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In this paper we study the asymptotics of linear regression in settings with non-Gaussian covariates where the covariates exhibit a linear dependency structure, departing from the standard assumption of independence. We model the covariates…

机器学习 · 统计学 2024-12-10 Behrad Moniri , Hamed Hassani

Two algorithms are proposed to simulate space-time Gaussian random fields with a covariance function belonging to an extended Gneiting class, the definition of which depends on a completely monotone function associated with the spatial…

统计计算 · 统计学 2019-12-05 Denis Allard , Xavier Emery , Céline Lacaux , Christian Lantuéjoul

Risk control has become one of the major concern of financial institutions. The need for adequate statistical tools to measure and anticipate the amplitude of the potential moves of financial markets is clearly expressed, in particular for…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Potters

High-dimensional time series data exist in numerous areas such as finance, genomics, healthcare, and neuroscience. An unavoidable aspect of all such datasets is missing data, and dealing with this issue has been an important focus in…

机器学习 · 统计学 2018-02-27 Amin Jalali , Rebecca Willett

Distributional approximations of (bi--) linear functions of sample variance-covariance matrices play a critical role to analyze vector time series, as they are needed for various purposes, especially to draw inference on the dependence…

概率论 · 数学 2018-03-20 Ansgar Steland , Rainer von Sachs

Using the standard concepts of free random variables, we show that for a large class of nonhermitean random matrix models, the support of the eigenvalue distribution follows from their hermitean analogs using a conformal transformation. We…

高能物理 - 唯象学 · 物理学 2009-10-28 Romuald A. Janik , Maciej A. Nowak , Gabor Papp , Jochen Wambach , Ismail Zahed

We study an extension of Duncan Watts' 2002 model of information cascades in social networks where edge weights are taken to be random, an innovation motivated by recent applications of cascade analysis to systemic risk in financial…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2012-11-27 T. R. Hurd , James P. Gleeson

This paper provides an insight to the time-varying dynamics of the shape of the distribution of financial return series by proposing an exponential weighted moving average model that jointly estimates volatility, skewness and kurtosis over…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2012-06-08 A. Gabrielsen , P. Zagaglia , A. Kirchner , Z. Liu

Gaussian graphical models typically assume a homogeneous structure across all subjects, which is often restrictive in applications. In this article, we propose a weighted pseudo-likelihood approach for graphical modeling which allows…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-03-17 Sutanoy Dasgupta , Peng Zhao , Jacob Helwig , Prasenjit Ghosh , Debdeep Pati , Bani K. Mallick

Consider an insurance company exposed to a stochastic economic environment that contains two kinds of risk. The first kind is the insurance risk caused by traditional insurance claims, and the second kind is the financial risk resulting…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-07-29 Jinzhu Li , Qihe Tang

Graphical models are commonly used to represent conditional dependence relationships between variables. There are multiple methods available for exploring them from high-dimensional data, but almost all of them rely on the assumption that…

机器学习 · 统计学 2020-04-22 Tianxi Li , Cheng Qian , Elizaveta Levina , Ji Zhu

In linear regression modelling the distortion of effects after marginalizing over variables of the conditioning set has been widely studied in several contexts. For Gaussian variables, the relationship between marginal and partial…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-05-08 Monia Lupparelli

Expanding a lower-dimensional problem to a higher-dimensional space and then projecting back is often beneficial. This article rigorously investigates this perspective in the context of finite mixture models, namely how to improve inference…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-11-10 Andrea Mercatanti , Fan Li , Fabrizia Mealli

Situations in many fields of research, such as digital communications, nuclear physics and mathematical finance, can be modelled with random matrices. When the matrices get large, free probability theory is an invaluable tool for describing…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2007-07-13 O. Ryan , M. Debbah

We present an original and novel method based on random matrix approach that enables to distinguish the respective role of temporal autocorrelations inside given time series and cross correlations between various time series. The proposed…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2014-07-18 Michal Sawa , Dariusz Grech

One popular approach for nonstructural economic and financial forecasting is to include a large number of economic and financial variables, which has been shown to lead to significant improvements for forecasting, for example, by the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2011-06-21 Song Song , Peter J. Bickel

This paper develops on-line inference for the multivariate local level model, with the focus being placed on covariance estimation of the innovations. We assess the application of the inverse Wishart prior distribution in this context and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-11-05 K. Triantafyllopoulos

This paper proposes two distinct contributions to econometric analysis of large information sets and structural instabilities. First, it treats a regression model with time-varying coefficients, stochastic volatility and exogenous…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-27 Dimitris Korobilis

We consider a covariance matrix composed of asymmetric and free random Levy matrices. We use the results of free random variables to derive an algebraic equation for the resolvent and solve it to extract the spectral density. For an…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Z. Burda , J. Jurkiewicz , M. A. Nowak , G. Papp , I. Zahed

Understanding covariate-varying interdependencies among features is of great interest in various applications. Motivated by microbiome studies where microbial abundances and interactions vary with environmental factors, we develop a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-03-16 Shuangjie Zhang , Michael L. Patnode , Juhee Lee