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We present a computational method for measuring financial risk by estimating the Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall from financial series. We have made two assumptions: First, that the predictive distributions of the values of an asset…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2011-12-14 I. Garcia , J. Jimenez

We investigate the feasibility of integrating quantum algorithms as subroutines of simulation-based optimisation problems with relevance to and potential applications in mathematical finance. To this end, we conduct a thorough analysis of…

The Basel II internal ratings-based (IRB) approach to capital adequacy for credit risk plays an important role in protecting the Australian banking sector against insolvency. We outline the mathematical foundations of regulatory capital for…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-07-26 Marek Rutkowski , Silvio Tarca

We consider the portfolio optimization with risk measured by conditional value-at-risk, based on the stress event of chosen asset being equal to the opposite of its value-at-risk level, under the normality assumption. Solvability conditions…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2017-03-07 Anna Zalewska

Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) are popular risk measures from academic, industrial and regulatory perspectives. The problem of minimizing CVaR is theoretically known to be of Neyman-Pearson type binary solution. We…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2013-08-19 Jing Li , Mingxin Xu

Despite the fact that the Euler allocation principle has been adopted by many financial institutions for their internal capital allocation process, a comprehensive description of Euler allocation seems still to be missing. We try to fill…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2008-12-02 Dirk Tasche

Value-at-Risk (VaR) is an institutional measure of risk favored by financial regulators. VaR may be interpreted as a quantile of future portfolio values conditional on the information available, where the most common quantile used is 95%.…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-05-18 Khizar Qureshi

We study the properties of Expected Shortfall from the point of view of financial risk management. This measure --- which emerges as a natural remedy in some cases where Value at Risk (VaR) is not able to distinguish portfolios which bear…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Carlo Acerbi , Claudio Nordio , Carlo Sirtori

The risk of a credit portfolio depends crucially on correlations between the probability of default (PD) in different economic sectors. Often, PD correlations have to be estimated from relatively short time series of default rates, and the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Bernd Rosenow , Rafael Weissbach , Frank Altrock

Recent financial disasters emphasised the need to investigate the consequence associated with the tail co-movements among institutions; episodes of contagion are frequently observed and increase the probability of large losses affecting…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-11-05 Mauro Bernardi , Ghislaine Gayraud , Lea Petrella

Accurately estimating risk measures for financial portfolios is critical for both financial institutions and regulators. However, many existing models operate at the aggregate portfolio level and thus fail to capture the complex…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2023-02-10 Emanuel Sommer , Karoline Bax , Claudia Czado

This paper studies a mean-risk portfolio choice problem for log-returns in a continuous-time, complete market. This is a growth-optimal problem with risk control. The risk of log-returns is measured by weighted Value-at-Risk (WVaR), which…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-12-30 Pengyu Wei , Zuo Quan Xu

We study randomized quasi-Monte Carlo (RQMC) estimation of a multivariate integral where one of the variables takes only a finite number of values. This problem arises when the variable of integration is drawn from a mixture distribution as…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-01-19 Valerie N. P. Ho , Art B. Owen , Zexin Pan

Under Solvency II the computation of capital requirements is based on value at risk (V@R). V@R is a quantile-based risk measure and neglects extreme risks in the tail. V@R belongs to the family of distortion risk measures. A serious…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2017-11-10 Stefan Weber

In this paper, we generalize the parametric Delta-VaR methods from portfolios with elliptic distributed risk factors to portfolios with mixture of elliptically distributed ones. We treat both the Expected Shortfall and the Value-at-Risk of…

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2008-12-10 Jules Sadefo Kamdem

Even in the simple one-factor credit portfolio model that underlies the Basel II regulatory capital rules coming into force in 2007, the exact contributions to credit value-at-risk can only be calculated with Monte-Carlo simulation or with…

其他凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2008-12-10 Susanne Emmer , Dirk Tasche

In this contribution we consider the overall risk given as the sum of random subrisks $\mathbf{X}_j$ in the context of value-at-risk (VaR) based risk calculations. If we assume that the undertaking knows the parametric distribution family…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2017-04-07 Andreas Fröhlich , Annegret Weng

This paper proposes a dynamic process of portfolio risk measurement to address potential information loss. The proposed model takes advantage of financial big data to incorporate out-of-target-portfolio information that may be missed when…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2022-02-17 Kwangmin Jung , Donggyu Kim , Seunghyeon Yu

Worst-case risk measures refer to the calculation of the largest value for risk measures when only partial information of the underlying distribution is available. For the popular risk measures such as Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2016-09-15 Jonathan Yu-Meng Li

A method for quantile-based, semi-parametric historical simulation estimation of multiple step ahead Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) models is developed. It uses the quantile loss function, analogous to how the…

统计金融 · 定量金融 2025-03-06 Richard Gerlach , Antonio Naimoli , Giuseppe Storti