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相关论文: Dynamical Minority Games in Futures Exchange Marke…

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We present a dynamical theory of a multi-agent market game, the so-called Minority Game (MG), based on crowds and anticrowds. The time-averaged version of the dynamical equations provides a quantitatively accurate, yet intuitively simple,…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-31 M. Hart , P. Jefferies , P. M. Hui , N. F. Johnson

We apply the formalism of the continuous time random walk (CTRW) theory to financial tick data of the bond futures transacted in Korean Futures Exchange (KOFEX) market. For our case, the tick dynamical behaviors of the returns and…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-10 Kyungsik Kim , Seong-Min Yoon , Jum Soo Choi

A brief review is given of the minority game, an idealized model of a market of speculative agents, and its complex many-body behaviour. Particular consideration is given to the consequences and implications of correlations between…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2009-11-10 David Sherrington , Tobias Galla

We present detailed numerical results for a modified form of the so-called Minority Game, which provides a simplified model of a competitive market. Each agent has a limited set of strategies, and competes to be in a minority. An…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-31 T. S. Lo , S. W. Lim , P. M. Hui , N. F. Johnson

We present a quantitative theory, based on crowd effects, for the market volatility in a Minority Game played by a mixed population. Below a critical concentration of generalized strategy players, we find that the volatility in the crowded…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-31 P. Jefferies , M. Hart , N. F. Johnson , P. M. Hui

We study the tick dynamical behavior of the bond futures in Korean Futures Exchange(KOFEX) market. Since the survival probability in the continuous-time random walk theory is applied to the bond futures transaction, the form of the decay…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Kyungsik Kim , Seong-Min Yoon

A brief review is given of the minority game, an idealized model stimulated by a market of speculative agents, and its complex many-body behaviour. Particular consideration is given to analytic results for the model rather than discussions…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2009-11-11 David Sherrington

We review the recent approaches to modelling financial markets based on multi-agent systems. After a brief summary of the basic stylised facts observed in real-market time-series we discuss some simple agent-based systems which are…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Tobias Galla , Giancarlo Mosetti , Yi-Cheng Zhang

The herd behavior of returns is investigated in Korean futures exchange market. It is obtained that the probability distribution of returns for three types of herding parameter scales as a power law $R^{-\beta}$ with the exponents $…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Kyungsik Kim , Seong-Min Yoon , Yup Kim

The \$-Game was recently introduced as an extension of the Minority Game. In this paper we compare this model with the well know Minority Game and the Majority Game models. Due to the inter-temporal nature of the market payoff, we introduce…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 F. F. Ferreira , M. Marsili

We analyze the minority game for patients, and the results known from the minority game are applied to the patient problem consulted at the department of pediatric cardiology. We find numerically the standard deviation and the global…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Kyungsik Kim , Seong-Min Yoon , Myung-Kul Yum

This paper gives a critical account of the minority game literature. The minority game is a simple congestion game: players need to choose between two options, and those who have selected the option chosen by the minority win. The learning…

综合金融 · 定量金融 2008-12-02 Willemien Kets

The Minority Game is a generic model of competing adaptive agents, which is often believed to be a model of financial markets. We discuss to which extend this is a reasonable statement, and present minimal modifications that make this model…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-11-07 D. Challet , M. Marsili , Y. -C. Zhang

We introduce a simple extension of the minority game in which the market rewards contrarian (resp. trend-following) strategies when it is far from (resp. close to) efficiency. The model displays a smooth crossover from a regime where…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2009-11-10 A. De Martino , I. Giardina , M. Marsili , A. Tedeschi

We show analytically how the fluctuations (i.e. standard deviation) in the Minority Game (MG) can decrease below the random coin-toss limit if the agents use more general, stochastic strategies. This suppression of the standard deviation…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2007-05-23 M. Hart , P. Jefferies , N. F. Johnson , P. M. Hui

The Minority Game is a simple model for the collective behavior of agents in an idealized situation where they have to compete through adaptation for a finite resource. This review summarizes the statistical mechanics community efforts to…

无序系统与神经网络 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Esteban Moro

The Minority Game is a simple yet highly non-trivial agent-based model for a complex adaptive system. Despite its importance, a quantitative explanation of the game's fluctuations which applies over the entire parameter range of interest…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-31 M. Hart , P. Jefferies , N. F. Johnson , P. M. Hui

In this paper, we present a simple stock market model (the market game) which incorporates, as ab initio dynamics delayed majority dynamics, according to which agents (with heterogeneous strategies and price expectations) are rewarded if…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Yi Li , Robert Savit

We show analytically how the fluctuations (i.e. standard deviation) in the Minority Game (MG) can be made to decrease below the random coin-toss limit if the agents use more general behavioral strategies. This suppression of the standard…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2009-10-31 M. Hart , P. Jefferies , N. F. Johnson , P. M. Hui

In this paper it was developed a modification of the known multiagent model Minority Game, designed to simulate the behavior of traders in financial markets and the resulting price dynamics on the abstract resource. The model was…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2010-08-24 Yu. A. Kuperin , M. M. Morozova
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