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In this paper, we investigate the scaling limit of heavy-tailed nearly unstable cumulative INAR($\infty$) processes. These processes exhibit a power-law tail of the form $n^{-(1+\alpha)}$ for $\alpha \in (\frac{1}{2}, 1)$, and the $\ell^1$…

概率论 · 数学 2026-02-17 Yingli Wang , Chunhao Cai , Ping He , QingHua Wang

A nearly unstable sequence of stationary spatial autoregressive processes is investigated, when the sum of the absolute values of the autoregressive coefficients tends to one. It is shown that after an appropriate norming the least squares…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-03-18 Sándor Baran , Gyula Pap

A compound Poisson process whose randomized time is an independent Poisson process is called compound Poisson process with Poisson subordinator. We provide its probability distribution, which is expressed in terms of the Bell polynomials,…

概率论 · 数学 2015-11-18 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Barbara Martinucci , Shelemyahu Zacks

We discuss joint temporal and contemporaneous aggregation of $N$ independent copies of AR(1) process with random-coefficient $a \in [0,1)$ when $N$ and time scale $n$ increase at different rate. Assuming that $a$ has a density, regularly…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-10-23 Vytaute Pilipauskaite , Donatas Surgailis

The integer autoregressive (INAR) model is one of the most commonly used models in nonnegative integer-valued time series analysis and is a counterpart to the traditional autoregressive model for continuous-valued time series. To guarantee…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-09-10 Yuichi Goto , Kou Fujimori

We prove that under an easily verifiable set of conditions a sequence of associated random fields converges under rescaling to the Poisson Point Process and give a couple of examples.

概率论 · 数学 2008-09-18 Yuri Bakhtin

In this paper, we introduce a new first-order mixture integer-valued threshold autoregressive process, based on the binomial and negative binomial thinning operators. Basic probabilistic and statistical properties of this model are…

应用统计 · 统计学 2023-09-06 Danshu Sheng , Dehui Wang , Liuquan Sun

Although many time series are realizations from discrete processes, it is often that a continuous Gaussian model is implemented for modeling and forecasting the data, resulting in incoherent forecasts. Forecasts using a Poisson-Lindley…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-05-31 Rachel D. Gidaro , Jane L. Harvill

In this paper, a new bivariate random coefficient integer-valued autoregressive process based on modified negative binomial operator with dependent innovations is proposed. Basic probabilistic and statistical properties of this model are…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-04-30 Yixuan Fan , Dehui Wang

This paper presents a framework for binary autoregressive time series in which each observation is a Bernoulli variable whose success probability evolves with past outcomes and probabilities, in the spirit of GARCH-type dynamics,…

计量经济学 · 经济学 2026-04-17 Anna Bykhovskaya , Nour Meddahi

A statistical inference for random coefficient first-order autoregressive model $[RCAR(1)]$ was investigated by P.M. ROBINSON (1978) in which the coefficients varying over individuals. In this paper we attempt to generalize this result to…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-11-13 A. Bouchemella , A. Bibi

The fractional non-homogeneous Poisson process was introduced by a time-change of the non-homogeneous Poisson process with the inverse $\alpha$-stable subordinator. We propose a similar definition for the (non-homogeneous) fractional…

概率论 · 数学 2017-11-27 Nikolai Leonenko , Enrico Scalas , Mailan Trinh

In the autoregressive process of first order AR(1), a homogeneous correlated time series $u_t$ is recursively constructed as $u_t = q\; u_{t-1} + \sigma \;\epsilon_t$, using random Gaussian deviates $\epsilon_t$ and fixed values for the…

定量方法 · 定量生物学 2014-10-10 Christoph Mark , Claus Metzner , Ben Fabry

The purpose of this paper is to provide a sharp analysis on the asymptotic behavior of the Durbin-Watson statistic. We focus our attention on the first-order autoregressive process where the driven noise is also given by a first-order…

统计理论 · 数学 2011-04-19 Bernard Bercu , Frederic Proia

We suggest a new hardcore Poisson-type distribution for Young diagrams with the row lengths from some finite list. A discrete variant of the time-ordered Mat\'{e}rn II process in 1D is employed. This approach is related to that based on the…

组合数学 · 数学 2022-06-17 Ivan Cherednik

Modelling the first-order intensity function is one of the main aims in point process theory, and it has been approached so far from different perspectives. One appealing model describes the intensity as a function of a spatial covariate.…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-07-03 M. I. Borrajo , W. González-Manteiga , M. D. Martínez-Miranda

For $p \in (0,1)$, sample a binary sequence from the infinite product measure of Bernoulli$(p)$ distributions. It is known that for $p=1/2$, almost every binary sequence is Poisson generic in the sense of Peres and Weiss, a property that…

概率论 · 数学 2025-09-30 Jon V. Kogan , Nicolò Paviato

We study a reversible one-dimensional spin system with Bernoulli(p) stationary distribution, in which a site can flip only if the site to its left is in state +1. Such models have been used as simple exemplars of systems exhibiting slow…

概率论 · 数学 2015-06-26 David Aldous , Persi Diaconis

Different change-point type models encountered in statistical inference for stochastic processes give rise to different limiting likelihood ratio processes. In a previous paper of one of the authors it was established that one of these…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-11-06 Serguei Dachian , Ilia Negri

We propose an iterative estimating equations procedure for analysis of longitudinal data. We show that, under very mild conditions, the probability that the procedure converges at an exponential rate tends to one as the sample size…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-12-18 Jiming Jiang , Yihui Luan , You-Gan Wang