相关论文: Statistical modelling of tropical cyclone tracks: …

Tropical cyclones cause significant inland hazards, including wind damage and freshwater flooding, that depend strongly on how storm intensity evolves at and after landfall. Existing theoretical predictions for the time-dependent and…

We show a parallelism between the expansion and compression of the atmosphere in the secondary cycle of a tropical cyclone with the fast expansion and compression of wet air in a bottle. We present a simple model in order to understand how…

Genesis potential indices (GPIs) are widely used to understand the climatology of tropical cyclones (TCs). However, the sign of projected future changes depends on how they incorporate environmental moisture. Recent theory combines…

Long-lived flow patterns in the atmosphere such as weather fronts, mid-latitude blockings or tropical cyclones often induce extreme weather conditions. As a consequence, their description, detection, and tracking has received increasing…

As tropical cyclones become more intense due to climate change, the rise of Al-based modelling provides a more affordable and accessible approach compared to traditional methods based on mathematical models. This work leverages generative…

Strategic preparedness has been shown to reduce the adverse health impacts of hurricanes and tropical storms, referred to collectively as tropical cyclones (TCs), but its protective impact could be enhanced by a more comprehensive and…

Growing anthropogenic pressures have increased the need for robust predictive models. Meeting this demand requires approaches that can handle bigger data to yield forecasts that capture the variability and underlying uncertainty of…

The problem of identifying models of post-disaster reconstruction is an issue that has been dealt with in depth in a number of works, mostly dedicated to individual cases or to the comparison of models. There are also a number of works that…

Many biological phenomena such as locomotion, circadian cycles, and breathing are rhythmic in nature and can be modeled as rhythmic dynamical systems. Dynamical systems modeling often involves neglecting certain characteristics of a…

The mathematical - numerical analysis of a discrete dynamical model with two independent delays was performed. Such model may describe a continuous system with delays that have real rational number values. Applicable characteristic…

In this paper we present a method of discrete modeling and analysis of multi-level dynamics of complex large-scale hierarchical dynamic systems subject to external dynamic control mechanism. In a model each state describes parallel dynamics…

Textile drying is a key operation in the textile production cycle as it represents one of the most energy-intensive stages and plays a critical role in determining both product quality and overall process efficiency. In this work we propose…

Examples of cyclic (periodic) behavior in geophysical data abound. In many cases the primary period is known, such as in daily measurements of rain, temperature, and sea level. However, many time series of measurements contain cycles of…

We describe a percolation-type approach to modeling of the processes of aging and certain other properties of tissues analyzed as systems consisting of interacting cells. Tissues are considered as structures made of regular healthy,…

This article focuses on different aspects of pedestrian (crowd) modeling and simulation. The review includes: various modeling criteria, such as granularity, techniques, and factors involved in modeling pedestrian behavior, and different…

Inspired by the need for effective stochastic models to describe the complex behavior of biological motor proteins that move on linear tracks exact results are derived for the velocity and dispersion of simple linear sequential models (or…

We reconcile the discrepancy between the complex and tropical counts of some enumerative problems reducing to positive characteristic. Each problem that we consider suggests a prime with special behaviour. Modulo this prime, the solutions…

Lymphocyte populations, stimulated in vitro or in vivo, grow as cells divide. Stochastic models are appropriate because some cells undergo multiple rounds of division, some die, and others of the same type in the same conditions do not…

Slope movements (e.g. landslides) are dynamic systems that are complex in time and space and closely linked to both inherited and current preparatory and triggering controls. It is not yet possible to assess in all cases conditions for…

Software release development process, that we refer to as "release trajectory", involves development activities that are usually sorted in different categories, such as incorporating new features, improving software, or fixing bugs, and…