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相关论文: Smooth tail index estimation

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Score estimation has recently emerged as a key modern statistical challenge, due to its pivotal role in generative modelling via diffusion models. Moreover, it is an essential ingredient in a new approach to linear regression via convex…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-12-17 Rebecca M. Lewis , Oliver Y. Feng , Henry W. J. Reeve , Min Xu , Richard J. Samworth

Semantic segmentation usually suffers from a long-tail data distribution. Due to the imbalanced number of samples across categories, the features of those tail classes may get squeezed into a narrow area in the feature space. Towards a…

计算机视觉与模式识别 · 计算机科学 2023-06-06 Yuchao Wang , Jingjing Fei , Haochen Wang , Wei Li , Tianpeng Bao , Liwei Wu , Rui Zhao , Yujun Shen

Modeling heterogeneity on heavy-tailed distributions under a regression framework is challenging, and classical statistical methodologies usually place conditions on the distribution models to facilitate the learning procedure. However,…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-10-29 Jiaxi Wang , Yanxi Hou , Xingchi Li , Tiandong Wang

Let $X_{1,n}\le\cdots\le X_{n,n}$ be the order statistics of $n$ independent random variables with a common distribution function $F$ having right heavy tail with tail index $\gamma$. Given known constants $d_{i,n}$, $1\le i\le n$, consider…

概率论 · 数学 2021-04-13 Lillian Achola Oluoch , László Viharos

We consider removing lower order statistics from the classical Hill estimator in extreme value statistics, and compensating for it by rescaling the remaining terms. Trajectories of these trimmed statistics as a function of the extent of…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-06-30 Martin Bladt , Hansjoerg Albrecher , Jan Beirlant

We show that high-accuracy guarantees for log-concave sampling -- that is, iteration and query complexities which scale as $\mathrm{poly}\log(1/\delta)$, where $\delta$ is the desired target accuracy -- are achievable using stochastic…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-18 Fan Chen , Sinho Chewi , Constantinos Daskalakis , Alexander Rakhlin

This paper addresses the problem of estimating, in the presence of random censoring as well as competing risks, the extreme value index of the (sub)-distribution function associated to one particular cause, in the heavy-tail case.…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-01-20 Julien Worms , Rym Worms

We introduce a new actuarial tail-shape index, the $\theta$-index, based on a probability equal level relationship between Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall. The index is defined at each tail probability level as the parameter value for…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2026-01-29 Georgios I. Papayiannis , Georgios Psarrakos

Quantile regression is an important tool for estimation of conditional quantiles of a response Y given a vector of covariates X. It can be used to measure the effect of covariates not only in the center of a distribution, but also in the…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-03 Victor Chernozhukov

This paper studies the distributed optimization problem under the influence of heavy-tailed gradient noises. Here, a heavy-tailed noise means that the noise does not necessarily satisfy the bounded variance assumption. Instead, it satisfies…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-05-12 Chao Sun , Huiming Zhang , Bo Chen , Li Yu

This note presents an operational measure of fat-tailedness for univariate probability distributions, in $[0,1]$ where 0 is maximally thin-tailed (Gaussian) and 1 is maximally fat-tailed. Among others,1) it helps assess the sample size…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-04-30 Nassim Nicholas Taleb

We derive the properties and demonstrate the desirability of a model-based method for estimating the spatially-varying effects of covariates on the quantile function. By modeling the quantile function as a combination of I-spline basis…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2019-05-02 Halley Brantley , Montserrat Fuentes , Joseph Guinness , Eben Thoma

In this paper, we propose an estimator of the second-order parameter of randomly right-truncated Pareto-type distributions data and establish its consistency and asymptotic normality. Moreover, we derive an asymptotically unbiased estimator…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-10-21 Nawel Haouas , Abdelhakim Necir , Brahim Brahimi

It is argued that there is a need for fat-tailed distributions that become thin in the extreme tail. A 3-parameter distribution is introduced that visually resembles the t-distribution and interpolates between the normal distribution and…

统计理论 · 数学 2022-02-08 Rose D Baker

Estimation of the extreme value index under right censoring is a fundamental problem in extreme value theory, with important applications in finance, insurance, and reliability. Classical integral estimators for Pareto-type tails typically…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-14 Abdelhakim Necir , Nour Elhouda Guesmia , Djamel Meraghni

We consider a regression framework where the design points are deterministic and the errors possibly non-i.i.d. and heavy-tailed (with a moment of order $p$ in $[1,2]$). Given a class of candidate regression functions, we propose a…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-06-03 Yannick Baraud , Guillaume Maillard

We consider the task of heavy-tailed statistical estimation given streaming $p$-dimensional samples. This could also be viewed as stochastic optimization under heavy-tailed distributions, with an additional $O(p)$ space complexity…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-28 Che-Ping Tsai , Adarsh Prasad , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Pradeep Ravikumar

The dominant approaches to text representation in natural language rely on learning embeddings on massive corpora which have convenient properties such as compositionality and distance preservation. In this paper, we develop a novel method…

Sampling from various kinds of distributions is an issue of paramount importance in statistics since it is often the key ingredient for constructing estimators, test procedures or confidence intervals. In many situations, the exact sampling…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-12-06 Arnak S. Dalalyan

The problem of estimating the coefficient of bivariate tail dependence is considered here from the robustness point of view; it combines two apparently contradictory theories of robust statistics and extreme value statistics. The usual…

应用统计 · 统计学 2014-07-08 Abhik Ghosh