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In this paper we continue the investigation of the SRCEN estimator of the extreme value index $\gamma$ (or the tail index $\alpha=1/\gamma$) proposed in \cite{MCE} for $\gamma>1/2$. We propose a new estimator based on the local maximum.…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-10-10 Natalia Markovich , Marijus Vaičiulis

We study the large-time asymptotic of renewal-reward processes with a heavy-tailed waiting time distribution. It is known that the heavy tail of the distribution produces an extremely slow dynamics, resulting in a singular large deviation…

数学物理 · 物理学 2022-01-05 Hiroshi Horii , Raphael Lefevere , Takahiro Nemoto

We make use of the empirical process theory to approximate the adapted Hill estimator, for censored data, in terms of Gaussian processes. Then, we derive its asymptotic normality, only under the usual second-order condition of regular…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-07-07 Brahim Brahimi , Djamel Meraghni , Abdelhakim Necir

The risk of catastrophes is related to the possibility of occurring extreme values. Several statistical methodologies have been developed in order to evaluate the propensity of a process for the occurrence of high values and the permanence…

统计理论 · 数学 2019-05-08 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

In the world of multivariate extremes, estimation of the dependence structure still presents a challenge and an interesting problem. A procedure for the bivariate case is presented that opens the road to a similar way of handling the…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-11-14 John H. J. Einmahl , Andrea Krajina , Johan Segers

This work studies applications and generalizations of a simple estimation technique that provides exponential concentration under heavy-tailed distributions, assuming only bounded low-order moments. We show that the technique can be used…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2016-04-19 Daniel Hsu , Sivan Sabato

We study the problem of estimating the mean of a distribution in high dimensions when either the samples are adversarially corrupted or the distribution is heavy-tailed. Recent developments in robust statistics have established efficient…

数据结构与算法 · 计算机科学 2021-01-20 Samuel B. Hopkins , Jerry Li , Fred Zhang

We study limits of the largest connected components (viewed as metric spaces) obtained by critical percolation on uniformly chosen graphs and configuration models with heavy-tailed degrees. For rank-one inhomogeneous random graphs, such…

概率论 · 数学 2020-05-11 Shankar Bhamidi , Souvik Dhara , Remco van der Hofstad , Sanchayan Sen

We study high-dimensional signal recovery from non-linear measurements with design vectors having elliptically symmetric distribution. Special attention is devoted to the situation when the unknown signal belongs to a set of low statistical…

统计理论 · 数学 2016-11-14 Larry Goldstein , Stanislav Minsker , Xiaohan Wei

Estimation of the extreme value index under right censoring is a fundamental problem in extreme value theory, with important applications in finance, insurance, and reliability. Classical integral estimators for Pareto-type tails typically…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-14 Abdelhakim Necir , Nour Elhouda Guesmia , Djamel Meraghni

We study the asymptotic behaviour of widely used tests for evaluating and comparing predictive accuracy when forecast errors exhibit heavy tails. In particular, when loss differentials have infinite variance, the Diebold-Mariano test…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Jonas F. Frederiksen , Muneya Matsui , Rasmus S. Pedersen

Low-rank tensor models are widely used in statistics. However, most existing methods rely heavily on the assumption that data follows a sub-Gaussian distribution. To address the challenges associated with heavy-tailed distributions…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2025-09-16 Xiaoyu Zhang , Di Wang , Guodong Li , Defeng Sun

Recently attention has been drawn to practical problems with the use of unbounded Pareto distributions, for instance when there are natural upper bounds that truncate the probability tail. Aban, Meerschaert and Panorska (2006) derived the…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-12-24 Jan Beirlant , Isabel Fraga Alves , Ivette Gomes , Mark M. Meerschaert

We consider strictly stationary heavy tailed time series whose finite-dimensional exponent measures are concentrated on axes, and hence their extremal properties cannot be tackled using classical multivariate regular variation that is…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-10-10 Rafal Kulik , Philippe Soulier

We obtain an uniform tail estimates for natural normed sums of independent random variables (r.v.) with regular varying tails of distributions. We give also many examples on order to show the exactness of offered estimates and discuss some…

概率论 · 数学 2012-06-22 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

We study the lower tail large deviation problem for subgraph counts in a random graph. Let $X_H$ denote the number of copies of $H$ in an Erd\H{o}s-R\'enyi random graph $\mathcal{G}(n,p)$. We are interested in estimating the lower tail…

组合数学 · 数学 2019-04-12 Yufei Zhao

We propose an extreme dimension reduction method extending the Extreme-PLS approach to the case where the covariate lies in a possibly infinite-dimensional Hilbert space. The ideas are partly borrowed from both Partial Least-Squares and…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-01-01 Stéphane Girard , Cambyse Pakzad

We revisit the classic regret-minimization problem in the stochastic multi-armed bandit setting when the arm-distributions are allowed to be heavy-tailed. Regret minimization has been well studied in simpler settings of either bounded…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-02-09 Shubhada Agrawal , Sandeep Juneja , Wouter M. Koolen

In this work, we establish risk bounds for the Empirical Risk Minimization (ERM) with both dependent and heavy-tailed data-generating processes. We do so by extending the seminal works of Mendelson [Men15, Men18] on the analysis of ERM with…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-09-14 Abhishek Roy , Krishnakumar Balasubramanian , Murat A. Erdogdu

This paper presents an adaptive version of the Hill estimator based on Lespki's model selection method. This simple data-driven index selection method is shown to satisfy an oracle inequality and is checked to achieve the lower bound…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-12-16 Stéphane Boucheron , Maud Thomas
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