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This paper introduces a class of Monte Carlo algorithms which are based upon the simulation of a Markov process whose quasi-stationary distribution coincides with a distribution of interest. This differs fundamentally from, say, current…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-04-14 Murray Pollock , Paul Fearnhead , Adam M. Johansen , Gareth O. Roberts

Monte Carlo method is a broad class of computational algorithms that rely on repeated random sampling to obtain numerical results. They are often used in physical and mathematical problems and are most useful when it is difficult or…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-09-28 Bochao Jia

A new Markov Chain Monte Carlo method for simulating the dynamics of molecular systems characterized by hard-core interactions is introduced. In contrast to traditional Kinetic Monte Carlo approaches, where the state of the system is…

计算物理 · 物理学 2017-02-07 Liborio I. Costa

The Diffusion Monte Carlo method is devoted to the computation of electronic ground-state energies of molecules. In this paper, we focus on implementations of this method which consist in exploring the configuration space with a {\bf fixed}…

数值分析 · 数学 2007-05-23 Tony Lelievre , Mohamed El Makrini , Benjamin Jourdain

The study considers the usage of a probabilistic optimization method called Cross-Entropy (CE). This is the version of the Monte Carlo method created by Reuven Rubinstein (1997). It was developed in the context of determining rare events.…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2021-04-15 Maria Katarzyna Stachowiak , Krzysztof Józef Szajowski

We study a dynamics of the epidemiological infection spreading at different values of the risk factor $\beta$ (a control parameter) with the using of dynamic Monte Carlo approach (DMC). In our toy model, the infection transmits due to…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2020-06-01 Gennadiy Burlak

Effective epidemic modeling and surveillance require computationally efficient methods that can continuously update estimates as new data becomes available. This paper explores the application of an online variant of Sequential Monte Carlo…

种群与进化 · 定量生物学 2025-09-09 Dhorasso Temfack , Jason Wyse

Sequential Monte Carlo methods, also known as particle methods, are a popular set of techniques for approximating high-dimensional probability distributions and their normalizing constants. These methods have found numerous applications in…

统计计算 · 统计学 2021-06-23 Jeremy Heng , Adrian N. Bishop , George Deligiannidis , Arnaud Doucet

Epidemics are often modelled using non-linear dynamical systems observed through partial and noisy data. In this paper, we consider stochastic extensions in order to capture unknown influences (changing behaviors, public interventions,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2012-11-06 Joseph Dureau , Konstantinos Kalogeropoulos , Marc Baguelin

Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms are used to simulate from complex statistical distributions by way of a local exploration of these distributions. This local feature avoids heavy requests on understanding the nature of the target, but it…

统计计算 · 统计学 2018-04-12 Christian P. Robert , Victor Elvira , Nick Tawn , Changye Wu

Sequential Monte Carlo Samplers are a class of stochastic algorithms for Monte Carlo integral estimation w.r.t. probability distributions, which combine elements of Markov chain Monte Carlo methods and importance sampling/resampling…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Andreas Eberle , Carlo Marinelli

Monte Carlo methods are widely used to estimate observables in many-body quantum systems. However, conventional sampling schemes often require a large number of samples to achieve sufficient accuracy. In this work we propose the…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-01-29 Wenxuan Zhang , Dingzu Wang , Dario Poletti

Inference for Dirichlet process hierarchical models is typically performed using Markov chain Monte Carlo methods, which can be roughly categorised into marginal and conditional methods. The former integrate out analytically the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2007-10-24 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Gareth Roberts

Some common systems modelling and simulation approaches for immune problems are Monte Carlo simulations, system dynamics, discrete-event simulation and agent-based simulation. These methods, however, are still not widely adopted in…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2013-07-09 Grazziela P. Figueredo , Peer-Olaf Siebers , Uwe Aickelin , Stephanie Foan

We explore a rigorous formulation of agent-based SIR epidemic dynamics as a discrete-state Markov process, capturing the stochastic propagation of infection or an invading agent on networks. Using indicator functions and corresponding…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2026-01-14 A. Y. Klimenko , A. Rozycki , Y. Lu

For a wide class of applications of the Monte Carlo method, we describe a general sampling methodology that is guaranteed to converge to a specified equilibrium distribution function. The method is distinct from that of Metropolis in that…

统计力学 · 物理学 2009-10-31 Bruce M. Boghosian

Stochastic reaction-diffusion models are employed to represent many complex physical, biological, societal, and ecological systems. The macroscopic reaction rates describing the large-scale kinetics in such systems are effective,…

生物物理 · 物理学 2024-07-22 Mohamed Swailem , Uwe C. Täuber

Colloids have a striking relevance in a wide spectrum of industrial formulations, spanning from personal care products to protective paints. Their behaviour can be easily influenced by extremely weak forces, which disturb their…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2018-06-14 Daniel Corbett , Alejandro Cuetos , Matthew Dennison , Alessandro Patti

We present a new class of interacting Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms for solving numerically discrete-time measure-valued equations. The associated stochastic processes belong to the class of self-interacting Markov chains. In contrast…

概率论 · 数学 2010-09-30 Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet

Model comparison for the purposes of selection, averaging and validation is a problem found throughout statistics. Within the Bayesian paradigm, these problems all require the calculation of the posterior probabilities of models within a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-08 Yan Zhou , Adam M Johansen , John A D Aston