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This paper focuses on a class of continuous-time controlled Markov chains with time-inconsistent and distribution-dependent cost functional (in some appropriate sense). A new definition of time-inconsistent distribution-dependent…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2019-09-26 Hongwei Mei , George Yin

The main goal of this text is comprehensive study of time homogeneous Markov chains on the real line whose drift tends to zero at infinity, we call such processes Markov chains with asymptotically zero drift. Traditionally this topic is…

概率论 · 数学 2023-09-06 Denis Denisov , Dmitry Korshunov , Vitali Wachtel

Catastrophe Markov chain population models have received a lot of attention in the recent past. We herewith consider two special cases of such models involving total disasters, both in discrete and in continuous-time. Depending on the…

概率论 · 数学 2021-01-12 Branda Goncalves , Thierry Huillet

This note presents conjectures on polynomial/algebraic/sub-exponential convergence of transition probabilities for $\lambda$-null recurrent and $\lambda$-transient Markov chains in continuous time. The only known positive examples are in…

概率论 · 数学 2022-02-14 Phil. Pollett

We study the ergodic behaviour of a discrete-time process $X$ which is a Markov chain in a stationary random environment. The laws of $X_t$ are shown to converge to a limiting law in (weighted) total variation distance as $t\to\infty$.…

概率论 · 数学 2019-07-29 Balazs Gerencser , Miklos Rasonyi

We study the limit behaviour of a generally non-linear ordinary differential equation whose solution is a superadditive generalisation of a stochastic matrix, and provide necessary and sufficient conditions for this solution to be ergodic,…

概率论 · 数学 2016-09-21 Jasper De Bock

We propose a new approach for estimating the finite dimensional transition matrix of a Markov chain using a large number of independent sample paths observed at random times. The sample paths may be observed as few as two times, and the…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-05-20 Daphne Aurouet , Valentin Patilea

We consider the connections among `clumped' residual allocation models (RAMs), a general class of stick-breaking processes including Dirichlet processes, and the occupation laws of certain discrete space time-inhomogeneous Markov chains…

概率论 · 数学 2019-01-25 Zach Dietz , William Lippitt , Sunder Sethuraman

In this paper, we study quasi-stationary distributions of nonlinearly perturbed semi-Markov processes in discrete time. This type of distributions is of interest for the analysis of stochastic systems which have finite lifetimes, but are…

概率论 · 数学 2016-04-28 Mikael Petersson

This paper focuses on optimizing probabilities of events of interest defined over general controlled discrete-time Markov processes. It is shown that the optimization over a wide class of $\omega$-regular properties can be reduced to the…

In this paper we consider two related stochastic models. The first one is a branching system consisting of particles moving according to a Markov family in R^d and undergoing subcritical branching with a constant rate of V>0. New particles…

概率论 · 数学 2012-11-27 Piotr Milos

This article studies the expected occupancy probabilities on an alphabet. Unlike the standard situation, where observations are assumed to be independent and identically distributed (iid), we assume that they follow a regime switching…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-19 Michael Grabchak , Mark Kelbert , Quentin Paris

Large deviation results are given for a class of perturbed nonhomogeneous Markov chains on finite state space which formally includes some stochastic optimization algorithms. Specifically, let {P_n} be a sequence of transition matrices on a…

概率论 · 数学 2007-05-23 Zach Dietz , Sunder Sethuraman

Rate processes are simple and analytically tractable models for many dynamical systems which switch stochastically between a discrete set of quasi stationary states but they may also approximate continuous processes by coarse grained,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2013-03-11 R. Toenjes , H. Kori

The idea that chaos could be a useful tool for analyze nonlinear systems considered in this paper and for the first time the two time scale property of singularly perturbed systems is analyzed on chaotic attractor. The general idea…

混沌动力学 · 物理学 2012-05-18 Mozhgan Mombeini , Ali Khaki Sedigh , Mohammad Ali Nekoui

We consider Markov chains with random transition probabilities which, moreover, fluctuate randomly with time. We describe such a system by a product of stochastic matrices, $U(t)=M_t\cdots M_1$, with the factors $M_i$ drawn independently…

数学物理 · 物理学 2018-11-14 G. C. P. Innocentini , M. Novaes

Nonlinear time series models with exogenous regressors are essential in econometrics, queuing theory, and machine learning, though their statistical analysis remains incomplete. Key results, such as the law of large numbers and the…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-10-24 Attila Lovas

Computational procedures for the stationary probability distribution, the group inverse of the Markovian kernel and the mean first passage times of an irreducible Markov chain, are developed using perturbations. The derivation of these…

概率论 · 数学 2016-10-12 Jeffrey J. Hunter

In this short paper, we consider discrete-time Markov chains on lattices as approximations to continuous-time diffusion processes. The approximations can be interpreted as finite difference schemes for the generator of the process. We…

概率论 · 数学 2016-11-08 Christoph Reisinger

Our aim is to unify and extend the large deviation upper and lower bounds for the occupation times of a Markov process with $L_2$ semigroups under minimal conditions on the state space and the process trajectories; for example, no strong…

概率论 · 数学 2008-09-24 Naresh Jain , Nicolai Krylov