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We propose a model with heterogeneous interacting traders which can explain some of the stylized facts of stock market returns. In the model synchronization effects, which generate large fluctuations in returns, can arise either from an…

adap-org · 物理学 2007-05-23 Giulia Iori

This essay discusses the advantages of a probabilistic agent-based approach to questions in theoretical economics, from the nature of economic agents, to the nature of the equilibria supported by their interactions. One idea we propose is…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2013-11-05 Ted Theodosopoulos

We study an interacting agent model of a game-theoretical economy. The agents play a minority-subsequently-majority game and they learn, using backpropagation networks, to obtain higher payoffs. We study the relevance of heterogeneity to…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Wan Ahmad Tajuddin Wan Abdullah

Some of the most relevant future applications of multi-agent systems like autonomous driving or factories as a service display mixed-motive scenarios, where agents might have conflicting goals. In these settings agents are likely to learn…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2022-07-20 Kyrill Schmid , Lenz Belzner , Robert Müller , Johannes Tochtermann , Claudia Linnhoff-Popien

It is known that the impact of transactions on stock price (market impact) is a concave function of the size of the order, but there exists little quantitative theory that suggests why this is so. I develop a quantitative theory for the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2008-12-02 Austin Gerig

Mean field games are studied by means of the weak formulation of stochastic optimal control. This approach allows the mean field interactions to enter through both state and control processes and take a form which is general enough to…

概率论 · 数学 2015-04-09 Rene Carmona , Daniel Lacker

Involving effects of media, opinion leader and other agents on the opinion of individuals of market society, a trader based model is developed and utilized to simulate price via supply and demand. Pronounced effects are considered with…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2009-11-11 Caglar Tuncay

We propose a heterogeneous agent market model (HAM) in continuous time. The market is populated by fundamental traders and chartists, who both use simple linear trading rules. Most of the related literature explores stability, price…

综合经济学 · 经济学 2019-02-27 Zsolt Bihary , Attila András Víg

We study the dynamics of the batch minority game, with random external information, using generating functional techniques a la De Dominicis. The relevant control parameter in this model is the ratio $\alpha=p/N$ of the number $p$ of…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2009-10-31 J. A. F. Heimel , A. C. C. Coolen

Empirical evidence suggests that even the most competitive markets are not strictly efficient. Price histories can be used to predict near future returns with a probability better than random chance. Many markets can be considered as {\it…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Yi-Cheng Zhang

Prices in financial markets exhibit extreme jumps far more often than can be accounted for by external news. Further, magnitudes of price changes are correlated over long times. These so called stylized facts are quantified by scaling laws…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2016-05-04 Felix Patzelt , Klaus Pawelzik

We consider a discrete-time model of a financial market where a risky asset is bought and sold with transactions having a transient price impact. It is shown that the corresponding utility maximization problem admits a solution. We manage…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-11-18 Lóránt Nagy , Miklós Rásonyi

We define and study a rather complex market model, inspired from the Santa Fe artificial market and the Minority Game. Agents have different strategies among which they can choose, according to their relative profitability, with the…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Irene Giardina , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Most finance studies are discussed on the basis of several hypotheses, for example, investors rationally optimize their investment strategies. However, the hypotheses themselves are sometimes criticized. Market impacts, where trades of…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-02-03 Takanobu Mizuta , Isao Yagi , Kosei Takashima

In this paper we present an interacting-agent model of stock markets. We describe a stock market through an Ising-like model in order to formulate the tendency of traders getting to be influenced by the other traders' investment attitudes…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2013-09-11 Taisei Kaizoji

We study the most famous example of a large financial market: the Arbitrage Pricing Model, where investors can trade in a one-period setting with countably many assets admitting a factor structure. We consider the problem of maximising…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2020-10-06 Laurence Carassus , Miklos Rasonyi

We analyze the efficiency of markets with friction, particularly power markets. We model the market as a dynamic system with $(d_t;\,t\geq 0)$ the demand process and $(s_t;\,t\geq 0)$ the supply process. Using stochastic differential…

系统与控制 · 计算机科学 2011-09-19 Arman C. Kizilkale , Shie Mannor

We propose a pseudo-market solution to resource allocation problems subject to constraints. Our treatment of constraints is general: including bihierarchical constraints due to considerations of diversity in school choice, or scheduling in…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2020-11-09 Federico Echenique , Antonio Miralles , Jun Zhang

Traders constantly consider the price impact associated with changing their positions. This paper seeks to understand how price impact emerges from the quoting strategies of market makers. To this end, market making is modeled as a dynamic…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2021-01-06 Angad Singh

A broad set of empirical phenomenon in the study of social, economic and machine behaviour can be modelled as complex systems with averaging dynamics. However many of these models naturally result in consensus or consensus-like outcomes. In…

多智能体系统 · 计算机科学 2020-07-03 Orowa Sikder