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Throughout history, many countries have repeatedly experienced large swings in asset prices, which are usually accompanied by large fluctuations in macroeconomic activity. One of the characteristics of the period before major economic…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-08-12 Tomohiro Hirano

We analyze the statistical dependency structure of the S&P 500 constituents in the 4-year period from 2007 to 2010 using intraday data from the New York Stock Exchange's TAQ database. With a copula-based approach, we find that the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2015-05-27 Michael C. Münnix , Rudi Schäfer

Monitoring economic conditions and financial stability with an early warning system serves as a prevention mechanism for unexpected economic events. In this paper, we investigate the statistical performance of sequential break-point…

应用统计 · 统计学 2021-12-14 Christis Katsouris

Econophysics is a science in its infancy, born about ten years ago at this time of writing, at the crossing roads of physics, mathematics, computing and of course economics and finance. It also covers human sciences, because all economics…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-09-25 Marcel Ausloos

Financial networks have become extremely useful in characterizing the structure of complex financial systems. Meanwhile, the time evolution property of the stock markets can be described by temporal networks. We utilize the temporal network…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-07-04 Longfeng Zhao , Gang-Jin Wang , Mingang Wang , Weiqi Bao , Wei Li , H. Eugene Stanley

We present a mathematical model of a market with $m$ shares traded across $n$ investor groups, each one with similar motivations and trading strategies. The market of each asset consists of a fixed amount of cash and shares (no additions…

动力系统 · 数学 2026-04-17 Mario Cavani

As a typical representation of complex networks studied relatively thoroughly, financial market presents some special details, such as its nonconservation and opinions spreading. In this model, agents congregate to form some clusters, which…

其他凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Jie Wang , Chun-Xia Yang , Pei-Ling Zhou , Ying-Di Jin , Tao Zhou , Bing-Hong Wang

A financial system contains many elements networked by their relationships. Extensive works show that topological structure of the network stores rich information on evolutionary behaviors of the system such as early warning signals of…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-05-09 Li Zhou , Lu Qiu , Changgui Gu , Huijie Yang

Large language models are reshaping quantitative investing by turning unstructured financial information into evidence-grounded signals and executable decisions. This survey synthesizes research with a focus on equity return prediction and…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2025-10-08 Weilong Fu

Weak form of the Efficiency Market Hypothesis (EMH) excludes predictions of future market movements from historical data and makes the technical analysis (TA) out of law. However the technical analysis is widely used by traders and…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Alexandra Ilinskaia , Kirill Ilinski

The short-time and long-time dynamics of the Bak-Sneppen model of biological evolution are investigated using the damage spreading technique. By defining a proper Hamming distance measure, we are able to make it exhibits an initial…

统计力学 · 物理学 2007-05-23 U. Tirnakli , M. L. Lyra

For a general class of dynamic and stochastic structural models, we show that (i) non-linearity in economic dynamics is a necessary and sufficient condition for time-varying parameters (TVPs) in the reduced-form VARMA process followed by…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2025-12-24 Pooyan Amir-Ahmadi , Marko Mlikota , Dalibor Stevanović

See the updated version arXiv:nlin/0111028.

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2010-09-08 Chaohong Lee , Xiwen Zhu , Kelin Gao

We present a detailed numerical analysis of the modified version of a conservative self-organized extremal model introduced by Pianegonda et. al. for the distribution of wealth of the people in a society. Here the trading process has been…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2015-05-30 Abhijit Chakraborty , G. Mukherjee , S. S. Manna

Technical analysis is considered the oldest, currently omnipresent, method for financial markets analysis, which uses past prices aiming at the possible short-term forecast of future prices. In the frame of complex systems, methods used to…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2021-06-02 Stelios M. Potirakis , Pavlos I. Zitis , Georgios Balasis , Konstantinos Eftaxias

The paper gives picture of enrichment to economic and financial system analysis using agent-based models as a form of advanced study for financial economic data post-statistical-data analysis and micro-simulation analysis. Theoretical…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Hokky Situngkir , Yohanes Surya

Technical and fundamental analysis are traditional tools used to analyze individual stocks; however, the finance literature has shown that the price movement of each individual stock correlates heavily with other stocks, especially those…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2019-03-11 Ran Zhao , Yuntian Deng , Mark Dredze , Arun Verma , David Rosenberg , Amanda Stent

Macroeconomic data is characterized by a limited number of observations (small T), many time series (big K) but also by featuring temporal dependence. Neural networks, by contrast, are designed for datasets with millions of observations and…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2024-04-04 Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber , Karin Klieber , Massimiliano Marcellino

We present a machine learning (ML)-assisted framework bridging manifold learning, neural networks, Gaussian processes, and Equation-Free multiscale modeling, for (a) detecting tipping points in the emergent behavior of complex systems, and…

This paper reviews some of the phenomenological models which have been introduced to incorporate the scaling properties of financial data. It also illustrates a microscopic model, based on heterogeneous interacting agents, which provides a…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Giulia Iori