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Self-interacting jump processes (SIJPs) describe systems with non-Markovian stochastic dynamics in which transition rates depend on empirical observables of the process, which gives rise to long-range memory and feedback. We derive the…

统计力学 · 物理学 2026-03-23 Francesco Coghi , Juan P. Garrahan

We present a general framework for applying machine-learning algorithms to the verification of Markov decision processes (MDPs). The primary goal of these techniques is to improve performance by avoiding an exhaustive exploration of the…

We consider a distributionally robust Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (DR-POMDP), where the distribution of the transition-observation probabilities is unknown at the beginning of each decision period, but their realizations…

最优化与控制 · 数学 2020-12-09 Hideaki Nakao , Ruiwei Jiang , Siqian Shen

We introduce a framework for approximate analysis of Markov decision processes (MDP) with bounded-, unbounded-, and infinite-horizon properties. The main idea is to identify a "core" of an MDP, i.e., a subsystem where we provably remain…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-06-22 Jan Křetínský , Tobias Meggendorfer

Structural results impose sufficient conditions on the model parameters of a Markov decision process (MDP) so that the optimal policy is an increasing function of the underlying state. The classical assumptions for MDP structural results…

系统与控制 · 电气工程与系统科学 2023-03-07 Vikram Krishnamurthy

Importance sampling has become an important tool for the computation of tail-based risk measures. Since such quantities are often determined mainly by rare events standard Monte Carlo can be inefficient and importance sampling provides a…

概率论 · 数学 2013-06-29 Pierre Nyquist

The inspection of residuals is a fundamental step to investigate the quality of adjustment of a parametric model to data. For spatial point processes, the concept of residuals has been recently proposed by Baddeley et al. (2005) as an…

统计理论 · 数学 2013-08-07 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Frédéric Lavancier

Stochastic orders on point processes are partial orders which capture notions like being larger or more variable. Laplace functional ordering of point processes is a useful stochastic order for comparing spatial deployments of wireless…

信息论 · 计算机科学 2018-06-27 Junghoon Lee , Cihan Tepedelenlioglu

Robust Markov decision processes (MDPs) aim to handle changing or partially known system dynamics. To solve them, one typically resorts to robust optimization methods. However, this significantly increases computational complexity and…

机器学习 · 计算机科学 2021-10-14 Esther Derman , Matthieu Geist , Shie Mannor

Various soft materials share some common features, such as significant entropic effect, large fluctuations, sensitivity to thermodynamic conditions, and mesoscopic characteristic spatial and temporal scales. However, no quantitative…

软凝聚态物质 · 物理学 2017-03-10 Baoji He , Yanting Wang

We present a general theory to quantify the uncertainty from imposing structural assumptions on the second-order structure of nonstationary Hilbert space-valued processes, which can be measured via functionals of time-dependent spectral…

统计理论 · 数学 2023-09-19 Anne van Delft , Holger Dette

In this article we establish two fundamental results for the sublevel set persistent homology for stationary processes indexed by the positive integers. The first is a strong law of large numbers for the persistence diagram (treated as a…

概率论 · 数学 2025-08-22 Andrew M. Thomas

In the first part of this paper we study approximations of trajectories of Piecewise Deter-ministic Processes (PDP) when the flow is not explicit by the thinning method. We also establish a strong error estimate for PDPs as well as a weak…

概率论 · 数学 2022-02-10 Vincent Lemaire , Michèle Thieullen , Nicolas Thomas

The material point method (MPM) has been increasingly used for the simulation of large deformation processes in fluid-infiltrated porous materials. For undrained poromechanical problems, however, standard MPMs are numerically unstable…

数值分析 · 数学 2020-02-27 Yidong Zhao , Jinhyun Choo

We present metrics for measuring state similarity in Markov decision processes (MDPs) with infinitely many states, including MDPs with continuous state spaces. Such metrics provide a stable quantitative analogue of the notion of…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2012-07-09 Norman Ferns , Prakash Panangaden , Doina Precup

We introduce the Markov Distributional Conformal Prediction (MDCP) method that extends the distributional conformal prediction (previously developed for regression) to the setting of a strictly stationary Markov process. Instead of relying…

统计方法学 · 统计学 2026-05-26 Dehao Dai , Kejin Wu , Dimitris N. Politis

Markov decision processes (MDPs) are a popular model for performance analysis and optimization of stochastic systems. The parameters of stochastic behavior of MDPs are estimates from empirical observations of a system; their values are not…

人工智能 · 计算机科学 2017-10-26 Dimitri Scheftelowitsch , Peter Buchholz , Vahid Hashemi , Holger Hermanns

For a Pfaffian point process we show that its Palm measures, its normalised compositions with multiplicative functionals, and its conditional measures with respect to fixing the configuration in a bounded subset are Pfaffian point processes…

概率论 · 数学 2019-12-24 Alexander I. Bufetov , Fabio Deelan Cunden , Yanqi Qiu

In this article, we present $\textbf{ldmppr}$, an R package for estimating, evaluating, simulating from, and visualizing location-dependent marked spatial point processes. To date, it has commonly been assumed that the marks associated with…

统计计算 · 统计学 2026-05-20 Lane Drew , Andee Kaplan

Poisson processes and one-dimensional Poisson point processes satisfy three main properties: superposition, thinning, and conditioning. The proof of the first two relies on basic estimates involving the Poisson distribution that are also…

概率论 · 数学 2025-09-01 Nicolas Lanchier