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We empirically show that Bayesian inference can be inconsistent under misspecification in simple linear regression problems, both in a model averaging/selection and in a Bayesian ridge regression setting. We use the standard linear model,…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-10-30 Peter Grünwald , Thijs van Ommen

For a high-dimensional linear model with a finite number of covariates measured with error, we study statistical inference on the parameters associated with the error-prone covariates, and propose a new corrected decorrelated score test and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-01-29 Mengyan Li , Runze Li , Yanyuan Ma

We consider the problem of estimating the support of a measure from a finite, independent, sample. The estimators which are considered are constructed based on the empirical Christoffel function. Such estimators have been proposed for the…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-05-20 Mai Trang Vu , François Bachoc , Edouard Pauwels

A simple test is proposed for examining the correctness of a given completely specified response function against unspecified general alternatives in the context of univariate regression. The usual diagnostic tools based on residuals plots…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2010-04-27 Jean-Baptiste Aubin , Samuela Leoni-Aubin

In this article the issues are discussed with the Bayesian approach, least-square fits, and most-likely fits. Trying to counter these issues, a method, based on weighted confidence, is proposed for estimating probabilities and other…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-01-26 Fetze Pijlman

When averages of different experimental determinations of the same quantity are computed, each with statistical and systematic error components, then frequently the statistical and systematic components of the combined error are quoted…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2015-10-28 Jens Erler

The frequency distribution of different parameters of an EXAFS spectrum can be directly sampled by analysing a population of simulated spectra produced by adding computer-generated noise to a reference pattern. The procedure gives…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2007-05-23 Paolo Ghigna , Melissa di Muri , Giorgio Spinolo

Partial correlation coefficients are widely applied in the social sciences to evaluate the relationship between two variables after accounting for the influence of others. In this article, we present Bayes Factor Functions (BFFs) for…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-04-16 Saptati Datta

A nonparametric variant of the Kiefer--Weiss problem is proposed and investigated. In analogy to the classical Kiefer--Weiss problem, the objective is to minimize the maximum expected sample size of a sequential test. However, instead of…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-10-26 Michael Fauß , H. Vincent Poor

We consider the high energy physics unfolding problem where the goal is to estimate the spectrum of elementary particles given observations distorted by the limited resolution of a particle detector. This important statistical inverse…

应用统计 · 统计学 2015-11-18 Mikael Kuusela , Victor M. Panaretos

Approximate Bayesian computation is a statistical framework that uses numerical simulations to calibrate and compare models. Instead of computing likelihood functions, Approximate Bayesian computation relies on numerical simulations, which…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-01-19 Louisiane Lemaire , Flora Jay , I-Hung Lee , Katalin Csilléry , Michael G. B. Blum

For high dimensional data, some of the standard statistical techniques do not work well. So modification or further development of statistical methods are necessary. In this paper, we explore these modifications. We start with the important…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2024-05-29 Arnab Chakrabarti , Rituparna Sen

Some statistical models are specified via a data generating process for which the likelihood function cannot be computed in closed form. Standard likelihood-based inference is then not feasible but the model parameters can be inferred by…

统计计算 · 统计学 2015-02-20 Michael U. Gutmann , Jukka Corander , Ritabrata Dutta , Samuel Kaski

The vast majority of stochastic simulation models are imperfect in that they fail to exactly emulate real system dynamics. The inexactness of the simulation model, or model discrepancy, can impact the predictive accuracy and usefulness of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-07-21 Matthew Plumlee , Henry Lam

Bayesian calibration of computer models tunes unknown input parameters by comparing outputs with observations. For model outputs that are distributed over space, this becomes computationally expensive because of the output size. To overcome…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-10-05 Kai-Lan Chang , Serge Guillas

For many nonlinear Bayesian state estimation problems, the posterior recursion is not analytically tractable, leading to algorithms that are influenced by numerical approximation errors. These algorithms depend on parameters that affect the…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2026-05-14 Ondrej Straka , Felipe Giraldo-Grueso , Renato Zanetti

Given a supervised machine learning problem where the training set has been subject to a known sampling bias, how can a model be trained to fit the original dataset? We achieve this through the Bayesian inference framework by altering the…

机器学习 · 统计学 2022-03-16 Max Sklar

We consider a framework for determining and estimating the conditional pairwise relationships of variables when the observed samples are contaminated with measurement error in high dimensional settings. Assuming the true underlying…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-07-05 Michael Byrd , Linh Nghiem , Monnie McGee

The main features of the statistical approach to inverse problems are described on the example of a linear model with additive noise. The approach does not use any Bayesian hypothesis regarding an unknown object; instead, the standard…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-05 V. Yu. Terebizh

Missing data are a concern in many real world data sets and imputation methods are often needed to estimate the values of missing data, but data sets with excessive missingness and high dimensionality challenge most approaches to…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-22 Andrew J. Becker , James P. Bagrow