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Statistical models typically capture uncertainties in our knowledge of the corresponding real-world processes, however, it is less common for this uncertainty specification to capture uncertainty surrounding the values of the inputs to the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-05-10 Samuel E. Jackson , David C. Woods

We go through the many considerations involved in fitting a model to data, using as an example the fit of a straight line to a set of points in a two-dimensional plane. Standard weighted least-squares fitting is only appropriate when there…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2010-08-30 David W. Hogg , Jo Bovy , Dustin Lang

Hypothesis testing and model choice are quintessential questions for statistical inference and while the Bayesian paradigm seems ideally suited for answering these questions, it faces difficulties of its own ranging from prior modelling to…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-06-15 Christian P Robert

This article focuses on measurement error in covariates in regression analyses in which the aim is to estimate the association between one or more covariates and an outcome, adjusting for confounding. Error in covariate measurements, if…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-10-16 Ruth H. Keogh , Jonathan W. Bartlett

This paper addresses the integration of additional information sources into a Bayesian optimization framework while ensuring that safety constraints are satisfied. The interdependencies between these information sources are modeled using an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2025-05-06 Jannis O. Luebsen , Annika Eichler

For many important problems the quantity of interest is an unknown function of the parameters, which is a random vector with known statistics. Since the dependence of the output on this random vector is unknown, the challenge is to identify…

机器学习 · 统计学 2021-04-28 Themistoklis P. Sapsis

In the context of computer models, calibration is the process of estimating unknown simulator parameters from observational data. Calibration is variously referred to as model fitting, parameter estimation/inference, an inverse problem, and…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-10-16 Richard D. Wilkinson , Christopher W. Lanyon

Linear mixed effects models are widely used in statistical modelling. We consider a mixed effects model with Bayesian variable selection in the random effects using spike-and-slab priors and developed a variational Bayes inference scheme…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-08-15 M-Z. Spyropoulou , J. Hopker , J. E. Griffin

In many real-world scenarios where data is high dimensional, test time acquisition of features is a non-trivial task due to costs associated with feature acquisition and evaluating feature value. The need for highly confident models with an…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-09-17 Orpaz Goldstein , Mohammad Kachuee , Kimmo Karkkainen , Majid Sarrafzadeh

My dissertation revolves around Bayesian approaches towards constrained statistical inference in the factor analysis (FA) model. Two interconnected types of restricted-model selection are considered. These types have a natural connection to…

应用统计 · 统计学 2016-04-13 Carel F. W. Peeters

Statistical samples, in order to be representative, have to be drawn from a population in a random and unbiased way. Nevertheless, it is common practice in the field of model-based diagnosis to make estimations from (biased) best-first…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-08-05 Patrick Rodler , Fatima Elichanova

Statistical matching is an effective method for estimating causal effects in which treated units are paired with control units with ``similar'' values of confounding covariates prior to performing estimation. In this way, matching helps…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2023-09-13 Sanjeewani Weerasingha , Michael J. Higgins

Errors quoted on results are often given in asymmetric form. An account is given of the two ways these can arise in an analysis, and the combination of asymmetric errors is discussed. It is shown that the usual method has no basis and is…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2014-11-18 Roger Barlow

We focus on improving the accuracy of an approximate model of a multiscale dynamical system that uses a set of parameter-dependent terms to account for the effects of unresolved or neglected dynamics on resolved scales. We start by…

计算物理 · 物理学 2019-06-26 Balasubramanya T. Nadiga , Chiyu Jiang , Daniel Livescu

We consider parameter estimation, hypothesis testing and variable selection for partially time-varying coefficient models. Our asymptotic theory has the useful feature that it can allow dependent, nonstationary error and covariate…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-08-20 Ting Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

Models with dimension more than the available sample size are now commonly used in various applications. A sensible inference is possible using a lower-dimensional structure. In regression problems with a large number of predictors, the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-11-25 Sayantan Banerjee , Ismaël Castillo , Subhashis Ghosal

As the frontiers of applied statistics progress through increasingly complex experiments we must exploit increasingly sophisticated inferential models to analyze the observations we make. In order to avoid misleading or outright erroneous…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-03-23 Michael Betancourt

Inverse problems can be described as limited-data problems in which the signal of interest cannot be observed directly. A physics-based forward model that relates the signal with the observations is typically needed. Unfortunately, unknown…

信号处理 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-08 Alexandra Koulouri , Ville Rimpilainen

The problem of error density estimation for a functional single index model with dependent errors is studied. A Bayesian method is utilized to simultaneously estimate the bandwidths in the kernel-form error density and regression function,…

应用统计 · 统计学 2018-10-23 Han Lin Shang

In the second paper of this series we extend our Bayesian reanalysis of the evidence for a cosmic variation of the fine structure constant to the semi-parametric modelling regime. By adopting a mixture of Dirichlet processes prior for the…

天体物理仪器与方法 · 物理学 2013-09-12 Ewan Cameron , Tony Pettitt