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We consider the task of heavy-tailed statistical estimation given streaming $p$-dimensional samples. This could also be viewed as stochastic optimization under heavy-tailed distributions, with an additional $O(p)$ space complexity…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2022-02-28 Che-Ping Tsai , Adarsh Prasad , Sivaraman Balakrishnan , Pradeep Ravikumar

We introduce a new actuarial tail-shape index, the $\theta$-index, based on a probability equal level relationship between Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall. The index is defined at each tail probability level as the parameter value for…

风险管理 · 定量金融 2026-01-29 Georgios I. Papayiannis , Georgios Psarrakos

Consider $n$ i.i.d. random vectors on $\mathbb{R}^2$, with unknown, common distribution function $F$. Under a sharpening of the extreme value condition on $F$, we derive a weighted approximation of the corresponding tail copula process.…

统计理论 · 数学 2007-06-13 John H. J. Einmahl , Laurens de Haan , Deyuan Li

This paper studies the distributed optimization problem under the influence of heavy-tailed gradient noises. Here, a heavy-tailed noise means that the noise does not necessarily satisfy the bounded variance assumption. Instead, it satisfies…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2025-05-12 Chao Sun , Huiming Zhang , Bo Chen , Li Yu

We consider estimation of the extreme value index and extreme quantiles for heavy-tailed data that are right-censored. We study a general procedure of removing low importance observations in tail estimators. This trimming procedure is…

统计理论 · 数学 2021-05-13 Martin Bladt , Hansjoerg Albrecher , Jan Beirlant

The block maxima method in extreme value theory consists of fitting an extreme value distribution to a sample of block maxima extracted from a time series. Traditionally, the maxima are taken over disjoint blocks of observations.…

统计理论 · 数学 2018-02-28 Axel Bücher , Johan Segers

We propose a class of weighted least squares estimators for the tail index of a distribution function with a regularly varying upper tail. Our approach is based on the method developed by \cite{Holan2010} for the Parzen tail index.…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-03-02 Amenah AL-Najafi , László Viharos

Several novel statistical methods have been developed to estimate large integrated volatility matrices based on high-frequency financial data. To investigate their asymptotic behaviors, they require a sub-Gaussian or finite high-order…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-08-15 Minseok Shin , Donggyu Kim , Jianqing Fan

The Peaks-Over Threshold is a fundamental method in the estimation of rare events such as small exceedance probabilities, extreme quantiles and return periods. The main problem with the Peaks-Over Threshold method relates to the selection…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2018-12-11 Richard Minkah , Tertius de Wet

We obtain concentration and large deviation for the sums of independent and identically distributed random variables with heavy-tailed distributions. Our concentration results are concerned with random variables whose distributions satisfy…

概率论 · 数学 2022-07-27 Milad Bakhshizadeh , Arian Maleki , Victor H. de la Pena

We study the critical behavior of the component sizes for the configuration model when the tail of the degree distribution of a randomly chosen vertex is a regularly-varying function with exponent $\tau-1$, where $\tau\in (3,4)$. The…

We consider a class of scale-free inhomogeneous random graphs, which includes some long-range percolation models. We study the maximum degree in such graphs in a growing observation window and show that its limiting distribution is Frechet.…

概率论 · 数学 2021-06-18 Chinmoy Bhattacharjee , Matthias Schulte

In several applications, ultimately at the largest data, truncation effects can be observed when analysing tail characteristics of statistical distributions. In some cases truncation effects are forecasted through physical models such as…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2017-05-17 Jan Beirlant , Isabel Fraga Alves , Tom Reynkens

A new three-parameter cumulative distribution function defined on $(\alpha,\infty)$, for some $\alpha\geq0$, with asymmetric probability density function and showing exponential decays at its both tails, is introduced. The new distribution…

统计理论 · 数学 2017-03-28 Meitner Cadena

Many complex networks in natural and social phenomena have often been characterized by heavy-tailed degree distributions. However, due to rapidly growing size of network data and concerns on privacy issues about using these data, it becomes…

物理与社会 · 物理学 2015-05-19 Young-Ho Eom , Hang-Hyun Jo

In this paper we define the class of matrix Mittag-Leffler distributions and study some of its properties. We show that it can be interpreted as a particular case of an inhomogeneous phase-type distribution with random scaling factor, and…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-04-28 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Martin Bladt , Mogens Bladt

The Weibull tail-coefficient (WTC) plays a crucial role in extreme value statistics when dealing with Weibull-type tails. Several distributions, such as normal, Gamma, Weibull, and Logistic distributions, exhibit this type of tail…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-02-08 Lígia Henriques-Rodrigues , Frederico Caeiro , M. Ivette Gomes

This paper introduces a robust and computationally efficient estimation framework for high-dimensional volatility models in the BEKK-ARCH class. The proposed approach employs data truncation to ensure robustness against heavy-tailed…

统计理论 · 数学 2026-05-26 Kejun Chen , Yuchang Lin , Qianqian Zhu

An expanded family of mixtures of multivariate power exponential distributions is introduced. While fitting heavy-tails and skewness has received much attention in the model-based clustering literature recently, we investigate the use of a…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-06-15 Utkarsh J. Dang , Ryan P. Browne , Paul D. McNicholas

Multistable distributions, which have been introduced recently by Falconer, L\'evy V\'ehel and their co-authors, are natural generalizations of symmetric "alpha" stable distributions; roughly speaking, they are obtained by replacing the…

概率论 · 数学 2012-08-07 Antoine Ayache