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Binary classification involves predicting the label of an instance based on whether the model score for the positive class exceeds a threshold chosen based on the application requirements (e.g., maximizing recall for a precision bound).…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2023-11-21 Gundeep Arora , Srujana Merugu , Anoop Saladi , Rajeev Rastogi

We study a bilateral trade problem where a principal has private information that is revealed with delay, such as a seller who does not yet know her production cost. Postponing the contracting process incurs a costly delay, while early…

理论经济学 · 经济学 2024-08-05 Francesco Giovannoni , Toomas Hinnosaar

By recasting indirect inference estimation as a prediction rather than a minimization and by using regularized regressions, we can bypass the three major problems of estimation: selecting the summary statistics, defining the distance…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2020-02-04 Ernesto Carrella , Richard M. Bailey , Jens Koed Madsen

Identifying the trade-offs between model-based and model-free methods is a central question in reinforcement learning. Value-based methods offer substantial computational advantages and are sometimes just as statistically efficient as…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-13 David Cheikhi , Daniel Russo

We consider the problem of aggregation of incomplete preferences represented by arbitrary binary relations or incomplete paired comparison matrices. For a number of indirect scoring procedures we examine whether or not they satisfy the…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2011-10-11 Pavel Chebotarev , Elena Shamis

In many macroeconomic applications, confidence intervals for impulse responses are constructed by estimating VAR models in levels - ignoring cointegration rank uncertainty. We investigate the consequences of ignoring this uncertainty. We…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2019-10-08 Lenard Lieb , Stephan Smeekes

We develop a mixed control framework that combines absolutely continuous controls with impulse interventions subject to stochastic execution delays. The model extends current impulse control formulations by allowing (i) the controller to…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2026-02-20 Philippe Bergault , Yadh Hafsi , Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt

Recent research has shown that seemingly fair machine learning models, when used to inform decisions that have an impact on peoples' lives or well-being (e.g., applications involving education, employment, and lending), can inadvertently…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-08-26 Aline Weber , Blossom Metevier , Yuriy Brun , Philip S. Thomas , Bruno Castro da Silva

The Credit Assignment Problem (CAP) refers to the longstanding challenge of Reinforcement Learning (RL) agents to associate actions with their long-term consequences. Solving the CAP is a crucial step towards the successful deployment of RL…

As machine learning models are increasingly employed to assist human decision-makers, it becomes critical to communicate the uncertainty associated with these model predictions. However, the majority of work on uncertainty has focused on…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2021-07-29 Daniel D'souza , Zach Nussbaum , Chirag Agarwal , Sara Hooker

Decision-making problems are commonly formulated as optimization problems, which are then solved to make optimal decisions. In this work, we consider the inverse problem where we use prior decision data to uncover the underlying…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2022-12-27 Rishabh Gupta , Qi Zhang

In the realm of autonomous vehicle technologies and advanced driver assistance systems, precise and reliable path tracking controllers are vital for safe and efficient navigation. However the presence of dead time in the vehicle control…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-07-10 Karin Festl , Michael Stolz

We study the problem of the optimal execution of a large trade in the presence of nonlinear transient impact. We propose an approach based on homotopy analysis, whereby a well behaved initial strategy is continuously deformed to lower the…

交易与市场微观结构 · 定量金融 2014-12-17 Gianbiagio Curato , Jim Gatheral , Fabrizio Lillo

The key challenges in design of predictor-based control laws for switched systems with arbitrary switching and long input delay are the potential unavailability of the future values of the switching signal (at current time) and the fact…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-20 Andreas Katsanikakis , Nikolaos Bekiaris-Liberis

Recommending the best course of action for an individual is a major application of individual-level causal effect estimation. This application is often needed in safety-critical domains such as healthcare, where estimating and communicating…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-10-26 Andrew Jesson , Sören Mindermann , Uri Shalit , Yarin Gal

In informationally efficient financial markets, option prices and this implied volatility should immediately be adjusted to new information that arrives along with a jump in underlying's return, whereas gradual changes in implied volatility…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2018-10-30 Juho Kanniainen , Martin Magris

Dynamic Discrete Choice Models (DDCMs) are important in the structural estimation literature. Since the structural errors are practically always continuous and unbounded in nature, researchers often use the expected value function. The idea…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2018-01-15 Patrick Kofod Mogensen

We propose a novel feedback controller for a class of uncertain higher-order nonlinear systems, subject to delays in both state measurement and control input signals. Building on the prescribed performance control framework, a…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-09-11 Thomas Berger , Lampros N. Bikas , Jan Hachmeister , George A. Rovithakis

An unconventional approach for optimal stopping under model ambiguity is introduced. Besides ambiguity itself, we take into account how ambiguity-averse an agent is. This inclusion of ambiguity attitude, via an $\alpha$-maxmin nonlinear…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2021-07-15 Yu-Jui Huang , Xiang Yu

This paper considers the problem of controlling a piecewise continuously differentiable system subject to time-varying uncertainties. The uncertainties are decomposed into a time-invariant, linearly-parameterized portion and a time-varying…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2025-03-12 Ying-Chun Chen , Craig Woolsey