货币汇率对数增量的统计研究
统计理论
2013-05-09 v2 概率论
统计理论
摘要
我们考虑了12种货币(包括美元和欧元)相对于俄罗斯卢布的汇率动态。我们证明了萨缪尔森模型(几何布朗运动)不适用于此动态。我们还证明了另一种模型(具有逆高斯对数增量)也不适用于此情况。我们指出了不同货币行为的差异,以及2008年开始的金融危机前后行为的差异。
引用
@article{arxiv.1107.3880,
title = {Statistical Investigation of Increments of Currency Rates Logarithms},
author = {Andrey Sarantsev},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1107.3880},
year = {2013}
}
备注
This is my undergraduate research. This is a report on 17th International Conference "Lomonosov 2010", which took place in April 2010, in Lomonosov Moscow State University, when I was still getting my undergraduate degree there. I got a top report award for this talk