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The adaptive Metropolis (AM) algorithm of Haario, Saksman and Tamminen [Bernoulli 7 (2001) 223-242] uses the estimated covariance of the target distribution in the proposal distribution. This paper introduces a new robust adaptive…

统计计算 · 统计学 2011-05-30 Matti Vihola

Particle Metropolis-Hastings (PMH) allows for Bayesian parameter inference in nonlinear state space models by combining Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and particle filtering. The latter is used to estimate the intractable likelihood. In…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-04-01 Johan Dahlin , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

We derive an efficient stochastic algorithm for inverse problems that present an unknown linear forcing term and a set of nonlinear parameters to be recovered. It is assumed that the data is noisy and that the linear part of the problem is…

数值分析 · 数学 2019-09-17 Darko Volkov

The estimator proposed recently by Delmas and Jourdain for waste-recycling Monte Carlo achieves variance reduction optimally with respect to a control variate that is evaluated directly using the simulation data. Here, the performance of…

统计力学 · 物理学 2015-05-28 Gilles Adjanor , Manuel Athènes , Jocelyn M. Rodgers

It has been shown that the nonreversible overdamped Langevin dynamics enjoy better convergence properties in terms of spectral gap and asymptotic variance than the reversible one. In this article we propose a variance reduction method for…

概率论 · 数学 2017-01-23 Romain Poncet

In this paper, we study the asymptotic variance of sample path averages for inhomogeneous Markov chains that evolve alternatingly according to two different $\pi$-reversible Markov transition kernels $P$ and $Q$. More specifically, our main…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2014-08-15 Florian Maire , Randal Douc , Jimmy Olsson

We consider the optimal scaling problem for high-dimensional random walk Metropolis (RWM) algorithms where the target distribution has a discontinuous probability density function. Almost all previous analysis has focused upon continuous…

概率论 · 数学 2012-10-19 Peter Neal , Gareth Roberts , Wai Kong Yuen

The Metropolis-Hastings algorithm is a cornerstone of Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods, underpinning a wide range of applications in computational physics, Bayesian inference, and machine learning. Quantum variants of Metropolis-Hastings…

量子物理 · 物理学 2026-05-07 Miguel Carrasco-Arango , Rosa M. Badia , Artur Garcia-Saez

Resampling is a standard step in particle filters and more generally sequential Monte Carlo methods. We present an algorithm, called chopthin, for resampling weighted particles. In contrast to standard resampling methods the algorithm does…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-08-24 Axel Gandy , F. Din-Houn Lau

Couplings play a central role in the analysis of Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms and appear increasingly often in the algorithms themselves, e.g. in convergence diagnostics, parallelization, and variance reduction techniques. Existing…

统计计算 · 统计学 2020-10-20 John O'Leary , Guanyang Wang , Pierre E. Jacob

To avoid poor empirical performance in Metropolis-Hastings and other accept-reject-based algorithms practitioners often tune them by trial and error. Lower bounds on the convergence rate are developed in both total variation and Wasserstein…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-04 Austin Brown , Galin L. Jones

This paper addresses the problem of Monte Carlo approximation of posterior probability distributions. In particular, we have considered a recently proposed technique known as population Monte Carlo (PMC), which is based on an iterative…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-06-03 Eugenia Koblents , Joaquín Míguez

The complexity of the Metropolis-Hastings (MH) algorithm arises from the requirement of a likelihood evaluation for the full data set in each iteration. Payne and Mallick (2015) propose to speed up the algorithm by a delayed acceptance…

统计计算 · 统计学 2017-03-23 Matias Quiroz , Minh-Ngoc Tran , Mattias Villani , Robert Kohn

Balancing covariates is critical for credible and efficient randomized experiments. Rerandomization addresses this by repeatedly generating treatment assignments until covariate balance meets a prespecified threshold. By shrinking this…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-02-10 Jiuyao Lu , Tianruo Zhang , Ke Zhu

The estimation of normalizing constants is a fundamental step in probabilistic model comparison. Sequential Monte Carlo methods may be used for this task and have the advantage of being inherently parallelizable. However, the standard…

机器学习 · 统计学 2016-08-16 Marco Fraccaro , Ulrich Paquet , Ole Winther

We propose an efficient Markov Chain Monte Carlo method for sampling equilibrium distributions for stochastic lattice models, capable of handling correctly long and short-range particle interactions. The proposed method is a Metropolis-type…

数值分析 · 数学 2010-06-21 Evangelia Kalligiannaki , Markos A. Katsoulakis , Petr Plechac

Particle filters provide Monte Carlo approximations of intractable quantities such as point-wise evaluations of the likelihood in state space models. In many scenarios, the interest lies in the comparison of these quantities as some…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-07-19 Pierre E. Jacob , Fredrik Lindsten , Thomas B. Schön

In this paper, we extend our analysis of lattice systems using the wavelet transform to systems for which exact enumeration is impractical. For such systems, we illustrate a wavelet-accelerated Monte Carlo (WAMC) algorithm, which…

化学物理 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Ahmed E. Ismail , George Stephanopoulos , Gregory C. Rutledge

The hybrid Monte Carlo (HMC) algorithm is applied for the Bayesian inference of the stochastic volatility (SV) model. We use the HMC algorithm for the Markov chain Monte Carlo updates of volatility variables of the SV model. First we…

计算金融 · 定量金融 2010-12-30 Tetsuya Takaishi

Variable selection is a key issue when analyzing high-dimensional data. The explosion of data with large sample sizes and dimensionality brings new challenges to this problem in both inference accuracy and computational complexity. To…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2016-11-30 Xu Chen , Shaan Qamar , Surya T. Tokdar