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Statistical modeling often involves identifying an optimal estimate to some underlying probability distribution known to satisfy some given constraints. I show here that choosing as estimate the centroid, or center of mass, of the set…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2013-10-11 Jonathan Landy

The problem addressed concerns the determination of the average number of successive attempts of guessing a word of a certain length consisting of letters with given probabilities of occurrence. Both first- and second-order approximations…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2015-06-19 Kerstin Andersson

We propose a number of concepts and properties related to `weighted' statistical inference where the observed data are classified in accordance with a `value' of a sample string. The motivation comes from the concepts of weighted…

统计理论 · 数学 2024-07-31 Mark Kelbert , Yuri Suhov

When evaluating the performance of a model for individualised risk prediction, the sample size needs to be large enough to precisely estimate the performance measures of interest. Current sample size guidance is based on precisely…

Clinical prediction models are estimated using a sample of limited size from the target population, leading to uncertainty in predictions, even when the model is correctly specified. Generally, not all patient profiles are observed…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2024-02-09 Doranne Thomassen , Saskia le Cessie , Hans van Houwelingen , Ewout Steyerberg

For frequentist settings in which parameter randomness represents variability rather than uncertainty, the ideal measure of the support for one hypothesis over another is the difference in the posterior and prior log odds. For situations in…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-09-03 David R. Bickel

We propose a new way of defining entropy of a system, which gives a general form which may be nonextensive as Tsallis entropy, but is linearly dependent on component entropies, like Renyi entropy, which is extensive. This entropy has a…

适应与自组织系统 · 物理学 2007-10-11 Fariel Shafee

Estimating entropies from limited data series is known to be a non-trivial task. Naive estimations are plagued with both systematic (bias) and statistical errors. Here, we present a new 'balanced estimator' for entropy functionals Shannon,…

统计力学 · 物理学 2008-04-30 Juan A. Bonachela , Haye Hinrichsen , Miguel A. Munoz

The method of Maximum (relative) Entropy (ME) is used to translate the information contained in the known form of the likelihood into a prior distribution for Bayesian inference. The argument is guided by intuition gained from the…

数据分析、统计与概率 · 物理学 2009-11-10 Ariel Caticha , Roland Preuss

This paper gives improved R\'{e}nyi entropy power inequalities (R-EPIs). Consider a sum $S_n = \sum_{k=1}^n X_k$ of $n$ independent continuous random vectors taking values on $\mathbb{R}^d$, and let $\alpha \in [1, \infty]$. An R-EPI…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-07-21 Eshed Ram , Igal Sason

In this paper, we develop an approach for the exact determination of the minimum sample size for estimating the parameter of an integer-valued random variable, which is parameterized by its expectation. Under some continuity and unimodal…

统计理论 · 数学 2012-11-20 Xinjia Chen , Zhengjia Chen

Trials enroll a large number of subjects in order to attain power, making them expensive and time-consuming. Sample size calculations are often performed with the assumption of an unadjusted analysis, even if the trial analysis plan…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2021-07-06 Alejandro Schuler

The probabilities of causation are commonly used to solve decision-making problems. Tian and Pearl derived sharp bounds for the probability of necessity and sufficiency (PNS), the probability of sufficiency (PS), and the probability of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2022-10-12 Ang Li , Ruirui Mao , Judea Pearl

The study considers advantages of the introduced measure of time based on the entropy change under irreversible processes (entropy production). Using the example of non-equilibrium expansion of an ideal gas in vacuum, such a measure is…

统计力学 · 物理学 2016-08-24 Leonid M. Martyushev , Evgenii V. Shaiapin

Formula for the size of the scatterer is derived explicitly in terms of the scattering amplitude corresponding to this scatterer. By the scatterer either a bounded obstacle $D$ or the support of the compactly supported potential is meant

偏微分方程分析 · 数学 2020-08-26 Alexander G. Ramm

The notion of entropy penetrates much of science. A key feature of the all-important notion of Boltzmann-Gibbs-Shannon entropy is its extensivity (additivity over independent subsystems). However, there is a need for other quantities. In…

数学物理 · 物理学 2008-07-29 Flemming Topsoe

It was recently shown that estimating the Shannon entropy $H({\rm p})$ of a discrete $k$-symbol distribution ${\rm p}$ requires $\Theta(k/\log k)$ samples, a number that grows near-linearly in the support size. In many applications $H({\rm…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2016-03-11 Jayadev Acharya , Alon Orlitsky , Ananda Theertha Suresh , Himanshu Tyagi

The relation between the requirement of efficient implementability and the product state representation of numbers is examined. Numbers are defined to be any model of the axioms of number theory or arithmetic. Efficient implementability…

量子物理 · 物理学 2009-11-07 Paul Benioff

We introduce a general form of sequential Monte Carlo algorithm defined in terms of a parameterized resampling mechanism. We find that a suitably generalized notion of the Effective Sample Size (ESS), widely used to monitor algorithm…

统计计算 · 统计学 2016-01-08 Nick Whiteley , Anthony Lee , Kari Heine

We seek an entropy estimator for discrete distributions with fully empirical accuracy bounds. As stated, this goal is infeasible without some prior assumptions on the distribution. We discover that a certain information moment assumption…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2022-12-27 Doron Cohen , Aryeh Kontorovich , Aaron Koolyk , Geoffrey Wolfer