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相关论文: Estimation for almost periodic processes

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Gaussian processes are a natural way of defining prior distributions over functions of one or more input variables. In a simple nonparametric regression problem, where such a function gives the mean of a Gaussian distribution for an…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2008-02-03 Radford M. Neal

Continuous-time trajectory estimation is an attractive alternative to discrete-time batch estimation due to the ability to incorporate high-frequency measurements from asynchronous sensors while keeping the number of optimization parameters…

机器人学 · 计算机科学 2024-02-02 Jacob Johnson , Joshua Mangelson , Timothy Barfoot , Randal Beard

We study the persistence probability of a centered stationary Gaussian process on $\mathbb{Z}$ or $\mathbb{R}$, that is, its probability to remain positive for a long time. We describe the delicate interplay between this probability and the…

概率论 · 数学 2020-08-05 Naomi Feldheim , Ohad Feldheim , Shahaf Nitzan

We study nonparametric Bayesian inference for the intensity function of a covariate-driven point process. We extend recent results from the literature, showing that a wide class of Gaussian priors, combined with flexible link functions,…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-05-27 Patric Dolmeta , Matteo Giordano

We deal with the problem of optimal estimation of the linear functionals constructed from unobserved values of a continuous time stochastic process with periodically correlated increments based on past observations of this process. To solve…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-04-25 Maksym Luz , Mikhail Moklyachuk

Standard sparse pseudo-input approximations to the Gaussian process (GP) cannot handle complex functions well. Sparse spectrum alternatives attempt to answer this but are known to over-fit. We suggest the use of variational inference for…

机器学习 · 统计学 2015-03-23 Yarin Gal , Richard Turner

We consider the problem of sequential estimation of the unknowns of state-space and deep state-space models that include estimation of functions and latent processes of the models. The proposed approach relies on Gaussian and deep Gaussian…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2024-03-26 Yuhao Liu , Marzieh Ajirak , Petar Djuric

Gaussian processes are popular and flexible models for spatial, temporal, and functional data, but they are computationally infeasible for large datasets. We discuss Gaussian-process approximations that use basis functions at multiple…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2020-12-22 Matthias Katzfuss , Wenlong Gong

The estimation of the covariance structure from a discretely observed multivariate Gaussian process under asynchronicity and noise is analysed under high-frequency asymptotics. Asymptotic lower and upper bounds are established for a general…

统计理论 · 数学 2020-04-21 Sebastian Holtz

Complex-valued signals are used in the modeling of many systems in engineering and science, hence being of fundamental interest. Often, random complex-valued signals are considered to be proper. A proper complex random variable or process…

From a wavelet analysis, one derives a nonparametrical estimator for the spectral density of a Gaussian process with stationary increments. First, the idealistic case of a continuous time path of the process is considered. A punctual…

统计理论 · 数学 2008-07-03 Jean-Marc Bardet , Pierre Bertrand , Véronique Billat

Gaussian process regression is a widespread tool used to mitigate stellar correlated noise in radial velocity time series. It is particularly useful to search for and determine the properties of signals induced by small-size, low-mass…

地球与行星天体物理 · 物理学 2019-08-21 M. Damasso , M. Pinamonti , G. Scandariato , A. Sozzetti

We characterize the sample size required for accurate graphical model selection from non-stationary samples. The observed data is modeled as a vector-valued zero-mean Gaussian random process whose samples are uncorrelated but have different…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2019-06-28 Nguyen Q. Tran , Oleksii Abramenko , Alexander Jung

We investigate the frequentist guarantees of the variational sparse Gaussian process regression model. In the theoretical analysis, we focus on the variational approach with spectral features as inducing variables. We derive guarantees and…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-09-29 Dennis Nieman , Botond Szabo , Harry van Zanten

We consider uniform moment convergence of lag-window spectral density estimates for univariate and multivariate stationary processes. Optimal rates of convergence are obtained under mild and easily verifiable conditions. Our theory…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2015-05-15 Wei Biao Wu , Paolo Zaffaroni

We obtain a sharp convergence rate for banded covariance matrix estimates of stationary processes. A precise order of magnitude is derived for spectral radius of sample covariance matrices. We also consider a thresholded covariance matrix…

统计理论 · 数学 2015-03-19 Han Xiao , Wei Biao Wu

This paper investigates the approximation of Gaussian random variables in Banach spaces, focusing on the high-probability bounds for the approximation of Gaussian random variables using finitely many observations. We derive non-asymptotic…

统计理论 · 数学 2025-08-28 Daniel Winkle , Ingo Steinwart , Bernard Haasdonk

Point processes are stochastic models generating interacting points or events in time, space, etc. Among characteristics of these models, first-order intensity and conditional intensity functions are often considered. We focus on…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-05-24 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Ismaïla Ba , Achmad Choiruddin

Gaussian couplings of partial sum processes are derived for the high-dimensional regime $d=o(n^{1/3})$. The coupling is derived for sums of independent random vectors and subsequently extended to nonstationary time series. Our inequalities…

概率论 · 数学 2022-03-08 Fabian Mies , Ansgar Steland

Covariance parameter estimation of Gaussian processes is analyzed in an asymptotic framework. The spatial sampling is a randomly perturbed regular grid and its deviation from the perfect regular grid is controlled by a single scalar…

统计理论 · 数学 2014-12-09 François Bachoc