermitian matrix ensembles that are invariant under unitary conjugation. Let $I$ be a finite union of intervals lying in the bulk, and let $m_{k}^{(n)}$ be the $k$-th largest gap between consecutive eigenvalues…

We consider the problem of approximating the Langevin dynamics of inertial particles being transported by a background flow. In particular, we study an acceleration corrected advection-diffusion approximation to the Langevin dynamics, a…

In this paper, we develop a novel approach to the Weingarten calculus by employing the notion of virtual isometries. Traditionally, Weingarten calculus provides explicit formulas for integrating polynomial functions over compact matrix…

We consider the multivariate risk model with common renewal process among the lines of business, and Brownian perturbations. Assuming that the integrated tail distribution of claims is multivariate subexponential, we establish an asymptotic…

We study line ensembles arising naturally in symmetrized/half-space geometric last passage percolation (LPP) on the $N \times N$ square. The weights of the model are geometrically distributed with parameter $q^2$ off the diagonal and $cq$…

We prove that for any log-concave random vector $X$ in $\mathbb{R}^n$ with mean zero and identity covariance, $$ \mathbb{E} (|X| - \sqrt{n})^2 \leq C $$ where $C > 0$ is a universal constant. Thus, most of the mass of the random vector $X$…

In this article, we consider a class of incompressible stochastic third-grade fluids (non-Newtonian fluids) equations on two- as well as three-dimensional Poincar\'e domains $\mathcal{O}$ (which may be bounded or unbounded). Our aims are to…