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Risk management is very important for individual investors or companies. There are many ways to measure the risk of investment. Prices of risky assets vary rapidly and randomly due to the complexity of finance market. Random interval is a…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2022-07-26 Jinping Zhang , Keming Zhang

In this research, we propose a novel approach for the quantification of credit portfolio Value-at-Risk (VaR) sensitivity to asset correlations with the use of synthetic financial correlation matrices generated with deep learning models. In…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2023-11-15 Sergio Caprioli , Emanuele Cagliero , Riccardo Crupi

This paper is concerned with the process of risk allocation for a generic multivariate model when the risk measure is chosen as the Value-at-Risk (VaR). We recast the traditional Euler contributions from an expectation conditional on an…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2022-06-22 Takaaki Koike , Yuri F. Saporito , Rodrigo S. Targino

Conditional value at risk (CVaR) is a popular measure for quantifying portfolio risk. Sensitivity analysis of CVaR is very useful in risk management and gradient-based optimization algorithms. In this paper, we study the infinitesimal…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-09-22 Zhijian He

Generally, in the financial literature, the notion of quadratic VaR is implicitly confused with the Delta-Gamma VaR, because more authors dealt with portfolios that contains derivatives instruments. In this paper, we postpone to estimate…

计算工程、金融与科学 · 计算机科学 2007-05-23 Jules Sadefo Kamdem

By mid 2004, the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) is epected to launch its final recommendations on minimum capital requirements in the banking industry. Although there is the intention to arrive at capital charges which concur…

其他凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2008-12-02 Dirk Tasche , Ursula Theiler

Value at Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) have become the most popular measures of market risk in Financial and Insurance fields. However, the estimation of both risk measures is challenging, because it requires the knowledge…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-17 Jacinto Martín , M. Isabel Parra , Eva L. Sanjuán , Mario M. Pizarro

Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) is a leading tail-risk measure in finance, central to both regulatory and portfolio optimization frameworks. Classical estimation of CVaR and its gradients relies on Monte Carlo simulation, incurring…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-05-19 Vasilis Skarlatos , Nikos Konofaos

In this paper we propose a multivariate quantile regression framework to forecast Value at Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) of multiple financial assets simultaneously, extending Taylor (2019). We generalize the Multivariate…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2021-07-19 Luca Merlo , Lea Petrella , Valentina Raponi

Importance sampling has been known as a powerful tool to reduce the variance of Monte Carlo estimator for rare event simulation. Based on the criterion of minimizing the variance of Monte Carlo estimator within a parametric family, we…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-02-11 Cheng-Der Fuh , Huei-Wen Teng , Ren-Her Wang

Measuring risk is at the center of modern financial risk management. As the world economy is becoming more complex and standard modeling assumptions are violated, the advanced artificial intelligence solutions may provide the right tools to…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2020-11-16 Hamidreza Arian , Mehrdad Moghimi , Ehsan Tabatabaei , Shiva Zamani

The aim of this paper is to describe a new an integrated methodology for project control under uncertainty. This proposal is based on Earned Value Methodology and risk analysis and presents several refinements to previous methodologies.…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2024-06-06 Fernando Acebes , M Pereda , David Poza , Javier Pajares , Jose M Galan

In this paper, we propose the multivariate range Value-at-Risk (MRVaR) and the multivariate range covariance (MRCov) as two risk measures and explore their desirable properties in risk management. In particular, we explain that such…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-05-17 Baishuai Zuo , Chuancun Yin , Jing Yao

We consider the problem of simulating loss probabilities and conditional excesses for linear asset portfolios under the t-copula model. Although in the literature on market risk management there are papers proposing efficient variance…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2017-08-07 Halis Sak , İsmail Başoğlu

We study mean-risk optimal portfolio problems where risk is measured by Recovery Average Value at Risk, a prominent example in the class of recovery risk measures. We establish existence results in the situation where the joint distribution…

投资组合管理 · 定量金融 2023-03-03 Cosimo Munari , Justin Plückebaum , Stefan Weber

Computing risk measures of a financial portfolio comprising thousands of derivatives is a challenging problem because (a) it involves a nested expectation requiring multiple evaluations of the loss of the financial portfolio for different…

数理金融 · 定量金融 2023-01-10 Michael B. Giles , Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali

Finance is one of the promising field for industrial application of quantum computing. In particular, quantum algorithms for calculation of risk measures such as the value at risk and the conditional value at risk of a credit portfolio have…

量子物理 · 物理学 2022-01-28 Koichi Miyamoto

The value-at-risk of a delta-gamma approximated derivatives portfolio can be computed by numerical integration of the characteristic function. However, while the choice of parameters in any numerical integration scheme is paramount, in…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-02-27 Johannes Vitalis Siven , Jeffrey Todd Lins , Anna Szymkowiak-Have

Financial institutions have to allocate so-called "economic capital" in order to guarantee solvency to their clients and counter parties. Mathematically speaking, any methodology of allocating capital is a "risk measure", i.e. a function…

凝聚态物理 · 物理学 2011-08-09 Dirk Tasche

In many sequential decision-making problems we may want to manage risk by minimizing some measure of variability in costs in addition to minimizing a standard criterion. Conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) is a relatively new risk measure that…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2014-07-14 Yinlam Chow , Mohammad Ghavamzadeh