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In this note we prove bounds on the upper and lower probability tails of sums of independent geometric or exponentially distributed random variables. We also prove negative results showing that our established tail bounds are asymptotically…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-02-11 Yaonan Jin , Yingkai Li , Yining Wang , Yuan Zhou

We derive in this short report the exact exponential decreasing tail of distribution for naturel normed sums of independent centered random variables (r.v.), applying the theory of Grand Lebesgue Spaces (GLS). We consider also some…

概率论 · 数学 2024-09-10 M. R. Formica , E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

The possibilities of the use of the coefficient of variation over a high threshold in tail modelling are discussed. The paper also considers multiple threshold tests for a generalized Pareto distribution, together with a threshold selection…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-10-02 J. Castillo , M. Padilla

This paper investigates a statistical procedure for testing the equality of two independent estimated covariance matrices when the number of potentially dependent data vectors is large and proportional to the size of the vectors, that is,…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-06-01 Rémy Mariétan , Stephan Morgenthaler

At high levels, the asymptotic distribution of a stationary, regularly varying Markov chain is conveniently given by its tail process. The latter takes the form of a geometric random walk, the increment distribution depending on the sign of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-12-11 Holger Drees , Johan Segers , Michał Warchoł

A new version of a strong law of large numbers for a ``good'' pairwise independent sequence of random variables (r.v.'s) with a small part of ``bad'' dependent r.v.'s is proposed. The main goal is to relax the assumption on the existence of…

概率论 · 数学 2025-06-10 I. V. Kozlov , A. Yu. Veretennikov

We propose a simple way of testing whether a given set of observations can come from a given theoretical cumulative distribution. In the test more weight is attached to the tails of the distribution than in the usual Kolmogorov or Smirnov…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-04-09 Krzysztof A. Meissner

The sums and maxima of weighted non-stationary random length sequences of regularly varying random variables may have the same tail and extremal indices, Markovich and Rodionov (2020). The main constraints are that there exists a unique…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-09-20 Natalia Markovich

Concentration inequalities are obtained on Poisson space, for random functionals with finite or infinite variance. In particular, dimension free tail estimates and exponential integrability results are given for the Euclidean norm of…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-07 J. C. Breton , C. Houdré , N. Privault

Assessing dependence within co-movements of financial instruments has been of much interest in risk management. Typically, indices of tail dependence are used to quantify the strength of such dependence, although many of the indices…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2022-09-21 Ning Sun , Chen Yang , Ričardas Zitikis

There is given a method for estimation of a probability distribution tail in terms of characteristic function. Key words: characteristic function; tail of a distribution.

概率论 · 数学 2016-07-12 Lev B. Klebanov , Andrea Karlova

Sums of of 1-dependent integer-valued random variables are approximated by compound Poisson, negative binomial and Binomial distributions and signed compound Poisson measures. Estimates are obtained for total variation and local metrics.…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-11-05 V. Čekanavičius , P. Vellaisamy

Most extreme events in real life can be faithfully modeled as random realizations from a Generalized Pareto distribution, which depends on two parameters: the scale and the shape. In many actual situations, one is mostly concerned with the…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-06-30 Paul Rochet , Isabel Serra

We derive in this article the {\it lower} bound for tail of distribution for the random variables (r.v.) through a lower estimate for its moment generating functions (MGF).

概率论 · 数学 2017-11-21 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We consider the problem of finding the optimal upper bound for the tail probability of a sum of $k$ nonnegative, independent and identically distributed random variables with given mean $x$. For $k=1$ the answer is given by Markov's…

概率论 · 数学 2016-02-12 Tomasz Łuczak , Katarzyna Mieczkowska , Matas Šileikis

Let $\{{\bf \mathcal{Z}}_n:n\geq 1\}$ be a sequence of i.i.d. random probability measures. Independently, for each $n\geq 1$, let $(X_{n1},\ldots, X_{nn})$ be a random vector of positive random variables that add up to one. This paper…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-24 Shui Feng

We consider the distribution of the sum and the maximum of a collection of independent exponentially distributed random variables. The focus is laid on the explicit form of the density functions (pdf) of non-i.i.d. sequences. Those are…

概率论 · 数学 2013-07-16 Markus Bibinger

We study the behavior of the tail probabilities $P(V^2<r)$ as $r\to 0$, where $V^2$ is defined by the following double sum $$ V^2 =\pi^{-4}\,\sum\limits_{i,j\ge 1} \Big((i+b)\,(j + \delta)\Big)^{-2}\,\xi_{ij}^2,$$ where $ \{\xi_{ij}\} $ are…

概率论 · 数学 2017-05-16 L. Rozovsky

In this paper, we analyze the set of all possible aggregate distributions of the sum of standard uniform random variables, a simply stated yet challenging problem in the literature of distributions with given margins. Our main results are…

概率论 · 数学 2019-10-02 Tiantian Mao , Bin Wang , Ruodu Wang

A feature of certain ensembles of random matrices is that the corresponding measure is invariant under conjugation by unitary matrices. Study of such ensembles realised by matrices with Gaussian entries leads to statistical quantities…

经典分析与常微分方程 · 数学 2009-11-11 P. J. Forrester , N. S. Witte