概率论

We consider bond and site Bernoulli Percolation in both the oriented and the non-oriented cases on $\mathbb{Z}^d$ and obtain rigorous upper bounds for the critical points in those models for every dimension $d \geq 3$.

We show that the scaling limit of the random walk loop soup on suitable planar graphs is the Brownian loop soup, under a topology on multisets of unrooted, unparameterized, and macroscopic loops. The result holds assuming only convergence…

We prove that the maximal and minimal displacement of branching random walks with mean offspring number $\rho>1$ on free products of finite groups grows linearly almost surely. More precisely, we establish that the linear speed for the…

We investigate optimal stopping problems for systems driven by the Brownian sheet. Our analysis is divided into two parts. In the first part we derive explicit solutions to two optimal stopping problems for the exponentially discounted…

We investigate synchronization by noise for stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by a fractional Brownian motion (fbm) with Hurst index $H\in(0,1)$. Provided that the SDE has a negative top Lyapunov exponent, we show that a weak…

In this paper we introduce a generalization of classical risk measures in which the risk is represented by a step function taking two values, corresponding to two endogenously determined market regimes. This extends the traditional…

This paper constitutes the second part of a two-paper series devoted to the systematic study of vector spin glass models whose energy function involves a spin glass part and a general Mattis interaction part. In this paper, we focus on…

This paper constitutes the first part of a two-paper series devoted to the systematic study of vector spin glass models whose energy function involves a spin glass part and a general Mattis interaction part. In this paper, we focus on…

In [AJM26], we gave large-time asymptotic bounds on the annealed survival probability of a moving polymer taking values in ${\mathbb R}^d, d \geq 1$. This polymer is a solution of a stochastic heat equation driven by additive spacetime…

We prove the equivalent of the Baik, Ben Arous, P\'ech\'e (2004) phenomenon for a novel, doubly sparse model where both the Wigner noise matrix and signal vector(s) are sparse. Specifically, we consider a deformed sub-Gaussian sparse Wigner…

Consider a population that is expanding in two-dimensional space. Suppose we collect data from a sample of individuals taken at random either from the entire population, or from near the outer boundary of the population. A quantity of…

Consider some matrix waiting for its coefficients to be written. For each column, sample independently a Bernoulli random variable of some parameter $p$. Seeing all this and possibly using extra randomness, Alice then chooses one spot in…

It is well known that the edge limit of Gaussian/Laguerre Beta-ensembles, as well as a large class of $\beta$-ensembles is given by the $\mathrm{Airy}(\beta)$ point process. We extend this universality result to a general class of additions…

We use the correlation matrix of the generating distribution to determine the mixing time for random walks on the torus $(\mathbb{Z}/q\mathbb{Z})^n$. We present our method in the context of the Diaconis-Gangolli random walk on both the $1…

We consider a system of particles performing a discrete-time binary branching random walk with independent standard normal increments subject to a penalty $\b$ for every pair of particles that get within distance $\e$ of each other at every…

Consider a population evolving as a discrete-time supercritical multi-type Galton--Watson process. Suppose we run the process for $T$ generations, then sample $k$ individuals uniformly at generation $T$ and trace their genealogy backwards…

In this paper, we establish the existence of transition density for geometric $\alpha$-stable processes by using the property of self-decomposability--a fundamental concept in the theory of L\'evy processes. In contrast to traditional and…

The paper is devoted to infinite Bernoulli convolutions generated by positive multigeometric series and to probability distributions of random variables whose digits in an even integer base-$s$ expansion with two redundant digits form a…

In this letter, we prove an inequality involving alternating binomial logarithmic sums by exploiting the variance of the logarithm of the maximum of independent and identically distributed exponential random variables. This inequality was…

For a solution to a (possibly nonlinear) Fokker-Planck equation (FPE) the powerful superposition principle renders a probability measure on path space with one dimensional time marginals equal to this solution, and additionally solving the…