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We propose a stochastic volatility model for time series of curves. It is motivated by dynamics of intraday price curves that exhibit both between days dependence and intraday price evolution. The curves are suitably normalized to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-09 Piotr Kokoszka , Neda Mohammadi , Haonan Wang , Shixuan Wang

We study the local volatility function in the Foreign Exchange market where both domestic and foreign interest rates are stochastic. This model is suitable to price long-dated FX derivatives. We derive the local volatility function and…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2012-04-04 Griselda Deelstra , Grégory Rayée

Bid-ask spread is taken as an important measure of the financial market liquidity. In this article, we study the dynamics of the spread return and the spread volatility of four liquid stocks in the Chinese stock market, including the memory…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-05-30 Tian Qiu , Guang Chen , Li-Xin Zhong , Xiao-Run Wu

Stochastic processes with long memories, known as long memory processes, are ubiquitous in various science and engineering problems. Superposing Markovian stochastic processes generates a non-Markovian long memory process serving as…

概率论 · 数学 2025-11-24 Hidekazu Yoshioka

Recent studies have identified long-range dependence as a key feature in the dynamics of both mortality and interest rates. Building on this insight, we develop a novel bi-variate stochastic framework based on mixed fractional Brownian…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2025-08-26 Kenneth Q. Zhou , Hongjuan Zhou

Many studies assume stock prices follow a random process known as geometric Brownian motion. Although approximately correct, this model fails to explain the frequent occurrence of extreme price movements, such as stock market crashes. Using…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-05-14 Miguel A. Fuentes , Austin Gerig , Javier Vicente

One stylized feature of financial volatility impacting the modeling process is long memory. This paper examines long memory for alternative risk measures, observed absolute and squared returns for Daily REITs and compares the findings for a…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2011-03-29 John Cotter , Simon Stevenson

Field equations with time and coordinates derivatives of noninteger order are derived from stationary action principle for the cases of power-law memory function and long-range interaction in systems. The method is applied to obtain a…

数学物理 · 物理学 2015-03-11 Vasily E. Tarasov , George M. Zaslavsky

This note develops a stochastic model of asset volatility. The volatility obeys a continuous-time autoregressive equation. Conditions under which the process is asymptotically stationary and possesses long memory are characterised.…

证券定价 · 定量金融 2012-02-28 John A. D. Appleby , John A. Daniels , Katja Krol

This study presents contemporaneous modeling of asset return and price range within the framework of stochastic volatility with leverage. A new representation of the probability density function for the price range is provided, and its…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-10-28 Yuta Kurose

We introduce a prototype model in an attempt to capture some aspects of market dynamics simulating a trading mechanism. The model description starts with a discrete-space, continuous-time Markov process describing arrival and movement of…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2013-04-04 N. Vvedenskaya , Y. Suhov , V. Belitsky

The statistical properties of a stochastic process may be described (1)by the expectation values of the observables, (2)by the probability distribution functions or (3)by probability measures on path space. Here an analysis of level (3) is…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 R. Vilela Mendes , R. Lima , T. Araujo

We study the high frequency price dynamics of traded stocks by a model of returns using a semi-Markov approach. More precisely we assume that the intraday returns are described by a discrete time homogeneous semi-Markov which depends also…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-05-30 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni

A non-fungible token (NFT) market is a new trading invention based on the blockchain technology which parallels the cryptocurrency market. In the present work we study capitalization, floor price, the number of transactions, the…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2024-01-17 Paweł Szydło , Marcin Wątorek , Jarosław Kwapień , Stanisław Drożdż

This paper studies a continuous-time market {under stochastic environment} where an agent, having specified an investment horizon and a target terminal mean return, seeks to minimize the variance of the return with multiple stocks and a…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2013-02-28 Wan-Kai Pang , Yuan-Hua Ni , Xun Li , Ka-Fai Cedric Yiu

We introduce a new model in order to describe the fluctuation of tick-by-tick financial time series. Our model, based on marked point process, allows us to incorporate in a unique process the duration of the transaction and the…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2012-11-21 Alexis Fauth , Ciprian A. Tudor

Stochastic point processes with refractoriness appear frequently in the quantitative analysis of physical and biological systems, such as the generation of action potentials by nerve cells, the release and reuptake of vesicles at a synapse,…

The objective of this work is the investigation of complexity, asymmetry, stochasticity and non-linearity of the financial and economic systems by using the tools of statistical mechanics and information theory. More precisely, this thesis…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-08-30 Rubina Zadourian

We construct fractionally integrated continuous-time GARCH models, which capture the observed long range dependence of squared volatility in high-frequency data. Since the usual Molchan-Golosov and Mandelbrot-van-Ness fractional kernels…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-01-01 Stephan Haug , Claudia Klüppelberg , German Straub

Dynamic heterogeneity has often been modeled by assuming that a single-particle observable, fluctuating at a molecular scale, is influenced by its coupling to environmental variables fluctuating on a second, perhaps slower, time scale.…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Gregor Diezemann , Gerald Hinze , Hans Sillescu